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SCP-3753 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3753
Expected annual
$2.0M
One-time setup
$2.5M
Annual recurring
$2.0M
Personnel
12
Initial containment and basic research infrastructure are moderate but biosafety, medical monitoring, and ongoing staff/security are the main recurring cost drivers; estimated first-year one-time costs ~ $2.5M with annual operations ~ $2.0M.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.5M
Long Term Research Program Initial $1.0M
[#25] Initial seed funding for a decision to pursue long-term therapeutic development/clinicalization (preclinical scaling, regulatory preparation).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $700K
[#6] BSL-2/3 laboratory retrofit and core lab instrumentation (HEPA, autoclave, biological safety cabinets, upgrades for BSL-3 readiness).
Facilities $410K
[#2, #5, #16] Climate-controlled locker retrofit, biohazard-capable chamber build-out, and reinforced/padded containment room upgrades (structural/retrofit costs).
Contingency Reserve $250K
[#20] One-time contingency/reserve fund seed as recommended for liability/indemnity and initial disaster reserves.
Equipment $158K
[#1, #3, #4, #7, #14, #17, #21] Tamper-evident airtight container, monitoring/cameras/sensors, initial shelving, medical monitoring/resuscitation gear, secure specimen freezers, non-lethal restraint gear, and initial IT/hardware.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Salaries for on-call physician and nurses/techs, research staff (microbiologists/pathologists/behavioral researchers and lab techs), and security staff + clearance overhead.
Research And Monitoring $377K/yr
[#3, #6, #13] Ongoing monitoring/data storage, BSL lab operation & certification, and sample processing/sequencing/imaging costs.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#18] Ongoing legal counsel, classification management, FOIA responses, and OPSEC/legal overhead.
Insurance And Contingency $100K/yr
[#20] Annual insurance/indemnity premiums and ongoing contingency/reserve contributions for loss-of-containment risk.
Pr Black Ops Mitigation $100K/yr
[#24] Budget for crisis PR, reimbursements, or covert mitigation operations in case of exposure.
D Class Procurement Upkeep $75K/yr
[#11] Costs for procurement, housing, medical care, and ethical/legal oversight if expendable human subjects are used.
Misc Facilities Overhead $50K/yr
[#26] Utilities, janitorial, building amortization, administrative staff, and permitting.
Facilities Maintenance $32K/yr
[#2, #5, #7, #14, #16] Energy and maintenance for climate-controlled locker, biohazard chamber calibration/maintenance, medical equipment maintenance, freezer power/maintenance, and containment room upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#22] Secure courier/transport baseline for specimens or item movement under chain-of-custody.
Policy And Training $20K/yr
[#19] SOP development, staff training, emergency drills, and protocol updates.
Supplies And Consumables $15K/yr
[#12] PPE, disposable gowns, gloves, respirators, disinfectants, and disposable instruments.
Biohazard Waste Disposal $15K/yr
[#15] Regulated incineration or decontamination of contaminated PPE, tissues, and biological waste.
It And Secure Communications $15K/yr
[#21] Secure networks, encrypted communications upkeep, and regular security audits.
Evidence Storage $3K/yr
[#4] Annual space and administrative costs for storing growing teabag inventory and cataloging (chain-of-custody).
Controlled Destruction $3K/yr
[#23] Secure, documented destruction costs for excess teabags if policy doesn't retain them.
Long Term Research Program Operational $0/yr
[#25] Ongoing trial/manufacturing costs if program pursued; set to 0 here since initial seed is captured in one-time costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.0M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, regular monitoring, and no major incidents.
routine_operations no_security_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure, small contamination event, or single-subject adverse event requiring investigation and limited remediation.
equipment_failure localized_contamination single_injury
🚨 Major Breach $3.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Security breach or containment failure causing multiple injuries/exposures and public exposure requiring heavy remediation, legal action, and PR.
security_breach multiple_exposures public_disclosure
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $3.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Leadership approves scaling to clinical development/manufacturing after promising results, triggering multi-year program costs.
therapeutic_potential_confirmed leadership_approval
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Medical Officer / Nurse / Technician 3 [#7, #8] One on-call physician plus nurses/techs for monitoring, resuscitation, and experiment support.
Research Scientist 3 [#9, #13] Microbiologists/pathologists/behavioral researchers to study mechanism and analyze samples.
Lab Technician 2 [#9, #13] Lab technicians for sample processing, sequencing prep, and routine BSL work.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#10] Armed/unarmed guards and escorts for 24/7 access control, vetting, and material transport.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling reasonable mid-point estimates; uncertainty remains around biosafety upgrade choices, the decision to pursue clinicalization, and low-frequency high-cost events, so confidence is not high.
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