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SCP-3752 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3752
Expected annual
$5.3M
One-time setup
$12.3M
Annual recurring
$5.2M
Personnel
39
One-time upfront costs are approximately $12.25M driven by site construction, robotics R&D, and contingency/decommissioning reserves; recurring annual costs are approximately $5.22M/yr driven primarily by staff wages, research/monitoring, and ongoing contingency and cover-up/legal expenditures.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.3M
Facilities $4.5M
[#1, #2, #7, #14] Site construction/retrofit (living quarters, labs, decon), perimeter fencing, Class-D cell setup and mortuary physical infrastructure.
Equipment $3.4M
[#8, #9, #10, #11, #12, #17, #18, #26] Remote sensor array, robotics procurement/R&D, tether/bores systems, generator, heated suits, vehicle fleet purchase, communications hardware, initial data servers.
Site Decommissioning $1.8M
[#28] Contingent estimate for eventual decommissioning, welding/sealing, or permanent quarantine measures.
Contingency R And D One Time $1.2M
[#27] R&D/escalation reserve for unexpected discoveries and accelerated research scale-up.
Coverup And Liaison One Time $625K
[#15] One-time diplomatic/cover-up payments, initial disinformation campaign and liaison setup.
Legal Covert One Time $300K
[#16] One-time clandestine legal counsel, safe house setup and covert transport arrangements.
Environmental Contingency One Time $275K
[#24] One-time contingency for environmental testing and potential remediation mobilization.
Forensic Services $156K
[#13] Forensic examinations, autopsies and specialized tests for existing remains and incident documentation.
Training Setup $20K
[#22] Initial SOP/training program development and drills setup.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.2M/yr
Staff Wages $3.4M/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #6] Guard force salaries, quick reaction team, research staff salaries, medical personnel and associated benefits/hazard pay.
Research And Monitoring $360K/yr
[#8, #9, #21, #24, #26] Ongoing sensor/robotics upkeep, contracted imagery/overflight surveillance, environmental monitoring and secure data/archive operations (recurring).
Logistics And Transport $275K/yr
[#17, #23] Vehicle fuel & maintenance, and aeromedical/extraction standby/charter costs.
Site Utilities And Living $275K/yr
[#19] Electricity, water, waste, food and on-site housing utilities for personnel.
Contingency R And D Recurring $200K/yr
[#27] Annual R&D/contingency reserve to scale up research or emergency measures.
Supplies And Consumables $175K/yr
[#20] Reagents, medical supplies, PPE, batteries, consumable sensors and calibration supplies.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#15, #16] Recurring cover-up liaison costs and retained clandestine legal counsel.
Class D Program Recurring $120K/yr
[#7] Recurring Class-D housing, rotation and care costs.
Generator Fuel And Maintenance $100K/yr
[#11] Fuel contract, generator/UPS maintenance and periodic testing.
Incident Investigation Reserve $100K/yr
[#25] Post-incident investigations, staff counseling, asset replacement and internal affairs reserve.
Training And Drills $50K/yr
[#22] Recurring safety/refresher training, SOP drills and simulations.
Communications Recurring $18K/yr
[#18] Satellite uplink, encryption services, leased-line and comms maintenance.
Mortuary Storage $10K/yr
[#14] Cold storage and secure body handling storage fees.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Annual Budget Summary $0/yr
[#29] Line-item summary (no additional cost; provided for budgeting reference).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.2M/yr
89.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine research, monitoring, maintenance and cover-up activity.
no breaches routine maintenance regular research operations
🚨 Minor Incident $5.5M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure, isolated Class-D fatality or small-scale discovery requiring investigation and modest replacement/cover-up costs.
drone/equipment loss single fatality or localized contamination minor diplomatic/cover-up expense
🚨 Major Breach $7.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or multi-fatality event requiring large-scale emergency response, replacements, legal/diplomatic actions and partial reconstruction.
multiple casualties evidence exposure requiring diplomatic settlement extended recovery and rebuild
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $15.2M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Major escalation (widespread fatalities, discovery by foreign authorities or need for full-scale remediation/decommissioning and expanded R&D emergency response).
public exposure large-scale breach or environmental contamination requirement for permanent quarantine/decommissioning
👥 Personnel 39 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 16 [#3] 16 full-time guards/supervisors to staff perimeter and site across shifts.
Quick Reaction Force / armed response team 8 [#4] 6–8 specialized operators; 8 assumed for full coverage and rotation.
Research Scientist 6 [#5] Core anomalous research team scientists as listed in analyst notes.
Research Technician 4 [#5] Technical support staff for experiments and equipment handling.
Project Lead 1 [#5] Senior project lead / PI overseeing operations.
Medical Officer / EMT 4 [#6] Medics/EMTs to staff on-site clinic and emergency response.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use reported ranges from analyst notes and mid-point selections for ranges; many items (diplomatic cover-up, R&D escalation, decommissioning) are highly uncertain and contingency-driven, producing moderate confidence.
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