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SCP-3769 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3769
Expected annual
$1.4M
One-time setup
$794K
Annual recurring
$1.4M
Personnel
7
One-time setup (~$794k) is driven by containment retrofit, manipulators, lab/equipment and contingency reserve; recurring costs (~$1.355M/yr) are dominated by specialized staff wages, ongoing research/sequencing, consumables and contingency/contracting.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $794K
Contingency Reserve $250K
[#22] Conservative one-time contingency/reserve fund for rapid upgrades or large-scale emergency containment.
Equipment $224K
[#2, #3, #4, #6, #11, #12, #19] Secure stainless transport container; remote manipulator; camera hardware; autoclave; surgical/microsurgery setup; initial containment enclosures; initial secure data/storage hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $165K
[#10, #25] Initial sequencing/study campaign and pilot research program startup (sample prep, reagents, study personnel onboarding, initial experiment series).
Facilities $140K
[#1, #7] Retrofit/containment cell including stainless surfaces, HEPA/negative pressure and minor BSL-2 modifications; excludes large BSL-3 upgrade contingency.
Clearance Processing $15K
[#15] One-time background/clearance processing and administrative costs for new dedicated staffers.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.4M/yr
Staff Wages $775K/yr
[#8, #9, #15] Salaries/loaded costs: geneticist, research technician, full-time veterinarian/med tech, security FTEs, part-time psychologist and physician retainer.
Research And Monitoring $225K/yr
[#10, #25] Ongoing sequencing, sample processing, genetic analysis and baseline research program operating costs.
Psychological Compensation $100K/yr
[#17] Counseling, long-term follow-up and compensation contingency pool for affected human subjects.
Supplies And Consumables $66K/yr
[#5, #6, #11, #12, #13, #20] PPE, disinfectants/chemical supplies, per-surgery consumables, animal feed/care, euthanasia drugs and general disposables.
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#18] Legal counsel, cover-story administration, records management and minimal suppression/PR activity for a small Safe program.
External Contracts $40K/yr
[#23] Outsourced sequencing, secure transport, necropsy/pathology and specialized third-party services.
Training And Certification $35K/yr
[#16] Annual training, certification and simulation costs for handlers and researchers.
Facilities Maintenance $24K/yr
[#4, #7, #21] HVAC/HEPA maintenance, negative-pressure systems, camera/storage maintenance and incremental utilities.
Emergency Drills $15K/yr
[#14] Regular emergency response training, simulation time and associated overtime/equipment costs.
Contingency Fund Replenishment $10K/yr
[#22] Annual replenishment/insurance premiums to maintain contingency reserve levels.
Data Storage And Security $8K/yr
[#19] Secure air-gapped backups, encrypted logging, off-site/secure storage maintenance and cyber-security for recorded data.
Ethical Review $8K/yr
[#24] Institutional review board administration, external review fees and compliance audits.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.4M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine experiments and no major incidents.
regular testing routine animal care standard sequencing throughput
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small containment incident or medical emergency (single specimen death, limited contamination, local legal/medical costs).
accidental death/incomplete Rescission Event local contamination requiring extra testing minor legal/medical expenses
🚨 Major Breach $2.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant release or discovery necessitating emergency upgrades (BSL-3 upgrade, large-scale containment, external contracting, major legal/PR response).
hazardous organism produced multiple simultaneous Rescission Events external exposure/public incident
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $1.9M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Decision to scale research program aggressively to map digit→outcome relationships, requiring added staff, sequencing throughput and expanded housing.
strategic research decision successful/valuable preliminary results funding allocation for multi-year study
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Geneticist 1 Geneticist responsible for sequencing and analysis (salary included in staff_wages).
Research Technician 1 Lab technician for sample prep, sequencing runs and daily containment tasks.
Veterinarian / Medical Technician 1 Full-time vet/med tech for anesthesia, surgery and animal care.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 3 Dedicated guards for 24/7 access control and restricted handling (loaded costs included).
Psychologist / Counselor 1 On-call/part-time psychologist for subject follow-up and staff mental health.
Physician (retainer) 0 Physician retained on contract (cost included in staff_wages as retainer; not a full-time on-site FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed with itemized ranges enabling a reasoned estimate, but wide ranges for several line items (BSL-3 upgrades, manipulator cost, contingency reserves) and scenario-driven one-time spikes reduce precision.
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