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SCP-3643 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3643
Expected annual
$3.6M
One-time setup
$12.9M
Annual recurring
$3.3M
Personnel
11
Initial one-time setup and contingency reserves are large (~$12.94M), driven primarily by catastrophic/insurance reserves and instrumentation/incident-response capital; baseline annual operating costs are significant (~$3.35M/yr), driven by staffing, continuous web monitoring/cybersecurity, legal/cover operations, and MTF readiness.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.9M
Catastrophic Reserve $10.0M
[#28] Insurance / financial reserve to cover catastrophic escalation or systemic events.
Incident Response Reserve $1.0M
[#20] Contingency reserve for property damage / civilian compensation / emergency repairs.
Equipment $500K
[#10] Forensic analysis lab capex (benches, fume hoods, mass spec/SEM, secure computing).
Instrumentation Upgrade Reserve $500K
[#27] Contingency reserve for specialized instrumentation upgrades if novel properties discovered.
Transport Vehicles $280K
[#17] Purchase of 1–3 armored/secure evidence transfer vehicles (recommended 2 vehicles assumed).
Facilities $200K
[#12] Construction/reservation of 2–3 certified Safe containment chambers (shielding, locks, monitoring, climate control).
Epsilon 09 Development $200K
[#3] One-time software engineering, integration, QA, secure deployment of Epsilon-09 (GRAYSMITH).
Comms Infrastructure Setup $100K
[#18] Setup of hardened/out-of-band communications (satcom, encrypted radios, hardened networks).
Epsilon 09 Redundant Instance $65K
[#7] Initial hot-standby / failover instance and DR testing setup for Epsilon-09.
Locker Bank $60K
[#23] Initial secure custody lockers/safes and inventory system for non-hazardous possessions.
Av Forensics Toolkit $30K
[#22] One-time purchase of audio/video forensics and media sanitization tools.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.3M/yr
Logistics And Transport $950K/yr
[#16, #17, #18, #30] MTF readiness and training/equipment budgets (maintaining readiness), vehicle maintenance/fuel, recurring comms fees, and cross-site coordination/admin travel.
Staff Wages $887K/yr
[#1, #2, #21, #14, #22] Dedicated Site-81 security/readiness staffing (~4 FTE) + Level-2 operator time, OSINT analysts (2–4), on-site medics and AV/forensics operator salaries.
Cover Story And Legal $875K/yr
[#8, #9, #24, #25, #29] Legal/takedown operations, PR/disinformation and cover-story contractors, ethics/legal oversight costs, whistleblower mitigation reserve and annual audit/mimicry costs.
Research And Monitoring $312K/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #7] Ongoing Epsilon-09 hosting/crawling, archive storage, long-term forensic archiving, cybersecurity/SOC, and recurring DR exercises.
Supplies And Consumables $115K/yr
[#11, #26] Consumables and assay costs for item analysis; field PPE and consumables for confiscation teams.
Training Drills $100K/yr
[#19] Annual training program, tabletop and live drills for Site-81 and Euclid personnel.
Biohazard Disposal $50K/yr
[#15] Annual budget for biohazard disposal, classified destruction, and post-mortem handling.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#13] Environmental monitoring and maintenance for containment cells (HVAC, power conditioning, sensors, CCTV).
Cataloging Staff $30K/yr
[#23] Ongoing cataloging/staff time for secure custody and inventory management of confiscated possessions.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.3M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; continuous monitoring, containment readiness, and routine operations only.
no_incidents routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $3.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Single notable SCP-3643-1 appearance or targeted public exposure requiring MTF mobilization, extra forensics, legal action and PR response.
single_letter_delivery small_public_exposure single_mtf_deployment
🚨 Major Incident $5.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Larger public leak or multiple simultaneous incidents causing several MTF deployments, large legal payouts, extended PR and instrumentation procurement.
large_public_leak multiple_breaches extended_mtf_operations
🚨 Catastrophic Escalation $23.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Systemic breach cascade or major national exposure requiring drawdown of catastrophic reserves, large-scale remediation and replacement of infrastructure.
systemic_breach_cascade nationwide_public_exposure massive_instrumentation_overhaul
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#1] Dedicated Site-81 readiness staffing (24/7 watches, on-call rotations) ~4 FTE equivalents.
Level-2 Operator 1 [#2] Level-2 operator responsible for twice-weekly Epsilon-09 checks (0.1–0.2 FTE; represented as 1 dedicated on-call operator with fractional allocation).
OSINT Analyst 3 [#21] Internal intelligence / OSINT team triaging bot hits (2–4 analysts assumed).
Medical Officer 1 [#14] Medics on call / short-term patient monitoring staff included in recurring staffing.
AV/Forensics Operator 1 [#22] Audio/video forensics operator for media sanitization and analysis.
Administrative Staff 1 [#30] Administrative coordination for cross-site alerts, scheduling, and minor travel.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from analyst-provided ranges and a clear mapping of line items, but many items are contingency-driven (reserves, rare deployments, instrumentation upgrades) and ranges are wide; operational behavior of the anomaly and policy choices (e.g., willingness to pay takedowns) introduce material uncertainty.
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