SCP-3700 Hiemal ~ medium confidence
SCP-3700
Expected annual
$3.6B
One-time setup
$18.3B
Annual recurring
$3.5B
Personnel
10000
One-time capital and reserve spending (ship acquisition/retrofit, weapons integration, deep-sea capability, bases) are in the multi‑billion USD range (~$18.3B). Recurring annual operations (payroll, fuel, maintenance, surveillance, research, reserves) are on the order of several billion USD per year (~$3.46B), with personnel payroll and fuel/maintenance as the largest drivers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $18.3B
Loss Reserve $10.0B
[#22] Loss reserves / replacement fund to cover catastrophic vessel/equipment replacement (recommended reserve fund).
Contingency Escalation Fund $3.0B
[#29] One-time rapid-access contingency escalation fund for worst-case prolonged dominance by SCP-3700-2 (reconstruction, mass evacuation, multi-month operations).
Equipment $2.5B
[#2, #6, #8, #9] Upfront procurement and shipboard installs: retrofit/installation of L-cannons and classified comms on destroyers/cruisers/support craft; custom harpoon anchors/winch/deck systems; deep-sea DSV/ROV hardware and launch/recovery systems.
Facilities $1.8B
[#1, #11] Acquisition/purchase and structural retrofit of 2 battleships (hull reinforcement, dry-dock work) and construction/hardening of forward base(s) in Orkney/Shetland/Faroe; includes piers, hardened command bunkers and storm-proofing.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $530.0M
[#6, #21] Weapons R&D program for L-cannons (program-level R&D, testing ranges, fail-safes) and one-time data-processing / SOC infrastructure for anomaly detection and sensor fusion.
Energy Infrastructure $350.0M
[#7] One-time shipboard and shore upgrades (generators/reactor work, capacitors, cooling plants) to support L-cannons and high-energy systems.
Environmental Mitigation $200.0M
[#17] One-time program-level multi-island mitigation (beach nourishment, sea walls, groynes, habitat restoration) to address increased erosion associated with SCP-3700-1 cycles.
Holoprojector Manufacturing $30.0M
[#14] One-time manufacturing and implantation program for 32 Donovan holoprojectors embedded in SCP-3700-1.
Training Setup $15.0M
[#12] Initial training program and doctrine development (Winter Maelstrom & Tumult) setup, simulation costs, and initial allied exercises.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5B/yr
Staff Wages $1.0B/yr
[#3] Payroll for Delta-7 task force and shore staff; estimate based on ~10,000 personnel at ~100k fully-loaded per person/year (salaries, benefits, classified pay, rotations).
Facilities Maintenance $650.0M/yr
[#5] Routine ship maintenance, dry-docking, MRO and sustainment (10-20% of hull value range depending on tempo).
Supplies And Consumables $650.0M/yr
[#4] Fuel, provisions, aviation fuel, potable water/desalination maintenance and at-sea consumables for continuous patrol operations (fuel dominated).
Tumult Response Reserve $300.0M/yr
[#15] Annual budgeted reserve for rapid-response costs tied to Protocol Tumult (evacuations, emergency charters, humanitarian assistance readiness).
Munitions And Ordnance $175.0M/yr
[#20] Munitions, ordnance resupply, specialized anomalous ammo replacements and storage/disposal.
Surveillance $120.0M/yr
[#10] Persistent surveillance: satellite SAR tasking, leased SAR imagery/analytics, maritime patrol aircraft rotation, UAVs and SIGINT tasked to the zone.
Base Operations $90.0M/yr
[#11] Recurring base operating costs for forward bases (ports, barracks, medical, helipads, hardened command centers, storage).
Research And Monitoring $85.0M/yr
[#13] Scientific research program (marine biology, anomaly behavior, meteorology, environmental impact) and embedded research teams.
Logistics And Transport $60.0M/yr
[#15] Recurring logistics, charters, and transport readiness funding tied to evacuation/aid planning and routine resupply readiness.
Administrative Overhead $55.0M/yr
[#30] Administrative costs for classified procurement chains, clandestine contractor management, security clearances and contract oversight.
Infrastructure Repair Reserve $50.0M/yr
[#23] Annual reserve for repair/replacement of civilian infrastructure damaged during escalations (ports, ferries, airfields).
