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SCP-3609 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3609
Expected annual
$598.2M
One-time setup
$3.2B
Annual recurring
$592.2M
Personnel
60
One-time capital to establish Lunar Area-32 containment and support infrastructure is large — roughly $3.22 billion — driven primarily by lunar base construction, power, and specialized vacuum-rated containment. Recurring yearly operations are substantial (~$592.2M/yr), dominated by Earth↔Moon transport launches, staffing, power/maintenance, and logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.2B
Facilities $2.8B
[#1, #6, #14] Major lunar base construction including hab modules, docking/launch integration and hardened berms/airlocks (#1) plus on-site decontamination station buildout (#6) and on-site medical/quarantine facility capital (#14).
Equipment $376.5M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #7, #8, #12, #17, #18, #19, #20] Vacuum-rated containment chamber (#2), regolith handling hardware initial purchase (#3), footprint-erasure rovers (#4), EVA suits (#5), power plant capital (SMR chosen for reliability) (#7), communications hardware and relays (#8), surveillance sensor suite (#12), containment response hardware package (#17), tethering/anchoring systems (#18), sample storage containers (#19), and initial data-security hardware (#20).
Insurance Reserve $55.0M
[#21] One-time internal insurance/reserve fund to amortize risk for launches, accidents, or replacements.
Contingency Reserve $27.5M
[#16] One-time contingency / cover-up reserve fund set aside as initial capital reserve for bribes, buyouts, or information operations.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.8M
[#13, #27] Initial lunar/terrestrial research lab setup, instruments and sample-handling infrastructure (#13) plus Earth-side secure ex-situ lab setup (#27).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $592.2M/yr
Logistics And Transport $506.0M/yr
[#9, #29] Annual Earth↔Moon launch and cargo cadence (crewed and cargo launches) (#9) plus ground launch-integration and mission-control recurring costs (#29).
Staff Wages $25.0M/yr
[#10] Salaries and hazard premiums for on-site scientists, engineers, security, MTF rotation, medical and support personnel (roster equivalent).
Facilities Maintenance $15.0M/yr
[#1] Ongoing maintenance of lunar habitats, berms, airlocks, docking interfaces and structural systems.
Power Operations $12.5M/yr
[#7] Reactor/solar array operations, maintenance and fuel/storage cycling for continuous power through lunar night.
Upgrade And Obsolescence $6.0M/yr
[#28] Annual capital replacement fund for hardware/software refresh and rover replacements averaged over lifecycle.
Mtf Operations $5.0M/yr
[#11] Training, mission preparation, rotation costs and replacement gear specific to MTF Gamma-4 lunar operations.
Containment Response Maintenance $5.0M/yr
[#17] Ongoing maintenance and readiness funding for rapid-response containment hardware and emergency staging.
Research And Monitoring $3.8M/yr
[#12, #13, #20, #26, #27] Ongoing surveillance analytics and sensor maintenance (#12), research staff and consumables (#13), data-security operations (#20), red-team testing and audits (#26), and Earth-side sample analysis recurring costs (#27).
Cover Story And Legal $3.0M/yr
[#15] Ongoing legal, PR, fabricated cover stories and diplomatic mitigation to suppress detection and public exposure.
Communications $3.0M/yr
[#8] Comms lease, satellite relays, encryption upkeep and anti-jam measures.
Consumables Life Support $3.0M/yr
[#22] Oxygen, water, food resupply or closed-loop maintenance and spare components for life-support systems.
Personnel Rotation And Wellness $2.0M/yr
[#24] Long-term rotation flights, psychological care and Earth-side housing for staff rotations.
Supplies And Consumables $1.3M/yr
[#3, #5, #6, #19, #25] Consumables and maintenance for regolith-handling equipment (#3), EVA suit consumables/repairs (#5), decon consumables (#6), sample storage cataloging/storage (#19), and minor annual remediation/waste handling (#25).
Medical Operations $550K/yr
[#14] Quarantine procedures, medical testing, and on-site health operations for personnel and returned samples.
Training Programs $550K/yr
[#23] Specialty training (vacuum ops, archaic-language liaison training, simulations) for researchers and MTF personnel.
Footprint Erasure Ops $400K/yr
[#4] Annual operations, propellant and maintenance for footprint-erasure rovers and sorties (average ops cost, per-sortie propellant varies).
Tethering Maintenance $150K/yr
[#18] Maintenance and inspection of vacuum-rated tethering and grappling systems.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $592.2M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine maintenance, scheduled launches and no containment incident.
scheduled_resupply routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $652.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$60.0M vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring emergency response, additional MTF sorties and one emergency launch or short-notice cargo.
localized_escape_attempt equipment_failure increased_hostility
🚨 Major Breach $892.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Major containment failure or public detection requiring large emergency launches, material replacement and significant cover-up operations.
major_breach public_exposure loss_of_critical_hardware
👥 Personnel 60 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#10, #11] On-site security staff and primary MTF presence; includes baseline armed security rotations and rough salary/hazard allocation from staff wage pool.
MTF Rotation / Mission Specialists 6 [#11, #10] Rotational mission specialists and additional MTF operators for sorties/erasure missions; counted separately from permanent security roster.
Research Scientist 8 [#10, #13] Terra-linguistics, biology and analysis staff responsible for interviews, sample analysis and research programs.
Engineer / Maintenance 10 [#1, #7, #28] Systems engineers, rover technicians and reactor/solar maintenance personnel required to sustain lunar infrastructure.
Medical Officer 2 [#14, #24] On-site medical/quarantine staff to handle exposures, testing and rotations.
Administrative Staff 3 [#15, #10] Administrative, legal liaison and cover-story coordination staff supporting operations.
Logistics & Comms Technician 6 [#8, #29, #9] Communications operators, mission-control and launch-integration liaisons supporting Earth↔Moon transfers and telemetry.
Support & Operations Crew 6 [#5, #3, #4] EVA operators, rover drivers, decon operators and sample-chain personnel handling day-to-day operations.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#10] Single site director / executive oversight position included in personnel pool.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and price ranges are detailed, allowing a medium-confidence estimate; however lunar construction, launch cadence choices, emergency incident costs and anomalous behaviour unpredictability introduce significant uncertainty.
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