SCP-3460 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3460
Expected annual
$2.2M
One-time setup
$2.3M
Annual recurring
$2.2M
Personnel
11
Initial one-time containment and research hardening is estimated at approximately $2.26M driven primarily by research/neutralization program setup and contingency reserves; annual recurring costs are ~ $2.18M/year driven by staff wages, ongoing research, field operations, legal/PR, and emergency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.3M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#11, #17] Initial multi-year technical research program and a modest initial testing campaign budget (research instrumentation, modelling, initial long-term studies).
Contingency Reserve Initial $500K
[#22] Recommended contingency/timeline-corrections reserve for wide-ranging downstream effects and continuity operations.
Legal Reserve Initial $250K
[#14] One-time legal/cover contingency reserve to seed response funds and retainers as recommended.
Research Neutralization Engineering $200K
[#18] Engineering contract / project to create a permanent disable/neutralization option (dismantle/reverse-engineer/construct permanent block).
Equipment $100K
[#2, #3, #9, #21] Redundant immobilization hardware, electrical hard-kill/disable system, camera/evidence-hardware and secure archival hardware/data-vault initial purchases.
Facilities $68K
[#1, #4] Reinforced containment cabinet upgrade and modest Faraday/EM shielding and structural isolation; estimate sums cabinet upgrade ($60k) + Faraday/enclosure installation ($8k).
Vetting Initial $25K
[#7] Initial dedicated access roster vetting for authorized personnel (background checks, psych screening) estimated for ~10 staff.
Training Initial $15K
[#19] Initial authorized-operator training, tabletop exercises, and certification program start-up.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.2M/yr
Staff Wages $900K/yr
[#8, #25] Salaries and benefits for dedicated containment team (approx. 3 researchers, 2 technicians, 4 guards, medical & admin) including opportunity-cost of assignment.
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#10, #11, #17] Ongoing research program funding, ethics committee/admin overhead for testing approvals and program monitoring (includes recurring portion of long-term research).
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#15] Field operations, tracking, relocations, safe-housing, and travel for managing linked civilians/subjects; annual keep-ready pool.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#14, #24] Legal retainer, cover-story/PR operations, expected per-incident remediation budget (annualized expectation).
Medical And Psych Support $125K/yr
[#12] Medical care, counseling, STD testing and long-term psychological therapy funds for affected subjects and staff.
Incident Response $100K/yr
[#20] Retained rapid-response forensic capability, on-call forensics, video analysis, and post-incident investigations.
Contingency Replenishment $100K/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment to maintain contingency/timeline-corrections reserve.
Amnestics Fund $75K/yr
[#13] Annual reserve for amnestic production, administration, monitoring and post-treatment observation.
Audits And Oversight $40K/yr
[#23] Internal audit, compliance, and oversight reporting costs to Foundation governance.
Supplies And Consumables $13K/yr
[#6, #16] Chart paper and consumables, archival printing/photograph handling and courier costs (annualized).
Data Security And Backup $8K/yr
[#21] Recurring costs for secure, air-gapped storage, off-site mirroring and encrypted archival services.
Personnel Vetting Monitoring $8K/yr
[#7] Ongoing vetting, continuous monitoring and periodic polygraph/psych screening for authorized staff (~10 personnel).
Camera Storage And Maintenance $6K/yr
[#9] 24/7 video storage, tamper-evident logging storage costs, software maintenance and integration with site security.
Training Recurring $6K/yr
[#19] Recertification, refresher training and emergency drills for authorized operators.
Facilities Maintenance $3K/yr
[#5] Maintenance, calibration, spare parts, and upkeep for ancient electronics and mechanical components.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.2M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with routine operations and no major incidents.
no incidents routine research and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $2.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized incident requiring medical/amnestic treatment, limited field response, and PR/legal action.
unauthorized activation / localized exposure one or two affected civilians or staff
🚨 Major Breach $3.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant breach or targeted attack (e.g., coordinated insurgent action) with casualties, facility damage, legal fallout and extended field operations.
coordinated attack public exposure / large-scale casualty event
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Discovery or decision to scale research into SCP causality requiring rapid program expansion and extra safeguards.
successful causality insight approval for expanded experimentation
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#8] Four guards to provide on-site coverage (2 per shift equivalent / 4 FTE coverage as noted).
Research Scientist 3 [#17, #25] Scientific staff for causality research and experimental design (multi-year program staffing).
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#2, #3, #18] Technical staff to maintain immobilization hardware, disable systems, and perform neutralization engineering tasks.
Medical Officer 1 [#12, #13] Medical staff for immediate care, amnestic administration and monitoring of affected subjects.
Administrative Staff 1 [#10, #23] Ethics committee liaison / admin to handle approvals, oversight, and reporting.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges in the notes and the article; many items have wide ranges (especially research, contingency, and neutralization engineering) and depend on site infrastructure and policy decisions, so confidence is medium.
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