SCP-3484 — SCP-3484 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3484 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-3484

Expected annual

$3.6M

One-time setup

$3.9M

Annual recurring

$3.5M

Personnel

One-time setup costs (~$3.9M) are driven by sterile operating-suite upgrades, quarantine wing construction, and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs (~$3.51M) are dominated by staff wages, clinical/ICU care, legal/cover operations, and opportunity costs for dedicated facility resources.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.9M

Catastrophic Liability Reserve $2.0M

[#25] One-time contingency reserve earmark for catastrophic liabilities / large-scale remediation (planning-level reserve within analyst range).

Facilities $1.2M

[#5, #9] D-class quarantine wing build/retrofit and sterile wet-lab/operating room / negative-pressure construction/upgrade (midpoint of ranges).

Equipment $250K

[#10, #15, #24] Purchase of EMG/EEG & related monitoring ($85k), training simulators ($55k), and one-time secure/classified IT systems ($110k) for classified data handling.

Breach Response Reserve $250K

[#23] One-time reserve purchase of mobile medevac/isolation tents and rapid-deployment equipment stock.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K

[#11, #17] Histology/pathology bench, sample storage, sequencing/HLA preparatory equipment and initial reagents.

Professional Translation $12K

[#2] Specialist translation and paleographic annotation (German → modern English) including medical-historical review.

Digitization And Imaging $8K

[#3] High-resolution imaging/IR/UV scanning and creation of secure encrypted offline backups (one-time imaging costs / equipment/services).

Archival Conservation $5K

[#1] One-time conservation/deacidification and acid-free enclosure for 1862 printed book.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5M/yr

Staff Wages $2.0M/yr

[#6, #7, #8] Salaries for PI, surgeons, lab technicians, immunologist/memetics specialist, dedicated guards, and aggregated clinical support staffing (mid-range salaries).

Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr

[#19, #28] Legal counsel, falsified records/liaison costs, and proactive PR/misinformation budget for plausible deniability.

Opportunity Costs $300K/yr

[#29] Internal accounting allocation for lost facility/OR/imaging time and prioritized resource allocation.

Facilities Maintenance $169K/yr

[#1, #4, #9, #18, #24] Environmental monitoring for archival locker, anomalous-item locker HVAC/access control, sterile-OR maintenance, waste management contracts, and IT system maintenance.

Research And Monitoring $106K/yr

[#3, #10, #11, #17, #22, #30] Secure storage/IT for digitized materials, per-scan imaging outsourcing (baseline use), histocompatibility testing (program-level), pathology/histology sampling, long-term subject surveillance; includes note of minimal baseline alternative.

Internal Review And Memetics $100K/yr

[#20] Internal review boards, ethics panels, memetics containment specialists and audit time.

Catastrophic Insurance Premiums $100K/yr

[#25] Recurring insurance/premium or amortized indemnity budget to hedge against catastrophic liabilities.

Icu Acute Care Incidents $75K/yr

[#13] Expected annualized cost of occasional ICU-level complications (sepsis, organ support) averaged across years.

Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr

[#15, #16, #26] PPE/sterile packs and consumables, cadaver lab consumables (training), and compound procurement/cold-chain consumables.

Logistics And Transport $60K/yr

[#14] Donor/cadaver procurement logistics, compensation/medical expense flow, transport and procurement contracts.

D Class Care Per Subject $50K/yr

[#5] Per-subject housing, food, utilities, and quarantine support for D-class used in study (baseline assuming ~1 concurrent subject).

Psychological Support $50K/yr

[#21] Counseling and behavioral monitoring costs for staff and subjects (PTSD/memetic monitoring).

Containment Breach Readiness $50K/yr

[#23] Annual readiness maintenance, rapid-response drills, and replenishment of contingency stock.

Immunosuppressive Therapy $40K/yr

[#12] Ongoing immunosuppressant regimens (acute+chronic mix across subjects) and therapeutic drug monitoring.

Training And Simulation $20K/yr

[#15] Ongoing cadaver lab sessions, simulation consumables, and refresher drills.

Autopsy Costs $20K/yr

[#27] Autopsy and forensic pathology per-fatality costs averaged across expected incidence.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5M/yr

83.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with scheduled studies, one quarantined D-class subject, routine monitoring, and no major containment incidents.

routine_D-class_study no_major_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $3.7M/yr

15.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline

Single severe adverse event (e.g., major tissue rejection/sepsis or limited memetic exposure) requiring ICU care, legal response, and increased monitoring.

single_severe_rejection limited_memetic_leak minor_public_exposure

🚨 Major Breach $8.5M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Widespread clinical failures or public exposure causing multiple fatalities/rejections and extensive legal/medical remediation.

mass_tissue_rejection widespread_exposure high_profile_deaths

👥 Personnel 19 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist / PI	1	[#7] Senior lead (e.g., Dr. Argent) salary included in staff_wages.
Surgeon	2	[#7] Two surgeons for operative interventions and research; salaries aggregated in staff_wages.
Lab Technician	2	[#7] Lab techs for sample processing, histology, and experiment support.
Immunologist / Memetics Specialist	1	[#7, #20] Specialist for immunosuppression regimens and memetic containment advisory.
Security Officer / MTF Agent	5	[#6] Dedicated guards for quarantine wing and transfers (4–6 dedicated; midpoint used).
Clinical Support (Nurses / ICU)	6	[#8] On-call critical care nursing and anesthesiology staff aggregated for part-time coverage.
Administrative Staff	2	[#2, #24] Admin and records staff for classified recordkeeping, liaison, and cover-story logistics.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing mid-range budgeting, but high uncertainty remains in event-driven costs (ICU incidents, legal cover-ups, catastrophic liabilities) and program scale decisions, so confidence is medium.

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