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SCP-3806 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3806
Expected annual
$4.5M
One-time setup
$830K
Annual recurring
$4.4M
Personnel
30
Initial capital (~$830k) for site hardening, surveillance, and lab setup plus recurring program costs (~$4.38M/yr) dominated by salaries for response/monitoring, centralized research, and contingency/reserve allocations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $830K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $530K
[#12, #22, #8] Audio/linguistic equipment and software, secure forensic/medical laboratory equipment, and forensic pathology lab capacity setup (one-time capital).
Equipment $146K
[#2, #3, #18, #5] Per-instance surveillance hardware and installation for 10 instances, central monitoring servers/software (one-time portion), regional comms gear, and initial evidence/coin-handling kits.
Facilities $58K
[#1, #15, #26] Locks/tamper-proofing installation for 10 instances, one-time land/access purchases/agreements, and initial mausoleum restoration/reproduction to maintain cover.
Public Suppression Initial Retainer $50K
[#25] Initial crisis PR/legal retainer (one-time portion) for rapid response to public discovery or media incidents.
Training Program Development $30K
[#20] Development of training curriculum, SOP creation, and initial vetting program materials (one-time development cost).
Legal And Permit Fees $15K
[#14] One-time contracts, permits, and region-specific legal/cover-story setup costs.
Gmp Compounding Facility $0
[#10] Internal GMP compounding facility not constructed in this budgeting scenario; amnestics assumed outsourced (costs allocated as recurring per-administration).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.4M/yr
Staff Wages $2.3M/yr
[#3, #4, #6, #7, #12, #13, #20, #21] Salaries and operational costs for regional watch centers, rapid-response teams (3 regional two-person teams), full-time psychologist(s), medical clinicians, research staff, program management, and administrative/support staff.
Research And Monitoring $1.0M/yr
[#3, #12, #13, #21, #23] Centralized monitoring cloud/staffing (recurring), audio/linguistic research staff & compute, temporal/phenomenology program funding, ethics/oversight recurring costs, and long-term discovery/reconnaissance program support.
Contingency Reserve Allocation $500K/yr
[#24] Annual allocation to a contingency/catastrophic-risk reserve to fund emergent containment, litigation, or large-scale response.
Insurance Indemnity Reserve $200K/yr
[#27] Annual reserve for worker compensation, indemnity, or internal compensation payouts related to volunteer/staff harm.
Logistics And Transport $110K/yr
[#4, #17, #18] Travel, lodging, per-diem for site visits and experiments (regional inspections), vehicle/fuel provisioning included in team budgets, and recurring data/comm fees for remote comms.
Cover Story And Legal $85K/yr
[#14, #16, #25] Ongoing legal retainers, local liaison/lease/access payments, cultural-compliance/community compensation and PR/cover maintenance budgets.
Personnel Training And Vetting $75K/yr
[#20] Recurring per-person training, recurrent vetting, background checks, and refresher SOP training for operational staff (estimated across ~30 staff).
Supplies And Consumables $61K/yr
[#2, #5, #7, #10, #19] Camera connectivity/cloud storage fees, evidence/coin-handling consumables and per-test lab consumables, ambulance/medical-standby costs per test, outsourced amnestic administrations per use, and per-incident detention/medical processing consumables.
Bereavement And Compensation Reserve $50K/yr
[#9] Counseling, bereavement support for staff/volunteers, and administrative/compensation reserves tied to fatal incidents.
Facilities Maintenance $26K/yr
[#1, #26, #11] Recurring maintenance and replacement for locks/seals, mausoleum stonework/repairs, and secure-vault climate/security maintenance.
Mortality Handling Reserve $14K/yr
[#8] Per-death autopsy/pathology, transport, and mortuary processing reserve (assumes modest expected annual fatalities; per-death recurring costs budgeted).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.4M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled tests, routine maintenance, and no major incidents.
scheduled_experiments routine_maintenance no_unauthorized_breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $4.4M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized unauthorized entry or vandalism requiring response, amnestic use, minor medical care, and limited PR/legal work.
unauthorized_entry small_number_of_fatalities_or_injuries local_media_attention
🚨 Major Breach $5.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or multiple fatalities leading to investigations, litigation, major repairs, and larger PR response.
multiple_fatalities formal_investigation regional_media_exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Exposure $9.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Public disclosure or mass-casualty event forcing large-scale containment, litigation, and program scaling.
national_media_frenzy mass-casualty_event major_litigation_and_regulatory_action
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#4, #20] Rapid-response regional teams (three 2-person teams) to respond to alarms and detain unauthorized individuals; staffing and training requirements included in wages.
Watch Officer / Monitoring staff 6 [#3] Central/regional monitoring center watch officers staffed to triage alarms and manage video/alerting systems.
Research Scientist 6 [#12, #13, #22] Audio/linguistic specialists and multi-disciplinary researchers running temporal/phenomenology studies and lab experiments.
Medical Officer 3 [#7, #8, #10] Clinicians/paramedics for on-site medical monitoring during tests and to administer amnestics/medical care; one per region.
Psychologist 1 [#6] Clinical psychologist to screen volunteers and run recruitment/consent programs.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#1, #26, #11] Maintenance staff for surveillance, vaults, payphones, and mausoleum repairs.
Administrative Staff 4 [#14, #17, #21] Admin, legal liaison coordination, travel/logistics coordination, and ethics/compliance support.
Site Director / Executive Staff 2 [#3, #13] Program managers overseeing regional operations and research programs.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and assume 10 known instances, three regional monitoring zones, ~20 tests/year, and ~5 unauthorized incidents/year; major uncertainties are actual number of instances (█), incident rates, and local real-estate/legal variability—hence medium confidence.
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