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SCP-3782 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3782
Expected annual
$416K
One-time setup
$814K
Annual recurring
$396K
Personnel
3
Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $814,000 driven primarily by physical containment hardening, transport retrofit, legal/media contingency and a large contingency reserve. Annual recurring operations are roughly $396,000/yr, driven by security staffing, legal retainer, site overhead and ongoing testing/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $814K
Contingency Reserve $500K
[#18] Contingency reserve for witness relocation / buyouts / diplomatic mitigation (held as reserve).
Media Contingency $100K
[#17] One-time contingency fund allocated to media-suppression / active incident legal/media actions (partial contingency distinct from larger reserve).
Equipment $60K
[#2, #3, #4, #8, #9, #23] Secondary safe/transport case, museum-grade housing and environmental controls, one-time CCTV/tamper sensors/encrypted logging, initial information-security hardware, handling equipment/PPE, UPS purchase.
Logistics Transport Vehicle $50K
[#16] Vehicle retrofit for secure/armored transport and secure transfer cases.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $48K
[#10, #11, #12] Forensic/materials analysis & conservation assessment, audio/visual capture and test-lab setup, controlled testing program initial setup.
Clearance Processing $39K
[#7] Level-4 background investigations / polygraphs / psychological evaluations for 6 authorized personnel (one-time initial processing).
Consultants $10K
[#15] Specialist consultant engagements (historian/glass conservator/ophthalmic expert) - initial engagements budgeted.
Facilities $5K
[#1] Secure containment safe installation and hardening inside Site-39.
Documentation $3K
[#21] One-time digitization, redaction and sealing of records / creation of sealed archives.
Rough Order Summary $0
[#25] Aggregated rough-order-of-magnitude summary; not an additional cost line item (range guidance provided in analyst notes).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $396K/yr
Staff Wages $150K/yr
[#6] Security personnel: 2guards (~$40k/yr each) + 1 supervisor (~$70k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#17] Retained legal counsel / media/cover-story retainer and ongoing legal support.
Facilities Maintenance $36K/yr
[#4, #5, #23] Pro-rated Site-39 allocation ($35,000/yr), surveillance/tamper sensor maintenance (~$1,000/yr), UPS electricity/maintenance (~$500/yr).
Research And Monitoring $27K/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing audio/visual equipment maintenance (~$2,000/yr) and controlled testing program recurring budget (~$25,000/yr).
External Coordination $20K/yr
[#20] Covert liaison and coordination budget with external agencies and classified briefings.
Psychological Support $15K/yr
[#14] Psychological screening and post-exposure counseling for handlers and test subjects.
Medical Support $10K/yr
[#13] Medical monitoring and emergency response during tests (on-call medic coverage, baseline checks, emergency supplies).
Incident Drills $10K/yr
[#19] Quarterly tabletop and annual full drills, SOP updates and training.
Audit And Compliance $8K/yr
[#24] Annual internal audit/compliance review, memetic protocol verification and record redaction review.
Clearance Renewals $6K/yr
[#7] Small annual renewal/background recheck costs for authorized personnel (estimated ~$1k/person/yr for 6 people).
Info Security Maintenance $5K/yr
[#8] Maintenance and audits for air-gapped servers, redaction tools and memetic-precaution infrastructure.
Logistics And Transport $4K/yr
[#16] Per-move operational costs for secure transport (budget for occasional controlled moves ~2 moves/yr at ~$2,000 each).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#9, #22] Consumables and small equipment replacement (gloves, batteries, cleaning supplies, small repairs).
Documentation Maintenance $2K/yr
[#21] Ongoing maintenance of sealed records and controlled-access databases.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $396K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, scheduled testing and no major incidents.
no incidents routine testing only
🚨 Minor Incident $446K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small accidental exposure or handling mishap requiring targeted legal action, minor witness mitigation and limited emergency response.
accidental public sighting minor leak or legal challenge
🚨 Major Public Exposure $1.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant public exposure or politically sensitive leak (wearer perceived as a real public figure) necessitating large-scale legal, PR, relocation and diplomatic mitigation.
widespread media exposure diplomatic incident / high-profile witness
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $696K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Testing determines cameras capture the illusion (or other result that increases public-risk), requiring an operational scale-up of containment, legal and public-mitigation measures.
cameras capture illusion evidence of perceptual replication
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#6] Two operational guards to cover rotations (~$40k/yr each) included in staff wages.
Security Supervisor / Level-3-4 1 [#6] One supervisor (~$70k/yr) overseeing guard coverage included in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Equipment, staffing and standard operational costs are well-specified; large uncertainty remains in the size and likelihood of political/diplomatic incidents and the proper contingency level, so overall confidence is medium.
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