SCP-3757 — SCP-3757 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3757 Keter ~ medium confidence

SCP-3757

Expected annual

$5.0M

One-time setup

$2.8M

Annual recurring

$4.8M

Personnel

Initial capital outlay is roughly $2.78M driven by facility retrofit, analytical equipment, vehicles and investigative push; annual operating costs are ~ $4.85M/year dominated by staff wages, tire procurement/handling/disposal, ongoing R&D and cover operations.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.8M

Investigative Initial Push $600K

[#9] Initial multi-month investigative push into Hive Detailing & Restoration Midwest, LLC (surveillance, undercover ops, subpoenas, travel).

Contingency Reserve $500K

[#15] Establishment of an emergency contingency fund for mass-containment, evacuations, expedited research and accelerated disposal.

Equipment $450K

[#2, #10] Modular insectoid containment cells (10 units) and purchase of analytical chemistry equipment (GC-MS/FTIR and safe hood).

Transportation Fleet Purchase $400K

[#19] Purchase and partial conversion of vans/trucks and potential mobile lab conversion for field teams.

Property Control Fund $300K

[#22] One-time buyout/control fund for securing an affected property (small-to-mid property buyout).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $175K

[#12] Initial molecular biology/metabolomics project setup and basic lab buildout for sequencing/isotope work.

Facilities $154K

[#1, #3] Retrofit of containment room to insectary-grade (meshing, airlocks, humidity/light control) and dim lighting/light-control installation.

Forensic Accounting $140K

[#26] One-time forensic accounting and supply-chain tracing initial investigative costs.

Training Initial $40K

[#17] Initial personnel training and SOP development (hands-on containment, feeding protocols, drills).

Long Term Curation Initial $20K

[#28] Initial climate-controlled curation cabinets and specimen archiving setup.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.8M/yr

Staff Wages $2.4M/yr

[#8, #13, #31] Salaries/benefits for rapid-response teams, research specialists and program management (includes full-time teams, researchers, managers and administrative support).

Research And Monitoring $650K/yr

[#12, #25] Ongoing molecular biology/metabolomics program costs (staff, sequencing, consumables) and environmental/ecological monitoring/surveys.

Tire Handling Labor $456K/yr

[#5] Technician labor to pick up/replace tires, clean mounts and document feeding on a two-day cycle per specimen.

Cover Story And Legal $350K/yr

[#23, #24] Legal/PR/cover-story operations and media monitoring/social-media response to manage public exposure and coordinate messaging.

Tire Storage Disposal $192K/yr

[#6] Storage, sanitation and disposal of used tires (recycling/incineration/hazard processing) for program scale.

Tire Procurement $110K/yr

[#4] Recurring purchase of used rubber tires for feeding (estimated for program scale used in baseline).

Ongoing Investigation $100K/yr

[#9] Ongoing surveillance and investigative follow-up after the initial push to trace origin/distribution of anomalous material.

Waste Management $100K/yr

[#16] Annual budget for cleanup of contaminated webbing/materials and treatment of novel waste streams.

Recruitment Vetting $100K/yr

[#30] Recruitment, high-clearance vetting, polygraphs and background checks for specialized hires.

Supplies And Consumables $90K/yr

[#14, #18] Lab consumables, reagents, PPE, mesh repair supplies and routine consumables for field and lab staff.

Data Security $60K/yr

[#27] Secure servers, encrypted communications and IT audits to protect classified data and imagery.

Facilities Maintenance $50K/yr

[#21] Energy costs (HVAC/humidity control, continuous low lighting) and routine facility maintenance for containment suites.

Logistics And Transport $50K/yr

[#20] Vehicle operation costs (fuel, insurance, maintenance) and routine transport for field operations and material replenishment.

Field Containment Materials $50K/yr

[#7] Black tarps, fencing, signage and erection/removal labor for ad hoc field containment per incident.

Structural Remediation $40K/yr

[#29] Site cleanup and structural remediation costs after metamorphosis on a per-incident basis (annualized).

Microscopy Access Fees $25K/yr

[#11] SEM/confocal imaging access fees at core facilities (outsourced sessions rather than purchase).

Personnel Training $20K/yr

[#17] Annual refresher training, SOP updates and breach drills.

Long Term Curation Maintenance $5K/yr

[#28] Ongoing maintenance for specimen archives and climate-controlled cabinets.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.8M/yr

57.0% probability / year

Normal operating year with ongoing containment, routine incidents managed within normal budgets and no major breaches or exposures.

routine field incidents ongoing research and monitoring no major public exposure

🚨 Minor Incident $5.0M/yr

35.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline

One or more localized containment incidents requiring additional deployments, remediation and overtime.

localized swarm / playground incident additional rapid-response deployments

🚨 Major Breach $6.8M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline

Large-scale containment failure or multi-site outbreak requiring mass-containment, evacuations, accelerated research and legal expenditures.

multi-site swarm emergence widespread public exposure requiring evacuations

🚨 Political Exposure $5.8M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Public discovery or media/political scrutiny forcing large-scale cover operations, legal settlements and intensified PR.

leak or viral media coverage local government scrutiny or litigation

👥 Personnel 46 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	24	[#8] Four rapid-response teams (approx. 6 personnel each) for deployments, containment and field operations.
Research Scientist	6	[#12, #13] Entomologists, molecular biologists and materials scientists for ongoing R&D and analysis.
Laboratory Technician / Research Technician	6	[#13, #14] Technicians for sample processing, imaging prep, consumable handling and lab support.
Program Manager / Administrative Staff	4	[#31] Program managers, schedulers and procurement/accounting staff to coordinate operations.
Engineer / Maintenance	2	[#19, #21] Facility and vehicle maintenance personnel for HVAC, generators, vehicle upkeep and containment suite maintenance.
Logistics / Fleet Operator	4	[#20, #5] Drivers and logistics technicians for tire collection/distribution and field material transport.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling mid-confidence estimates; wide ranges for many items (especially staff/field scaling and disposal) introduce uncertainty and justify 'medium' confidence.

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