SCP-376 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-376
Expected annual
$700K
One-time setup
$2.3M
Annual recurring
$650K
Personnel
5
Initial capital and one-time set-asides are the dominant up-front expense (~$2.29M) driven by a large contingency reserve and optional grid-monitoring/upgrades; recurring annual costs are moderate (~$650.5k/year) driven by research staffing, fuel/power, maintenance, and institutional overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.3M
Contingency Fund Setaside $1.1M
[#14] One-time reserved contingency for containment failure / emergency eradication / utility outage purchases (recommended set-aside; range $200k–$2M).
Grid Monitoring Upgrade Capex $550K
[#23] Optional larger-scale grid monitoring upgrade / cooperative program capex (multi-site program; optional).
Decommissioning And Neutralization Reserve $275K
[#20] One-time reserve for permanent disposal/neutralization and site remediation if executed.
Alternative Power Pv Battery $175K
[#4] Optional off-grid solar PV + battery bank sized for continuous ~10 kW operation (capex to replace diesel generator fuel cost risk).
Facilities $70K
[#1, #5] Trenching/conduit/underground feed and installation plus root-proof reinforced concrete slab and rhizome barriers; includes permits and site work.
Equipment $58K
[#2, #8, #10, #11] Generator purchase & installation, initial pruning tools, initial monitoring camera/sensor hardware, and electromagnetic/electrical isolation hardware (transfer switches, filters, isolators).
Major Move Contract Cost $58K
[#17] Per-major-move cost for heavy-lift, cranes, flatbeds, hazmat-moving teams (one major move event estimate).
Sop Development $6K
[#19] Initial SOP/manual development one-time cost.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $650K/yr
Research And Monitoring $264K/yr
[#10, #13] Ongoing research budget (1–2 scientists/technicians, lab consumables, sequencing, small equipment) plus telemetry/data-hosting and monitoring maintenance.
Contingency Replenishment $110K/yr
[#14] Recommended annual replenishment contribution to the one-time contingency/reserve (policy-driven replenishment).
Staff Wages $65K/yr
[#7] Horticulture/arborist technician salary and benefits (1 FTE or equivalent contractor coverage for trimming and care).
Institutional Overhead $50K/yr
[#22] Pro-rated Secure Agriculture Facility overhead (utilities unrelated to specimen feed, building maintenance, insurance, admin support).
Power Fuel And Generator Operation $36K/yr
[#3] Diesel generator fuel and continuous operation costs plus routine oil/filter maintenance (sustained load fuel consumption).
Cover Story And Legal $35K/yr
[#16] Legal counsel, cover-story/PR, permit/legal interactions, FOIA handling and occasional local fees.
Utility Coordination And Compensation $28K/yr
[#15] Coordination costs, emergency isolation rights, and potential compensation/agreements with local utilities.
Facilities Maintenance $22K/yr
[#6, #12] Routine rooting/structural inspections and periodic electrical testing/electrician labor (quarterly inspections, emergency callouts, small repairs).
Logistics And Transport $12K/yr
[#17] Retainer for specialized transportation/heavy-lift teams for ad-hoc moves and contracts on retainer.
Sop Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#19] Ongoing SOP refreshers, staff training, and drills (annual updates and exercises).
Cybersecurity And Data Protection $8K/yr
[#18] Secure hosting, encrypted backups, enterprise-grade IT security for telemetry and research data.
Supplies And Consumables $6K/yr
[#8, #21] Consumable trimming blades, sterilants, ropes/straps, batteries, small tools and replacement parts.
Biological Waste Disposal $5K/yr
[#9] Autoclave/incineration or contracted controlled-bio-waste disposal for removed buds/lights to prevent propagation.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $650K/yr
79.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine maintenance, research, and operations only.
no grid tie beyond containment routine inspections and trimming expected research activities
🚨 Minor Incident $700K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized root breach or small unexpected growth event requiring urgent repairs, extra disposal, and overtime.
root breach into non-critical infrastructure localized seedling appearance nearby minor emergency repairs and extra disposal
🚨 Major Breach $1.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline
Specimen ties into external grid or spawns multiple nearby instances requiring coordinated utility outages, large-scale eradication, and potential compensation.
external grid tie detected multiple propagated seedlings in public areas utility-coordinated outages and remediation
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $3.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.4M vs baseline
Widespread propagation through the grid requiring multi-jurisdictional eradication, deployment of large contingency funds, and possible long-term remediation.
widespread grid-mediated propagation multiple urban instances requiring public-safety response nation-scale mitigation efforts
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Technician 2 [#13] Small research team (1–2 scientists/technicians) funded within the research budget.
Horticulture / Arborist 1 [#7] Primary on-site technician responsible for trimming and daily care (1 FTE equivalent).
Engineer / Maintenance (Electrician) 1 [#6, #12] Electrical inspections and maintenance coverage (quarterly inspections and occasional repairs; contractor-equivalent staffing allocated).
Administrative Staff / Legal / PR (allocated) 1 [#16, #22] Administrative/legal/PR support and facility overhead allocations for cover story management and coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a medium-confidence estimate; large optional items and wide ranges (contingency, grid program, power strategy) limit higher confidence.
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