SCP-377 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-377
Expected annual
$322K
One-time setup
$201K
Annual recurring
$315K
Personnel
1.95
Estimated one-time implementation/setup costs are approximately $200,950 driven largely by contingency and optional active-research setup; recurring annual costs are approximately $315,350 driven by research staffing, legal/retainer fees, and an active-research posture.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $201K
Active Research Setup $95K
[#22] One-time high-end setup/reserve recommended for an active-research & risk-mitigation mode.
Contingency Reserve $60K
[#20] Recommended one-time incident/contingency reserve.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $18K
[#10, #12] Initial small observational-study equipment and controlled-testing materials (#10) plus secure fortunes DB/server setup (#12).
Legal Policy Drafting $10K
[#14] One-time legal/ethics policy drafting and internal policy documents.
Equipment $6K
[#1, #2, #4, #5] Includes purchase/installation of a lockable cabinet (#1), badge/RFID reader (#2), IP camera and mount (#4), and initial NAS/server for video storage (#5).
Cover Story Materials $6K
[#19] One-time communications/cover-story materials and templates.
Training Development $4K
[#16] One-time creation of training materials and initial roll-out.
Minimal Mode Setup $3K
[#21] One-time minimal operational option (lock/camera optional) if agency chooses low oversight.
Facilities $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $315K/yr
Active Research Mode Ongoing $165K/yr
[#22] Recurring high-end program costs if operating in full active-research & mitigation posture (hiring/expanded operations).
Research And Monitoring $130K/yr
[#8, #9, #11, #12] Psychological support/EAP or partial FTE counselor (#8), incident medical/emergency set-aside (#9), research personnel & operating costs for a small pilot (#11), and fortunes DB maintenance/backups (#12 recurring).
Staff Wages $7K/yr
[#6] Part-time compliance/administrative staffing (0.05–0.1 FTE) to administer logs and run reports.
Facilities Maintenance $6K/yr
[#3, #5, #7, #13] Access-control software/license & maintenance (#3), video storage backups/hosting (#5 recurring portion), quarterly audits/security checks (#7), and DB/sysadmin maintenance (#13).
Cover Story And Legal $4K/yr
[#15] Ongoing legal retainer and small legal/ethics advisory retainer.
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#18, #21] Minor consumables/janitorial impact and small recurring costs under a minimal operational mode.
Training And Sop Refreshers $1K/yr
[#17] Routine refresher training and briefings.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $315K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year under standard containment and monitoring posture (includes recurring research and retainer costs listed above).
routine_operations no major incidents standard audits and training
🚨 Minor Incident $365K/yr
6.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Single-site incident (medical emergency, privacy violation, or small legal/PR issue) requiring emergency response, medical care, and legal/PR expenditures.
medical emergency privacy/legal claim incident response and PR
🚨 Research Scale Up $515K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Decision or breakthrough that requires scaling research (hiring additional staff, expanded experiments, extra data/storage/analysis).
evidence of predictive value operational exploitation decision major research expansion
👥 Personnel 1.95 total
Role Count Notes
Administrative Staff / Compliance 0.1 [#6] Part-time (0.05–0.1 FTE) administrator to manage logs and compliance.
Research Scientist (PI) 0.25 [#11] Principal Investigator portion of small pilot research program (fractional FTE included in research costs).
Research Associate / Technician 1 [#10, #11] Technician/associate supporting controlled testing and data collection.
Data Analyst 0.5 [#11] Part-time data analyst for statistical analysis and database work.
Psychologist / Counselor 0.1 [#8] EAP/counseling support or ~0.1 FTE onsite counselor as per recurring psychological support estimates.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude based on ranges in analyst notes; many line items are optional alternatives (minimal vs active-research) so totals aggregate multiple posture options, producing moderate uncertainty.
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