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SCP-3546 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-3546
Expected annual
$5.9M
One-time setup
$3.3M
Annual recurring
$4.9M
Personnel
12
Initial one-time containment and cataloguing fit-out is roughly $3.27M; recurring annual operations (staff, climate control, conservation, IT, insurance and opportunity cost) are ~ $4.86M/year, driven mainly by staff wages, insurance/opportunity-of-capital, and specialist conservation/registrar costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.3M
Facilities $600K
[#1] Museum-grade vault fit-out (HVAC, racking, mounts, inert-gas suppression, alarm integration) — midpoint of $300k–$900k range for a 2,000–4,000 sq ft dedicated vault.
Deaccession And Disposal Contingency $525K
[#16] Contingency fund for legal transfer/destruction/quiet disposal (midpoint of $50k–$1,000,000).
Forensic Accounting Investigation $525K
[#18] Forensic accounting / international investigative budget (midpoint of $50k–$1,000,000+).
Initial Conservation Treatments $495K
[#5] Initial conservation stabilization/cleaning for ~300 items (midpoint of $90k–$900k).
Custom Crating And Mounts $262K
[#12] Bespoke crating and mounts for sculptures/large works (midpoint of $25k–$500k for ~50 sculptures).
Legal Fees And Settlements One Time $200K
[#8] One-time legal fees/quiet settlement budget (small-scenario midpoint of $50k–$500k). Large-exposure scenarios handled via cost_scenarios.
Initial Transport And Crating $190K
[#4] Specialized transport and initial handling: crates, climate-controlled vans, insured transit, art handlers (midpoint of $80k–$300k).
Cataloguing And Forensics Initial $165K
[#6] Initial high-resolution imaging, pigment/FTIR/X-ray and provenance documentation for ~300 items (midpoint of $30k–$300k).
Equipment $125K
[#7] Digital archival hardware/servers, encrypted backups, initial IT hardware and software licenses.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $112K
[#11] Initial research/lab setup for materials testing and related short-term hires (midpoint of $25k–$200k).
One Time Pr Leak Response $50K
[#17] One-time PR/containment payments for leaks (minor-scenario allocation within $20k–$200k; major exposures modeled separately).
Initial Training And Ppe $15K
[#19] Initial professional art-handling training and PPE (midpoint of $5k–$25k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.9M/yr
Opportunity Cost Of Capital $3.0M/yr
[#20] Opportunity cost / cost of capital for tied-up valuation (illustrative midpoint of $1M–$10M/year; included as discretionary recurring cost).
Staff Wages $835K/yr
[#3, #9, #10] Security personnel (6 guards + 1 access controller), evidence custody/admin (1–2 FTEs), and specialist staff (conservator/registrar/cataloguer) — aggregated midpoint of provided ranges.
Logistics And Transport $500K/yr
[#15] Transport insurance / self-insurance reserve (conservative lower-end recurring premium estimate for high declared valuation).
Research And Monitoring $238K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #11] Ongoing conservation reserve, cataloguing/forensic updates, IT hosting/maintenance, and recurring research budget (aggregated midpoints).
Facilities Maintenance $148K/yr
[#2, #14] Ongoing facility operations (rent/maintenance, utilities for climate control, alarm monitoring) and annual fire suppression/emergency maintenance (midpoints).
Cover Story And Legal $120K/yr
[#8, #17] Legal retainer and ongoing cover-story/PR confidentiality operations (recurring retainer and modest ongoing PR budget).
Supplies And Consumables $21K/yr
[#13, #19] Pest management, environmental monitoring consumables, filter replacements and recurring PPE/training refresh (midpoints).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.9M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with ongoing conservation, staffing, utilities, routine legal retainer and modest PR activity; no major external claims or exposures.
no major legal claims stable containment routine maintenance and conservation
🚨 Moderate Legal Claims $6.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
One or more modest external claims or restitution demands requiring negotiated settlements and elevated legal fees.
multiple institutional claims negotiated settlements increased litigation costs
🚨 Large Settlement $24.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Significant multi-party litigation or high-profile restitution demands requiring large one-time settlements (Foundation pays to avoid exposure).
high-profile institutions sue public litigation risk large restitution demands
🚨 Major Leak And Public Exposure $59.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$55.0M vs baseline
Catastrophic publicity / legal exposure requiring large-scale PR, multiple settlements, possible relocation and large indemnifications.
major public leak multiple large claims political/media fallout
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Access Controller 7 [@#3] Six full-time guards (3 shifts × 2) plus one access controller/supervisor included in security wages.
Evidence Custody / Chain-of-Custody Administrator 2 [@#9] 1–2 FTEs to maintain legal chain-of-custody and audits; midpoint 2 FTEs.
Research Scientist / Conservator / Registrar 3 [@#10] Specialist staff (conservator(s), registrar, cataloguer, research curator); midpoint of 2–4 specialists.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing midpoint aggregation, but legal/settlement and opportunity-of-capital items are highly uncertain and discretionary; several large, low-probability exposures could materially change totals.
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