SCP-3650 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3650
Expected annual
$1.6M
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$1.5M
Personnel
10
One-time setup costs primarily for secure containment hardware, specialized lab equipment and initial field recovery reserves (~$1.2M). Recurring costs are dominated by security and research staffing plus ongoing field operations and cover-up budgets (~$1.51M/year).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Secure Recovery Initial $360K
[#14] Secure recovery & field operations initial sweep for 12 instances (reconnaissance, travel, covert lodging, MTF/field team deployment).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $350K
[#8, #9, #26] Specialized lab equipment for memetic/microanalysis (microscopes, SEM access, HPLC, mass-spec, spectrophotometer); secure digitization system with memetic-safe workflow; computational modeling initial software/licenses/hardware.
Incident Response Reserve Initial $200K
[#19] Initial incident response reserve and emergency medical/legal costs (reserve set-up). Recurring maintenance (not included here) estimated in recurring costs as noted in #19.
Contingency For Additional Instances $200K
[#24] Contingency reserve for discovering additional instances (scalable reserve fund).
Training Program Initial $25K
[#20] Training program and memetic-hazard SOP development initial creation and intensive training.
Computational Initial $25K
[#26] Computational modeling & data-analysis initial licensing/hardware (overlaps with initial_research_and_lab_setup but included separately for traceability).
Facilities $20K
[#1] Secure containment locker modification (tamper-proof latch, interlocks, alarm integration).
It Initial $20K
[#22] IT & data security initial setup: air-gapped storage, secure backups, initial secure infrastructure.
Equipment $18K
[#2, #3, #4] One-way viewing frames / single-side viewing stations; photographic archival materials & climate-controlled drawer; CCTV installation (hardware & installation).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.5M/yr
Staff Wages $745K/yr
[#6, #7, #21] Dedicated security staffing (6 FTE guards) + research personnel (1–2 senior researchers + 1 technician) + administrative overhead (0.5–1 FTE).
Research And Monitoring $355K/yr
[#10, #11, #17, #28, #26] Ongoing memetic research budget; neuroimaging and physiological testing; forensic analysis of recovered items; psychological aftercare for staff; computational/data-analysis operations.
Logistics And Transport $219K/yr
[#12, #15, #23, #18] D-Class test support and medical/handling transport; ongoing field ops & monitoring; travel & transfer costs between sites; contaminated-item disposal (hazmat incineration) service costs.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#16, #25] Civilian cover-up/legal contingency fund and reputation/media management budget for leaks or civilian encounters.
Facilities Maintenance $29K/yr
[#5, #22] CCTV/system maintenance and data storage; IT & data security ongoing operations and specialist sysadmin support.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#13, #27] Restraint systems resupply and medical consumables; miscellaneous consumables and Polaroid handling supplies.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.5M/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady-state operations and no major incidents.
Routine testing Minor field visits No unexpected civilian exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $1.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small-scale accidental exposure or localized civilian encounter requiring forensic work, limited field recovery and legal actions.
Single civilian exposure Localized recovery operation Minor legal/cover-up payouts
🚨 Major Field Investigation $2.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Discovery of multiple instance locations requiring international or remote MTF deployments and large recovery operations.
Multiple remote instance recoveries International operations Extended MTF deployment
🚨 Catastrophic Exposure $3.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Widespread civilian exposure or multiple simultaneous incidents causing hospitalizations, major legal/PR costs and large emergency response.
Mass civilian exposure Significant casualties or legal suits Major public/media attention
👥 Personnel 10 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#6] Dedicated security staffing: minimum 2 guards per shift, 3 shifts/day = 6 FTE.
Research Scientist (senior) 2 [#7] Senior researchers with memetics/meme-hazard clearance (1–2 senior researchers).
Laboratory Technician 1 [#7] Technician to design and oversee viewing-limited tests and memetic analysis.
Administrative Staff 1 [#21] Administrative support for documentation, audit and chain-of-custody logging (0.5–1 FTE rounded to 1).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges and specific line items, enabling a reasonable cost build-up; however memetic behavior, geographic dispersion of photo sites, and incident frequency are uncertain, producing material variance.
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