SCP-3771 — SCP-3771 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3771 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-3771

Expected annual

$1.0M

One-time setup

$1.8M

Annual recurring

$996K

Personnel

11.5

One-time capital/setup costs are dominated by optional property purchase and contingency reserve; annual costs are dominated by security payroll, researcher/admin payroll, and ongoing testing/monitoring.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M

Property Purchase Option $1.2M

[#1] Purchase option for Burger Island property (midpoint of $500k–$2M purchase range); included as a one-time option cost / capital scenario (not baseline).

Contingency Reserve Fund $200K

[#24] Reserve fund for emergency escalation (usable for rapid scale-up in breach/mass-casualty or PR/legal emergencies).

Legal Buyout And Amnestics $100K

[#18] One-time legal/cover-story buyout or large amnestic/legal suppression budget (mid-range of $25k–$200k).

Equipment $61K

[#4, #5, #7, #8, #14] CCTV cameras & installation, on-site video/server hardware and initial config, UPS units, standby generator hardware, card readers/lockboxes, secure fridge/freezer.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K

[#12] On-site food analysis and toxicology instruments (modest GC-MS/HPLC/portable instruments and wet-lab setup).

Facilities $40K

[#1, #8] Site build-out, entrance vestibule, signage, small perimeter reinforcement and minor structural work.

Lease Setup And Legal $25K

[#1] One-time legal fees and contract drafting for lease/compensation route (lease legal/closing fees).

Training Setup $10K

[#17] Initial training program setup, scenario drill design and initial training delivery.

Secure Records System Initial $5K

[#21] Initial secure archival/file system setup for evidence, logs and restricted records.

Initial It Hardening $5K

[#22] Initial cybersecurity hardening, firewall setup and pentest remediation costs.

Network Initial Setup $2K

[#6] One-time network setup and provisioning for dedicated encrypted connectivity.

Medical Supplies Initial $2K

[#10] Initial medic/EMT stabilization kit and medical standby equipment purchase.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $996K/yr

Staff Wages $654K/yr

[#2, #3, #10, #19] Security guards (8 FTE @ ~$48k each), supervisory coverage and relief, on-call medic/part-time med tech, researcher/admin payroll (1.5 FTE equivalent).

Property Lease Payments $120K/yr

[#1] Recurring lease/compensation payments if Foundation chooses leasing option (~$10k/month midpoint of $5k–$15k/month).

Research And Monitoring $74K/yr

[#11, #20, #21] Pathology/autopsy contingency and forensic budget (~$20k/yr), controlled food-sampling/testing program (~$50k/yr), recurring evidence/video storage & document management (~$3.5k/yr).

Supplies And Consumables $41K/yr

[#13, #16, #25, #10] Laboratory consumables and testing reagents, PPE and cleaning/janitorial supplies, miscellaneous operational consumables, ongoing medical supply replenishment.

Logistics And Transport $30K/yr

[#23] Travel, lodging and per-diem for mainland specialists and ad-hoc specialist trips to Hawai‘i.

Cover Story And Legal $30K/yr

[#18] Ongoing local relations, PR/cover maintenance, minor ongoing payments to owner or vendors for cover story and permits.

Facilities Maintenance $21K/yr

[#7, #9, #14] Utilities/property tax/assessments and insurance, generator fuel & maintenance, refrigeration temperature monitoring service.

Cybersecurity And It $12K/yr

[#22] Ongoing cybersecurity/IT administration, monitoring, periodic pentesting and contractor support.

Network Connectivity $7K/yr

[#6] Dedicated business-class link recurring service (~$600/month assumed midpoint).

Staff Training $4K/yr

[#17] Annual refresher and scenario drills (non-lethal handling, containment protocols, sample handling).

Biohazard Waste Disposal $3K/yr

[#15] Contracted medical/biohazard waste disposal for contaminated materials and specimens.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $996K/yr

89.0% probability / year

Normal uneventful year with steady-state operations, lease in place, no major incidents.

steady_operations routine_testing no_public_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $1.0M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline

Single-customer adverse event or isolated fatality requiring extra medical response, autopsy, PR/legal work and short-term overtime.

single_fatality external_autopsy local_media_scrutiny

🚨 Major Breach $2.0M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Larger public exposure or mass-casualty event requiring emergency scale-up: MTF/security surge, large PR/legal response, possible rapid property acquisition and medevac/hospitalization costs.

mass_casualty public_exposure extended_media/legal_response

👥 Personnel 11.5 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	8	[#2] Eight FTE guards to provide 24/7 two-guard coverage with rotations and benefits included.
Security Supervisor	1	[#3] Supervisor/onsite manager / relief and scheduling coverage (0.5–1.0 FTE; modeled as 1 FTE equivalent).
Medical Officer	1	[#10] On-call medic/part-time med tech budgeted as a 1.0 FTE equivalent for readiness and monitoring of ingestion tests.
Research Scientist	1	[#12, #20, #19] Primary researcher to run testing programs and analysis (part of the 1.5 FTE researcher/admin allocation).
Administrative Staff	0.5	[#19] Administrative/HR/payroll support (modeled as 0.5 FTE of the 1.5 FTE researcher/support allocation).

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide line-item ranges and staffing estimates for most costs, enabling a mid-range quantitative build; uncertainty remains around lease vs purchase choice and event probabilities, so confidence is medium.

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