SCP-3695 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3695
Expected annual
$519K
One-time setup
$460K
Annual recurring
$501K
Personnel
3.5
One-time setup (hardware, ROV purchase, lab/monitoring setup, and contingency reserves) totals roughly $460k; recurring annual costs for a retained local response team, monitoring, insurance and logistics are about $501k/year, with the main drivers being maritime rapid-response retainer, staff wages, and monitoring/repair costs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $460K
Contingency Salvage Fund $200K
[#20] Contingency fund for long-distance or deep/ocean-going retrieval (research vessel + ROV expedition potential costs).
Equipment $152K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #9] Tethers/reels/carabiners, high-visibility wraps, GPS tracker units, acoustic pinger(s), optional moored monitoring buoy purchase/deployment, ROV purchase (aggregate equipment hardware costs).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#11, #12] Oceanographic modelling development/initial HPC runs and small in-house wave/marine test tank setup or related lab modifications.
Helicopter Emergency Contingency $20K
[#8] Contingency budget for emergency helicopter lifts/hoist capability (one-time reserve).
Environmental Contingency Reserve $20K
[#19] Contingency reserve for potential environmental mitigation / fines / restoration (one-time reserve portion).
Public Relations Initial Setup $15K
[#18] Initial cover-story / PR setup costs (templates, legal/PR package establishment).
Facilities $4K
[#1] Secure Standard Containment Locker purchase/installation (metal locker, tamper seals, basic climate control).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $501K/yr
Staff Wages $275K/yr
[#13] Pro-rated salaries for retained response team (boat operator, ROV/diver tech, research scientist, 0.5 FTE watch/scheduler) and small supporting staff.
Logistics And Transport $124K/yr
[#7, #14, #16] Local rapid-response marine charter retainer, travel & lodging for ad hoc retrievals, and secure transport / shipping costs.
Research And Monitoring $30K/yr
[#11, #12, #6, #4, #5, #9] Ongoing oceanographic modelling/software licenses, wave-tank/testing campaigns, buoy telemetry/maintenance, GPS/satellite subscriptions, acoustic pinger battery/service, and ROV upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr
[#15, #2, #3] Boat fuel, ROV batteries, replacement tethers and wraps, small consumables and per-operation replacement items (also includes ongoing small consumables budget).
Cover Story And Legal $15K/yr
[#17, #18, #10] Annual legal retainer, permit liaison and modest ongoing cover-story/PR maintenance; includes small permit/admin recurring costs.
Insurance $10K/yr
[#21] Insurance premiums and asset replacement coverage for trackers, ROV, retained assets.
Administrative Overhead $8K/yr
[#22] Recordkeeping, secure databases, IT and admin support costs allocated to the project.
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#24] Pro-rated site utilities, security and general maintenance allocation for storage/workspace.
Training And Certifications $5K/yr
[#23] Regular marine safety, small boat operation, dive and tether-handling training and certifications.
Environmental Compliance $5K/yr
[#19] Recurring permit/compliance planning and minor mitigation budgeting for operations near reefs/protected zones.
Small Item Contingency $3K/yr
[#25] Quick-response fund for small repairs and immediate consumable replacements after experiments/exposure.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $501K/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal year with retained local response, routine monitoring, minor consumables and no major loss events.
no_loss_event routine_maintenance scheduled_training
🚨 Minor Incident $521K/yr
20.0% probability / year +$20K vs baseline
SCP-3695 becomes untethered but is recovered via local retainer/charter, small salvage team or short ROV/diver deployment.
short_range_drift one-day_charter local_ROV_or_salvor
🚨 Major Recovery $651K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Longer-range offshore salvage requiring multi-day charter or research-vessel support with ROV and contractor fees.
long_range_drift research_vessel_deployment paid_salvage_contract
🚨 Catastrophic Deep Sea Retrieval $1.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
SCP-3695 drifts into pelagic/deep-sea zone requiring an expeditionary research vessel, deep-sea ROV/saturation teams and major salvage effort.
pelagic_transfer deep_sea_expédition multi-day_ROV_and_research_vessel
👥 Personnel 3.5 total
Role Count Notes
Boat Operator 1 [#13] Local boat operator for retrievals and retained response.
ROV / Diver Technician 1 [#9, #13] Technician/operators for ROV and diver-led recoveries (training and maintenance covered in recurring costs).
Research Scientist 1 [#11, #12, #13] Marine scientist conducting modelling, experiments and overseeing containment.
Watch / Scheduler (FTE) 0.5 [#13] Part-time monitoring/watch role (0.5 FTE) to manage trackers, retainer coordination and scheduling.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a mid-confidence estimate; however many items have wide ranges (salvage/expedition, buoy deployment) so uncertainty remains in contingency sizing and scenario frequencies.
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