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SCP-3510 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-3510
Expected annual
$89.7M
One-time setup
$79.9M
Annual recurring
$38.0M
Personnel
30
Initial program setup is roughly $80M driven by safe‑site purchases, equipment/aircraft procurement and lab buildouts; baseline annual operations are roughly $38M driven by MTF payroll, embedded assets, R&D/analysis and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $79.9M
Equipment $29.0M
[#3, #14, #23] Tactical equipment and vehicles/aircraft capital purchases (~$2–6M), small fleet/aircraft purchase (~$10–30M), and hardened IT/data center build (~$2–8M) aggregated.
Facilities $22.0M
[#13] Purchase and fit‑out of ~10 high‑security safe houses/black sites (~$15–30M total; midpoint used).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $13.2M
[#11, #16] R&D lab/facility setup for amnestic/memetic research (~$5–20M) plus forensic lab equipment/one‑time setup (~$500k–2M).
Strategic Placements Initial $10.0M
[#19] Initial placement costs for senior corporate/think‑tank infiltrators (assumed midpoint of initial range).
Mtf Training Initial $2.0M
[#2] Initial intensive MTF Δ‑99 cohort training and certifications (~$1–3M one cohort).
Surveillance Initial Install $2.0M
[#7] One‑time installation/setup for long‑term covert surveillance on active targets (setup ≈ $10k per target; aggregated for ~200 targets ≈ $2M).
Shell Corp Setup $1.2M
[#29] Initial setup/incorporation costs for public‑facing shell corporations and media outlets (~$500k–2M).
Social Media Setup $400K
[#10] One‑time platform/build and initial seeding costs for influence operations (~$250k–500k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $38.0M/yr
Staff Wages $5.0M/yr
[#1] Ongoing MTF Δ‑99 payroll, hazard pay and benefits (~30 personnel; rounded to include benefits/bonuses).
Research And Monitoring $5.0M/yr
[#9, #11, #28] Intelligence analysis, analysts tooling/servers (~$3M) plus ongoing R&D into amnestics/memetic countermeasures (~$2M recurring) and social/memetic research (~$0.5–2M; aggregated into recurring R&D/analysis).
Embedded Assets $5.0M/yr
[#8] Retainers and covert payments to embedded assets/informants globally (range wide; conservative mid‑scale chosen).
Contingency Black Budget $3.0M/yr
[#24] Rapid response reserve for leaks, whistleblowers and settlements (~$5–50M/yr range; conservative reserve chosen).
Transport Charter And Ops $2.5M/yr
[#14] Recurring charter/maintenance/fuel for covert transport and aviation (~$2–6M/yr plus fuel; mid‑low chosen).
Social Media Ops $2.0M/yr
[#10] Ongoing social/media influence operations budget (~$2–5M/yr; lower‑mid value used).
Large Scale Mitigation Fund $2.0M/yr
[#30] Reserve for emergency large‑scale social mitigation if mass awareness events occur (contingency reserve; per‑event costs can be much larger).
Safe Sites Lease $1.5M/yr
[#13] Operating/lease costs for international safe houses/black sites when not owned (~$1–3M/yr aggregated).
Strategic Placements Maintenance $1.5M/yr
[#19] Ongoing maintenance/retainers for placed corporate/think‑tank infiltrators (~$1–2M/yr).
Crisis Legal Defense $1.5M/yr
[#22] Annual budget for crisis legal defense, diplomacy and immunity cover (~$1–3M/yr).
Administrative Operations $1.5M/yr
[#27] HQ admin, finance, HR, audit and internal security operations (~$1–3M/yr).
Surveillance Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#7] Ongoing monitoring fees for deployed surveillance (~$500/mo per target × ~200 targets = ~$1.2M/yr); excludes initial install.
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#15] Annual cover/legal/PR expenses, hush payouts and related legal fees (aggregated budget ~$0.5–2M/yr; midpoint used).
Per Operation Budget $1.0M/yr
[#5] Per‑operation assassination budgets (planning, travel, local assets); protocol calls for ~4 ops/yr; mid estimate used.
Media Monitoring $800K/yr
[#18] SaaS/licensing and staff for media/social listening and early‑warning (~$700–1M/yr).
Equipment Maintenance $500K/yr
[#4] Maintenance, replacement and consumables for weapons/vehicles/optics (~10–20% of capital/year).
Liaison Shared Ops $500K/yr
[#20] Annual liaison and shared‑ops funding with external groups (budget baseline).
Secure It Maintenance $400K/yr
[#23] Hosting, maintenance and hardened IT operations (~$300–800k/yr).
Mtf Training Recurring $300K/yr
[#2] Recurring refresher training, certifications and exercises (~$200–500k/yr).
Forensic Lab Operations $300K/yr
[#16] Recurring consultant retainers and lab operating costs (~$200–500k/yr).
Post Op Witness Management $300K/yr
[#17] Ongoing witness management and subtle psy‑ops following operations (~$200–500k/yr).
Medical Services $300K/yr
[#25] Medical/psychiatric services, trauma care and rehabilitation for operatives and collateral victims (~$200–500k/yr).
Disposal Logistics $300K/yr
[#26] Disposal and covert body handling logistics aggregated (~$300k/yr baseline).
Shell Corp Maintenance $300K/yr
[#29] Ongoing maintenance for shell corporations and media outlets (~$200–500k/yr).
Amnestic Administration $200K/yr
[#12] Pharmaceuticals, medical administration and follow‑up care per treated subject (assumed ~20 subjects/yr; mid estimate used).
Scene Staging $50K/yr
[#6] Scene‑staging props and forensic‑mimic materials (~$5–20k per op; aggregated).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Escalation Contingency Fund $0/yr
[#21] Catastrophic escalation fund (Protocol VIOLET IDES). Not routinely funded as an annual line item; expense is contingency if initiated.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $38.0M/yr
86.9% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled Protocol RED LONGINUS operations, ongoing monitoring, R&D and influence operations; no major leaks or large‑scale public awareness events.
scheduled_operations continuous_monitoring no_major_leaks
🚨 Minor Incident $40.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Isolated operational failure or localized leak requiring additional PR, investigations, legal payouts and emergency amnestic/containment measures.
botched_operation local_leak small_scale_media_attention
🚨 Major Breach $88.0M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or viral attention to an operation requiring large PR/amnestic campaigns, expanded mitigation, and extensive legal/diplomatic response.
viral_media_event coordinated_whistleblower_disclosure mass_awareness
🚨 Catastrophic Escalation $50.0B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$50.0B vs baseline
Initiation of Protocol VIOLET IDES / large‑scale political removals and temporary government control; global military and occupation logistics required.
failure_of_protocol_RED near_global_manifestation decision_to_initiate_VIOLET_IDES
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#1] MTF Δ‑99 operators forming the bulk of the 30‑person unit (assault/entry personnel).
Medical Officer / Medic 3 [#1] Embedded medics for field care and amnestic administration support.
EOD / Technical Specialist 2 [#1] Explosive ordnance disposal and technical breach specialists.
Intelligence / Comms 3 [#1] Tactical intelligence and communications operators embedded within MTF Δ‑99's payroll.
Leadership / Team Command 2 [#1] Command and mission leadership positions within the MTF unit.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and midpoints but the anomaly, political exposures, and contingency costs are highly uncertain and potentially orders of magnitude larger; many items (embedded assets, contingency reserves, escalation costs) have wide ranges.
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