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SCP-3793 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3793
Expected annual
$8.2M
One-time setup
$3.6M
Annual recurring
$7.9M
Personnel
43
Initial setup ~ $3.6M one-time, dominated by a catastrophic-response reserve and equipment/transport buildouts; annual operating costs ~ $7.86M/yr, dominated by ERT staffing, public cover-up/legal reserves and recurring remediation/training.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.6M
Catastrophic Response Fund $2.5M
[#21] Initial insurance-equivalent contingency / catastrophic response fund (liquid capital reserve).
Equipment $852K
[#2, #6, #7, #8, #9, #10, #15, #16, #23] Tamper/CCTV/alarm hardware, PPE initial kits, secure vans, armored transport case, playback decks + spares, remote-deployment trailer build components, initial consumable emergency kit, comms hardware, initial spare-parts stock.
Legal Procurement Setup $125K
[#22] Initial setup for covert procurement, shell companies and legal overhead.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#17] One-time specialized tests and equipment access for forensic/magnetic-media analysis and initial anomalous-study instrumentation.
Facilities $40K
[#1] Dedicated containment locker upgrade (plaqued, climate control, tamper locks, mounting/integration).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.9M/yr
Staff Wages $4.5M/yr
[#3, #4, #14] Archival/physical-media staff (~2 archivists), full ERT staffing (Fixers + Toreros ~36 personnel), on-call medics (2 FTE).
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#20, #22, #26] Public cover-up payouts, PR/legal contingency, liaison/municipal relations and documentation/props; ongoing legal/procurement maintenance partially allocated here.
Research And Monitoring $410K/yr
[#17, #18] Ongoing forensic research, materials analysis, behavioral study and record-keeping / secure data archiving costs.
Hazmat And Remediation $375K/yr
[#13] Annual contingency/contract budget for hazardous-waste cleanup, soil/water remediation and disposal.
Repair Contractor Retainer $300K/yr
[#12] Annual retainer for rapid-repair contractors (electricians, HVAC, fire-restoration) to support Fixers.
Misc Contingency $300K/yr
[#27] Flexible annual reserve for unforeseen jurisdictional, legal or operational escalation costs.
Logistics And Transport $285K/yr
[#7, #10, #11, #16, #25] Vehicle fuel/maintenance, remote-deployment trailer lease & upkeep, remote site lease (common-case), comms service, generator/fuel for remote operations and HVAC.
Ert Training And Drills $250K/yr
[#5] Annual CPLAY-specific live drills, simulation costs and instructor fees.
Catastrophic Response Fund Replenish $200K/yr
[#21] Annual top-up / liquidity replenishment for the catastrophic response fund as incidents draw from reserves.
Supplies And Consumables $124K/yr
[#6, #9, #14, #15, #23] PPE replacement, playback parts/repairs, medical consumables, recurring emergency kit resupply, spare media/parts rotation.
Psychological Support $60K/yr
[#19] Counseling, occupational health monitoring and PTSD screening programs for exposed personnel.
Intelligence And Risk Assessment $50K/yr
[#24] Periodic mapping and surveys of the 15 km radius, satellite imagery and reconnaissance.
Legal Procurement Maintenance $50K/yr
[#22] Ongoing maintenance costs for shell entities, covert procurement channels and interagency contacts.
Facilities Maintenance $8K/yr
[#1, #2] Locker monitoring, sensor/CCTV maintenance and small site storage upkeep.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.9M/yr
70.0% probability / year
Normal year with regular training, maintenance and occasional small tests; no major uncontrolled CPLAY incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_training no_uncontrolled_cplay
🚨 Minor Incident $8.4M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
One small/uncontrolled CPLAY event causing localized damage, small hazmat cleanup and limited public exposure requiring modest cover-up.
small_cplay_event localized_property_damage minor_hazmat_spill
🚨 Major Breach $11.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Uncontrolled CPLAY with significant infrastructure damage, public exposure and large-scale remediation and legal costs.
uncontrolled_cplay public_exposure infrastructure_damage
👥 Personnel 43 total
Role Count Notes
Emergency Response Team (Fixers/Toreros) / MTF Agent 36 [#4] Multiple teams to maintain 24/7 readiness and rotation; personnel costs dominate recurring budget.
Research Scientist 3 [#17] Dedicated anomalous research staff (scientists/technicians) for ongoing study and forensics; salaries included in research_and_monitoring.
Archivist / Technician 2 [#3] Cataloging, archival and custodial staff for physical-media handling and transfer oversight.
Medical Officer / Medic 2 [#14] On-call medics/paramedics for ERT incidents and occupational health monitoring.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges, but many items are range-based and scenario-dependent (e.g., whether land is leased vs. purchased, frequency/severity of CPLAY events). Staffing and contingency sizing are major drivers and introduce uncertainty; hence medium confidence.
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