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SCP-3583 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-3583
Expected annual
$5.3M
One-time setup
$2.6M
Annual recurring
$5.2M
Personnel
20
One-time setup is moderate (~$2.63M) driven by lab fit-out, vehicles, protective kits and contingency reserve; annual operations are substantial (~$5.24M/yr) driven by staff wages, long-term R&D, experiments, and medical/amnestic operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.6M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#13, #16] Secure containment/research laboratory fit-out and experimentation instrumentation/setup.
Equipment $700K
[#3, #5, #6, #7, #8, #9, #21, #25] Response vehicles/equipment, protective kits, sensor hardware, secure comms hardware, additional SUVs, development tools (dev counted as deployable equipment), evidence containers, generator.
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#18] Immediate reserve for failed-capture consequences/emergency remediation.
Facilities $150K
[#14] Containment storage and hazardous-material lockers build-out.
Initial Training $120K
[#4] Initial comprehensive training build-out for tactical/anomalous/pediatric/amnestic procedures.
Amnestic Production Setup $100K
[#12] Small-scale secure amnestic production/procurement setup.
Identity Creation $60K
[#20] Identity creation costs for embedded agents (cover identities).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.2M/yr
Staff Wages $2.0M/yr
[#1, #3, #17, #20] Embedded/operator salaries (6 embedded agents incl benefits), field security/operator salaries, research staff wages, housing stipends for embedded personnel included in payroll/benefits.
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#9, #16, #23] Internet-monitoring hosting and ops, per-experiment operational budgets, long-term R&D program baseline funding.
Medical And Therapy $500K/yr
[#11] Medical triage, hospital care, long-term psychological therapy and follow-up for affected children/adults.
Cover Story And Legal $425K/yr
[#2, #10, #19, #22] Local school compensation/cover payments, legal/PR takedown & cover operations, settlements/reserve for parents/guardians, communications/media monitoring/production budgets.
Facilities Maintenance $240K/yr
[#13, #14, #25] Ongoing lab/storage operation costs, maintenance/inspection of containment storage, utilities for generators/critical infrastructure.
Amnestic Supply And Administration $150K/yr
[#12] Consumables, storage and medical administration logistics for amnestic agents.
Contingency Replenishment $100K/yr
[#18] Annual replenishment of contingency reserve for failed-capture or emergency remediation.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $100K/yr
[#15] Hazardous-waste disposal, decontamination, autopsies and secure disposal procedures.
Logistics And Transport $66K/yr
[#8, #21, #7] Vehicle fuel/maintenance, secure transport contracts, comms service/backhaul for coordination.
Supplies And Consumables $45K/yr
[#5, #6, #24] Protective kit maintenance/replacement, sensor/cloud operation small recurring costs, general consumables and PPE.
Training And Certifications $30K/yr
[#4] Annual refresher training and recurrent certification courses.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.2M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with active monitoring, scheduled experiments, and no major containment incidents.
regular monitoring planned experiments no major incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $5.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized manifestation or failed capture causing one major medical/settlement/amnestics event and limited equipment losses.
small-scale failed capture single major medical event public exposure requiring amnestics and takedowns
🚨 Major Incident $7.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Failed large-scale containment/capture or frequent manifestations requiring heavy emergency remediation, large settlements, and scaled R&D response.
failed forced containment mass casualties or public exposure rapid scaling of R&D and contingency usage
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Embedded Agent / Cover Staff 6 [#1] Six embedded agents to cover rotations (3 daily + 3 spares).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#3] Field security / rapid response team personnel (6–8 operators; using 8 for staffing).
Research Scientist / Analyst 6 [#17] Research staff (4–6 specialists; using 6 to match analyst staffing assumptions and R&D program needs).
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are drawn from analyst estimates with explicit figures, but several items (amnestic production, legal/settlements, R&D difficulties and contingency needs) have substantial uncertainty and ranges; Neutralized status also creates plausible alternative low-cost states not fully captured here.
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