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SCP-3507 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-3507
Expected annual
$23.1M
One-time setup
$43.3M
Annual recurring
$22.8M
Personnel
65
Initial capital outlay is approximately $43,270,000 driven by deep-storage construction, major R&D buildouts, and contingency reserves; baseline recurring operations are approximately $22,763,000/year driven mainly by MTF salaries, ongoing Tier‑V R&D, administrative overhead and data/monitoring operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $43.3M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $24.2M
[#5, #9, #10, #19, #21] Initial conservation/restoration setup, Tier V kinetoglyph R&D program buildout, gamma/PET R&D infrastructure, PET/gamma fixed facility and radiochemistry lab build, and archival/digitization initial costs.
Equipment $7.2M
[#2, #8, #10, #11, #12, #15, #24] Initial sensor/install for storage, MTF initial kits and vehicle fleet, mobile detector fleet purchase, UAVs and ground stations, initial data-storage hardware, costume procurement, and initial IT security hardware.
Emergency Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#20] Large contingency fund reserved for emergency recontainment, reconstruction, and major incident response.
Facilities $3.5M
[#1, #4, #13] Deep-storage vault construction/modification (Site 46 #32-T) and Site 36 retrofit for armor/weapon storage, plus initial FOB retrofit costs.
Compensation Reserve $3.0M
[#16] Contingency pool / discretionary compensation reserve for major incidents or relocations.
Cover Organization Setup $300K
[#17] One-time setup costs for cover organizations, fake NGOs and legal/PR infrastructure.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $22.8M/yr
Research And Monitoring $8.0M/yr
[#7, #9, #10, #12, #19, #21] Ongoing Tier V kinetoglyph R&D burn (personnel and experiments), MTF training exercises, gamma/PET R&D calibration and consumables, data hosting/analysis, PET facility operations, and archival translations/curation.
Staff Wages $6.9M/yr
[#3, #7, #11, #18, #13] Security staff (guards & supervisors), MTF Rho-15/Rho-11 operative salaries, UAV pilots/analysts, historians/linguists, and FOB staffing wages.
Administrative Overhead $2.5M/yr
[#25] HR, procurement, accounting, internal auditing, facility overhead allocations (15–25% program overhead estimate).
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#14, #17, #27] Festival/cover operations (events, cultural consultants), legal/PR ongoing budget, and public archaeology / museum liaison contracts.
Energy Costs $650K/yr
[#23] Power consumption for Sites 46/36, UAV charging, R&D labs and backup generator maintenance/fuel.
Civilian Medical And Compensation Fund $600K/yr
[#16] On-call emergency medical response, psychiatric care and routine compensation/evacuation fund provisioning (recurring operational component).
Emergency Readiness $500K/yr
[#20] Annual readiness costs for rapid-response teams, mobile containment modules, quarantine readiness and incident response drills.
Personnel Vetting And Liaison $350K/yr
[#22] Personnel security vetting, psychological screening and blindness liaison program operating costs.
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#5, #8, #11, #15] Conservation consumables and inspections, equipment sterilization and consumables, UAV consumables/spares, and costume maintenance.
It Security And Comms $275K/yr
[#24] Ongoing maintenance, audits, encrypted comms and classified hosting operational costs.
Equipment Maintenance $250K/yr
[#8] Maintenance, replacement cycles and sterilization for specialized MTF equipment and personal gear; vehicle fleet upkeep if equipment-related.
Logistics And Transport $230K/yr
[#6, #8, #11] Secure transport & handling between sites, vehicle upkeep related to MTF equipment, and UAV non-personnel operational costs (fuel/maintenance parts).
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#1, #13, #2, #4] Ongoing vault and FOB maintenance, climate-control upkeep and climate monitoring maintenance, and storage cabinet upkeep.
Fob Lease And Utilities $180K/yr
[#13] Lease, utilities and basic operating costs for 3 local forward operating bases (lease portion).
Disposal And Waste Handling $175K/yr
[#26] Radioactive and hazardous waste handling, contaminated gear disposal, and regulated waste services.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $22.8M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major containment incidents; routine monitoring, R&D progression and standard festivals/cover operations.
no_major_incident scheduled_r&d_and_training routine_festival_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $24.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized containment breach or festival exposure requiring temporary surge staffing, medical payouts, localized repairs and increased security presence.
localized_breach civilian_exposure temporary_recontainment
🚨 Major Breach $32.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Large-scale containment failure or Incident A-5 style event requiring major recontainment, extensive reconstruction, large compensation and emergency fund drawdown.
widespread_breach infrastructure_damage large_casualties
👥 Personnel 65 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Guard 8 [#3] Deep-storage on-site guards (FTE count used in wage estimates).
Security Supervisor 2 [#3] Supervisors for access control and clearance management.
MTF Agent / Operative 40 [#7] Two dedicated MTF teams (Rho-15 and Rho-11), 20 operatives each; counted as on-staff operatives.
UAV Pilot / Data Analyst 6 [#11] Pilots and analysts supporting nightly drone tracking and data processing (FTEs included in staff wages).
Historian / Linguist / Cultural Consultant 3 [#18] Specialist staff for Heian-period research, translations and festival consultation (subset of contracted/onsite specialists).
FOB Staff / Liaison 6 [#13] Local FOB staff for staging, liaison and routine operations (staffing portion of FOB recurring costs).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many line-item estimates and ranges allowing mid-range budgeting, but large uncertainty remains around multi-year R&D burn rates, probability of anomalous major incidents, and scale/timing of Tier‑V development; this yields medium confidence.
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