Cover Story And Legal $38.0M/yr
[#16, #24, #25] Routine diplomatic reimbursements, cover-story PR, media manipulation campaigns and baseline legal counsel/treaty management to maintain secrecy and cooperation with local/naval partners.
Energy Maintenance $30.0M/yr
[#7] Recurring energy system maintenance and additional fuel/electricity costs related to high-energy weapons and upgraded generators.
Environmental Cleanup Reserve $30.0M/yr
[#28] Annual hazardous-material handling and environmental cleanup reserve (oil spills, anomalous residues) and remediation readiness.
Training And Drills $20.0M/yr
[#12] Ongoing training, live exercises, drills and doctrine updates for Winter Maelstrom & Tumult.
Environmental Maintenance $20.0M/yr
[#17] Ongoing coastal maintenance and erosion control upkeep after one-time mitigation projects.
Fisheries Management $20.0M/yr
[#18] Ongoing fisheries/biological management, culling, restocking and disease control programs.
Deep Sea Operations $15.0M/yr
[#9] Operational/maintenance costs for DSVs, work-class ROVs, winches and specialist deep operations crews.
Medical Quarantine $15.0M/yr
[#19] Standing medical/quarantine capacity and specialist teams for SCP-3456 instances and other anomalous medical events.
Data Processing And Ops $15.0M/yr
[#21] Recurring operations, analysts and SOC staffing for data fusion, ML systems, secure comms and cyber security.
Containment Maintenance Scp3700 1 $10.0M/yr
[#27] Ongoing containment/health monitoring and medical/surgical maintenance for SCP-3700-1 (feeding, telemetry, interventions).
Harpoon Spares Testing $5.0M/yr
[#8] Spares, maintenance and testing for specialized harpoon anchors and winch systems for destroyers.
Holoprojector Maintenance $3.0M/yr
[#14] Maintenance, remote diagnostics, occasional re-implantation/replacement budget for the 32 Donovan holoprojectors.
Psychological Support $3.0M/yr
[#26] Counseling, R&R programs and trauma care for crews exposed to anomalous engagements.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5B/yr
80.0% probability / year
An uneventful year with continuous containment and no large-scale incidents; normal patrols, routine maintenance, and scheduled operations only.
no major engagements scheduled maintenance only
🚨 Minor Incident $3.7B/yr
15.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Localized engagement or equipment loss (single destroyer heavily damaged, limited SCP-3456 spill) requiring repairs, med response, and replacement spares.
repairable vessel damage limited medical/quarantine events
🚨 Major Breach $6.5B/yr
3.0% probability / year +$3.0B vs baseline
Significant engagement causing loss of one or more capital ships and multiple escorts; large reconstruction/replacement and humanitarian costs.
multiple vessel loss extended rebuilding and procurement
🚨 Tumult Event $4.2B/yr
2.0% probability / year +$700.0M vs baseline
Activation of Protocol Tumult with multi-month evacuations, rerouting of trade/ferries, and expanded humanitarian and logistics operations without catastrophic fleet loss.
SCP-3700-2 dominates local zone extended evacuations and rerouting
👥 Personnel 10000 total
Role Count Notes
Sailors / Ship Crew 9650 [#3] Combined complements for 2 battleships, 13 destroyers, 5 cruisers and 15 support craft (shipboard operators, deck crews, weapons crews).
Research Scientist 100 [#3, #13] Embedded oceanographers, marine biologists, meteorologists and anomaly researchers assigned to ships and bases.
Engineer / Maintenance 80 [#3, #5] Technical shore and ship engineers for MRO, propulsion, power systems, and weapon integration maintenance.
Medical Officer 20 [#3, #19] Shipboard and base medical staff for routine care and quarantine capability.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 100 [#3] Security personnel for classified asset protection, boarding operations and anomalous engagement support.
Administrative Staff 50 [#3, #30] Logistics, procurement, legal liaison and covert contractor management staff.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and operational assumptions, allowing a mid-range quantitative estimate; however wide ranges on capital procurement choices (lease vs buy), frequency/severity of incidents, and anomalous behavior introduce material uncertainty.
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