SCP-3651 — SCP-3651 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3651 Unknown ? low confidence

SCP-3651

Expected annual

$13.1M

One-time setup

$10.9M

Annual recurring

$12.2M

Personnel

Estimated one-time capital/setup costs are approximately $10.9M, with recurring annual operating costs around $12.245M; largest recurring drivers are personnel (MTF and local operatives), cover/legal/disinformation operations, and contingency/reserve allocations.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $10.9M

Incident Escalation Reserve $5.0M

[#21] One-time reserve funding set aside to underwrite potential mass-event escalation (large-scale evacuations, remediation).

Equipment $2.1M

[#5, #6, #7, #16] Mobile/night-time kit (#5), permanent monitoring hardware deployment (#6), containment crate R&D/manufacture (#7), and fleet procurement (armored vans, drones) (#16) one-time purchases.

Legal Contingency Reserve $1.0M

[#14] One-time contingency funding for legal/governmental negotiated actions and sealed filings as needed.

Insurance Pool Funding $1.0M

[#24] One-time funding to seed internal insurance/risk indemnity pool.

Facilities $750K

[#8, #17] Site-40 incremental housing retrofit and special containment construction/shielding one-time capital (site retrofit & containment materials).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K

[#10] High-performance computing cluster and secure facility acquisition and initial lab computing build-out for Iteration-2234 custody.

Reputation Response One Time $300K

[#23] One-time major-leak rapid-response engagements (international PR firms, crisis management mobilization) initial budget.

Archival Setup $100K

[#22] One-time secure archival/off-site backup infrastructure and initial secure destruction/replacement systems setup.

Cultural Research Contract $35K

[#15] One-time cultural/linguistic research contracting (one-off study/engagement).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.2M/yr

Staff Wages $5.4M/yr

[#2, #3, #9, #11, #15, #19, #12] Salaries and benefits for standing MTF-Omega-19, local liaison/front-company staff, research personnel, cybersecurity staff, cultural consultants, data analysts/translators, and medical/psych support staff.

Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr

[#1, #14, #23] Ongoing disinformation/active cover campaigns, legal/governmental relations baseline retainer, and PR/leak-management retainers.

Facilities Maintenance $1.1M/yr

[#6, #8, #16, #10] Ongoing monitoring comms/maintenance, incremental Site-40 containment wing operating costs, fleet maintenance/fuel/insurance, and HPC power/cooling/ops.

Contingency Fund Allocation $1.0M/yr

[#21] Annual recurring allocation to replenish or grow the incident-specific contingency reserve.

Research And Monitoring $650K/yr

[#9, #19, #6] Program recurring research budgets, experiments and oversight (non-salary), and monitoring data analysis program costs.

Insurance Reserve Allocation $500K/yr

[#24] Annual recurring allocation to the insurance/risk indemnity pool.

Logistics And Transport $480K/yr

[#4, #7, #16] Annual costs for MTF deployments (airfare, lodging, per-diems) and routine secure transports to Site-40 (per-transport costs).

Local Cover Operations $350K/yr

[#2] Operating budgets for local front companies, payments to vendors, covert operational expenses (separate from local wages accounted in staff_wages).

Secure It And Cybersecurity $300K/yr

[#11] 24/7 cybersecurity program costs, intrusion detection, secure comms, and incident response operations (non-salary program costs).

Psychosocial Support $250K/yr

[#12] Ongoing medical and long-term psychiatric care budgeting for civilians and staff (triage, therapy, follow-up).

Sheltering Logistics $200K/yr

[#13] Standing agreements, readiness payments, and small annual sheltering logistics/stock for temporary evacuees.

Supplies And Consumables $175K/yr

[#5, #20, #12] Field consumables and PPE maintenance (NVG batteries, sensor replacements), medical/trauma kits and deployment consumables, and per-incident immediate supplies.

Data Analysis And Translation $150K/yr

[#19] Cataloging sensor feeds, video analysis, translations of local media, and surveillance archive analysis labor (non-salary program costs complementing staff_wages).

Training And Drills $100K/yr

[#18] Annual recurring training, multi-agency drills, memetic-safety rehearsals, and local coordination exercises.

Archival Maintenance $50K/yr

[#22] Ongoing maintenance of off-site backups and controlled disposal/sanitization efforts.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.2M/yr

75.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine monitoring, deployments, and program maintenance but no major escalations.

infrequent localized SCP-3651 events routine MTF deployments no mass evacuations or major leaks

🚨 Minor Incident $13.0M/yr

20.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline

Localized cluster of SCP-3651 events requiring elevated deployments, extra psychosocial care, and intensified cover operations.

multiple localized events in affected prefectures several urgent MTF deployments higher legal/PR and medical case volume

🚨 Major Escalation $27.2M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline

Mass-event escalation requiring large-scale evacuations, deployment of reserves, heavy legal/PR response, and drawdown of contingency funds.

mass evacuation of tens of thousands widespread public exposure/leaks SCP-3651-D long-term housing needs scale up

👥 Personnel 44 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	20	[#3] Full-time MTF-Omega-19 tactical personnel on rotation/standby for night deployments; fully burdened staffing drives major wage costs.
Research Scientist	6	[#9] Physicists/psychologists/memetics/anthropologists and technicians assigned to SCP-3651 study.
Administrative Staff / Local Liaison	10	[#2] Local Japanese-based operatives, fixers, front-company staff supporting cover and liaison tasks.
Cybersecurity / IT Staff	3	[#10, #11] Staff supporting secure IT, Foundation computer operations, and intrusion monitoring.
Medical Officer	1	[#12] Medical/psychosocial lead for triage, follow-up, and staff care.
Administrative Staff / Legal Liaison	2	[#14] Legal and government-relations liaisons managing sealed filings and negotiations.
Data Analysts / Translators	2	[#19] Surveillance feed analysts and translators for media/social monitoring and archive analysis.

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are low-confidence due to wide parameter uncertainty in SCP incidence frequency, unknown long-term care needs for SCP-3651-D, and the potential computational intensity of Iteration-2234; ranges in analyst notes are broad and many costs depend on scenario choices.

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