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SCP-3791 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3791
Expected annual
$2.3M
One-time setup
$2.6M
Annual recurring
$2.3M
Personnel
14
One-time setup and contingency funding dominate upfront cost (heavy physical security, safes, IT development, and a catastrophic reserve). Recurring annual costs are driven primarily by dedicated security/MTF staffing, CSUM-4 processing and research support, medical/amnestic supply costs, and a contingency/legal reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.6M
Catastrophic Reserve $2.0M
[#25] Liquid catastrophic / black-budget reserve for large-scale unexpected responses (recommendation midpoint used).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $325K
[#17] One-time startup for authorized experimental research program (midpoint of $150k–$500k range).
Equipment $201K
[#2, #3, #4, #7, #8, #12, #15, #22, #23] Keypad/UPS purchase and spare parts, safes 13/77/95 and safe 46 installation, vetting DB initial setup, access-logging system one-time dev portion, initial enforcement/search equipment, small hardware contingencies, sensors integration, and forensic kit (midpoint and listed one-time components aggregated).
Facilities $36K
[#1, #5] Initial structural inspection/repairs for Decommissioned Facility substructure and installation/anchoring of the 10cm steel plate (midpoint estimates used).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#6, #18] Dedicated on-site specialized security staffing (6 officers) and alternate MTF detachment on-call readiness (salaries/standing readiness).
Research And Monitoring $620K/yr
[#11, #17, #10] CSUM-4 processing sessions (analyst time and secure processing), ongoing authorized research program operating budget, and medical/psychiatric follow-up monitoring costs.
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#19] Annual allocation to a legal/cover-up/contingency reserve for low-frequency/high-cost external exposures or record remediation.
Supplies And Consumables $110K/yr
[#9, #13] Class-A amnestic inventory/administering costs (baseline exposures) and secure destruction consumables/operations (incineration/shredding fuel and supervised workflows).
Training And Certification $75K/yr
[#21] Annual training, recertification, and memetic/amnestic protocol coursework for authorized personnel.
Administrative Operations $56K/yr
[#16, #24] Scheduling/safeguard costs for November 3 restrictions and administrative overhead for O5 authorization logistics.
It Operations $42K/yr
[#8, #20] Hosting/audit costs for access-logging and amnestic-frequency tracking system plus data-privacy/medical-record retention costs.
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#1, #5, #15, #22] Annual structural inspections/weatherproofing, rust protection/replacement amortization, small hardware recertification, and environmental power/HVAC adjustments.
Personnel Vetting $12K/yr
[#7] Background checks, flagged-personnel database hosting, and continued exclusion enforcement audits.
Equipment Maintenance $10K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #23] Keypad vendor SLA/spares, safes maintenance inspections, Safe-46 audits, and forensic kit consumables/lab time.
Logistics And Transport $8K/yr
[#14] Controlled transfer logistics for escorted movement of keys/small items (armored courier/escort assumed frequency).
Inspections And Searches $6K/yr
[#12] Operations cost for pre/post-entry searches, bag scanners, and random audits to enforce 'no records' rule.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.3M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; regular access, scheduled processing, and routine maintenance.
routine_processing scheduled_accesses no_breach_events
🚨 Minor Incident $2.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Limited unauthorized access or accidental higher-than-expected exposures requiring extra amnestic treatments, targeted forensic response, and modest legal/PR action.
unauthorized_entry elevated_exposures targeted_forensic_investigation
🚨 Major Breach $4.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or public exposure requiring large tactical response, extensive medical/legal remediation, and use of catastrophic contingency funds.
mass_exposure public_leak structural_failure
👥 Personnel 14 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Site Security 6 [#6] Three shifts × 2 specialized officers/shift; salaries reflected in staff_wages.
Tactical MTF Detachment 8 [#18] Alternate trained detachment on-call (Alpha-1 excluded); readiness/reserve salaries reflected in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item estimates and ranges; many items are conditional (e.g., authorized research, staffing choices) and numerous ranges were midpoint-averaged. Uncertainty remains around breach probability, exact staffing mix, and contingency sizing.
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