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SCP-3794 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3794
Expected annual
$66K
One-time setup
$432K
Annual recurring
$64K
Personnel
0.5
One-time containment hardware, sensors, and administrative setup dominate upfront costs (notably a recommended contingency reserve for detached living tissue); recurring costs are modest (security allocation, maintenance, inspections, and emergency contingencies) but can spike dramatically if incidents occur or testing resumes.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $432K
Contingency Reserve Detached Living Parts $250K
[#19] Ring-fenced contingency fund for detached living parts scenario (recommended minimum reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K
[#20] Research restart / controlled testing one-time setup (ethical oversight, animal/cadaver procurement, specialized monitoring equipment).
Equipment $47K
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #8] Electronic lock and audit logging, tamper/motion sensors & seals, CCTV camera + first-year storage, remote handling kit, initial PPE kit, optional small remote manipulator/robotic arm.
Sop And Legal $6K
[#7] SOP creation, legal review, administrative containment file and cover-story paperwork (one-time).
Facilities $2K
[#1] Locker purchase and installation (secure metal locker, anchors, anti-tamper fasteners).
Background Checks $2K
[#9] Initial background checks and staff vetting for authorized-access personnel (approx. 5 people).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $64K/yr
Staff Wages $26K/yr
[#10, #13] Incremental security allocation (marginal staffing / coverage) and periodic inspections/inventory payroll (0.05-0.10 FTE equivalent).
Emergency Medical Response $15K/yr
[#17] Emergency medical response / trauma standby contract allocation (baseline contracted coverage).
Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr
[#11, #22] Facilities overhead and maintenance allocation (electricity, HVAC, janitorial) plus administrative overhead allocation to facility budgets.
Cover Story And Legal $10K/yr
[#18] Annual allocation for incident investigation / legal & PR contingency (baseline reserve for minor incidents; major events budgeted in scenarios).
Research And Monitoring $1K/yr
[#12] Monitoring, sensor/camera maintenance, data retention and alarm monitoring service (ongoing calibration and cloud storage).
Replacement After Incident $1K/yr
[#21] Annualized allowance for replacement/decontamination of containment hardware after incidents (per-significant-incident $2k–$15k; baseline reserve).
Supplies And Consumables $600/yr
[#15] Consumables (gloves, disinfectant, replacement tamper tape, seals).
Biohazard Disposal $500/yr
[#16] Annualized expectation for biohazard disposal (per-incident costs $500–$2,000; baseline assumes rare events).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Research Program Ongoing $0/yr
[#20] Recurring research program costs if testing resumes ($50k–$150k/yr). Set to 0 in baseline (testing suspended); accounted for in scenarios if resumed.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $64K/yr
96.9% probability / year
Normal year with containment maintained, testing suspended, and no major incidents.
routine inspections no accidental use no public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $89K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small accidental use or containment breach causing limited injuries/contamination requiring medical response, biohazard disposal, investigation and limited replacement of hardware.
accidental swinging during handling minor contamination limited public exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Incident $564K/yr
0.1% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Major incident involving casualties, detached living tissue requiring long-term care, substantial legal/PR action, and large contingency draws.
use as a weapon causing multiple casualties detached living tissue requiring long-term medical/ethical custody public exposure / major legal action
👥 Personnel 0.5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 0.4 [#10] Fractional/marginal allocation of existing security staff for locker access and oversight (incremental cost estimate rather than full dedicated hires).
Research Technician / Level 1 0.1 [#13] Periodic inspections and inventory checks (0.05-0.10 FTE equivalent included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item costs for hardware, monitoring, and basic operations are well-bounded; however per-incident and contingency items (detached living tissue, major legal exposure, full testing programs) have wide ranges and high uncertainty, so overall confidence is medium.
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