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SCP-3756 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3756
Expected annual
$7.6M
One-time setup
$505.7M
Annual recurring
$7.1M
Personnel
22
One-time start-up (land, conversion, core security, lab equipment) is modest (~$4–5M) for a provisional site; recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages, monitoring/space-liaison, and legal/cover operations (~$7.06M/yr). The strategic option to fund a probe/mission is separately priced at ~$500M+.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $505.7M
Space Intervention Contingency $500.0M
[#14] Strategic optional contingency for a dedicated probe/lander or larger mission to access the Ganymedian counterpart (low-probability, program-level expense).
Facilities $4.1M
[#1, #2, #3, #15, #20, #24] Land acquisition, site conversion to Provisional Site-9354, perimeter/fencing and guardhouse buildout, quarantine/isolation room construction, power/HVAC infrastructure installation, and archival archive buildout.
Equipment $800K
[#4, #10, #11, #19, #22] Electronic security/access hardware (CCTV, readers), initial IT servers/backups, continuous monitoring hardware, transport/vehicle purchases, and one-time escrow/seed for legal contingency.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $625K
[#8] On-site laboratory buildout and primary research instrumentation (imaging, sequencing access, physiological monitoring equipment).
Personnel Vetting Seed $220K
[#7] Initial background investigations/psychological screening and clearance costs for initial staff cohort.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.1M/yr
Research And Monitoring $2.9M/yr
[#9, #12, #13, #10, #23] Long-term biomedical/pathology contracts, space-agency liaison and paid data access, telescope/remote-sensing campaign budgets, IT operations for secure telemetry, and funded research program positions/projects.
Staff Wages $2.3M/yr
[#5, #6] Loaded salaries for 24/7 security staffing (armed guards) and scientific/technical/medical/admin payroll for the provisional site.
Contingency Reserve $650K/yr
[#25] Annual contingency fund (10–20% of operating budget) to respond to unforeseen anomalous/legal/operational requirements.
Cover Story And Legal $550K/yr
[#17, #22, #18] Legal counsel, cover-story maintenance, FOIA/PR handling, insurance/contingency litigation reserve (recurring), and liaison payments/training support for local law enforcement.
Supplies And Consumables $230K/yr
[#8, #21, #15, #11] Laboratory consumables and reagents, PPE and biomedical waste disposal, quarantine supplies, and minor maintenance/consumables for continuous monitoring gear.
Psychological Support And Rotation $150K/yr
[#16] Counseling services, mandatory rotation/travel relief staffing to mitigate behavioral risks from duplication effect.
Facilities Maintenance $98K/yr
[#4, #20, #24] Annual maintenance of electronic security systems, generator/HVAC upkeep and utility-related maintenance, and archive upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $88K/yr
[#19] Fuel, maintenance and standby fees for site vehicles and any contracted aircraft/rapid-response transport.
Personnel Vetting And Training $60K/yr
[#7] Ongoing refresher training, new-hire clearance costs, and periodic psychological screening updates.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.1M/yr
92.4% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, monitoring, and no major incidents.
routine monitoring scheduled research campaigns no security incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $7.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized containment incident or equipment failure requiring emergency response, overtime, and short-term increased monitoring.
equipment failure small breach or medical isolation event
🚨 Major Breach $8.6M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or serious incident requiring investigation, replacement of infrastructure, extended emergency operations, and legal response.
major security breach extended site compromise
🚨 Political Exposure $8.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Public exposure, FOIA pressure or local political conflict forcing heavy PR/legal expenditures and potential payouts or buyouts.
media leak local government/legal action
🚨 Space Mission Activation $507.1M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Decision to fund and launch a dedicated probe/mission to access Ganymedian counterpart, invoking the strategic contingency.
strategic decision to retrieve or study Ganymedian counterpart international mission funding authorization
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#5] 24/7 armed guard shifts (typical small-site staffing)
Research Scientist 4 [#6, #23] Scientists conducting monitoring and experiments (biomedical/astronomical specialties)
Technician 3 [#6, #8] Lab and instrument technicians supporting monitoring and sample handling
Medical Officer 1 [#6, #15] On-call medic to manage isolation/quarantine and medical monitoring
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#6] Site leadership and liaison to Foundation command
Administrative Staff 1 [#6, #17] Administrative support, scheduling, and cover-story administration
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges for most items and a clear program structure, enabling midpoint estimates; uncertainty remains for telescope/space-liaison intensity, contingency sizing, and the strategic mission likelihood, so confidence is medium.
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