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SCP-3807 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3807
Expected annual
$12.1M
One-time setup
$51.4M
Annual recurring
$11.5M
Personnel
39
Initial one-time capital and contingency costs are dominated by a worst-case forced-relocation/containment contingency (~$50M); baseline annual operating costs are roughly $11.45M/yr driven by client monitoring, legal/cover reserves, staff wages, and amnestic/medical supply needs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $51.4M
Worst Case Relocation Contingency $50.0M
[#25] Lower-bound contingency reserved for full forced-relocation/hardened-containment operations; chosen lower-bound estimate $50,000,000 (politically & financially massive).
Equipment $760K
[#2, #5, #10, #11, #12, #14, #16] Vehicle & medical rig and anesthetic equipment ($130k), digital tooling/dev ($50k), secure storage hardware ($100k), EV fleet + chargers + generator ($250k), drone hardware ($100k), secure cold-chain/storage setup ($30k), armoring/kit ($100k) — aggregated.
Facilities $200K
[#3] Fit-out / purchase of secure detention / safehouse facility near site; chosen purchase fit-out estimate $200k.
Public Relations Launch $200K
[#6] One-time covert PR / grassroots campaign launch to reduce tourism.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K
[#9] Portable lab fit-out for field research and sample processing.
Legal Setup $50K
[#7] One-time legal setup/retainer establishment and initial local counsel engagement.
Training Development $30K
[#15] One-time development of memetic-safety / courtroom-intercept curriculum.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.5M/yr
Research And Monitoring $3.3M/yr
[#9, #13] Field research operations, lab analysis and long-term monitoring including scalable per-client monitoring budget (baseline assumption: ~1,000 actively-monitored clients -> ~$3,000,000/yr) + field trips/lab ops.
Cover Story And Legal $3.0M/yr
[#5, #7, #17, #21, #24] Takedown/host payments and legal budget (~$100k), legal retainers and liaison/compensation (~$350k), economic mitigation/community relations (~$500k), media-monitoring/legal subscriptions (~$100k), and incident legal/cover-up reserve (~$2,000,000/yr) aggregated.
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#1, #2, #4, #5, #12, #18, #19] Field surveillance team salaries (4 expats + 12 locals), rapid-response personnel, Foundation-employed psychiatrist, digital operations staff, drone operators, translators, and mobile forensic team wages aggregated.
Supplies And Consumables $1.4M/yr
[#2, #8, #14, #19, #23] Per-treatment amnestic consumables (~$400k/yr), emergency medical reserve (~$200k/yr), amnestic manufacturing/stockpile maintenance (~$500k/yr), per-device forensic operations (assumed budget ~$150k/yr), and general PPE/medical/restock (~$100k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $515K/yr
[#11, #20] EV charging/vehicle maintenance (~$15k/yr) and travel/lodging/rotational logistics (~$500k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $350K/yr
[#3, #16] Ongoing secure facility security & maintenance and local security contracts/armoring upkeep.
Oversight And Redteam $113K/yr
[#27] Oversight, auditing, red-teaming, and cover-story stress-testing exercises.
Public Relations $100K/yr
[#6] Ongoing covert PR / grassroots campaign maintenance and content monitoring.
Staff Training $50K/yr
[#15] Annual memetic-safety drills, tabletop exercises, courtroom-intercept training.
Power And It Operating Costs $45K/yr
[#22] Energy and IT operating costs: servers, EV charging loads, CCTV, comms, UPS, and fuel for backup where required.
Gifts And Offerings $30K/yr
[#26] Recurring discretionary cultural-offering budget to maintain cooperative relationship with SCP-3807.
Secure Storage Maintenance $20K/yr
[#10] Ongoing maintenance and air-gapped backup upkeep for secure evidence storage (~$20k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.5M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; all monitoring, takedowns, and routine containment measures operate as planned.
routine_monitoring scheduled_field_activity normal_client_load
🚨 Minor Incident $12.5M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized leak or viral media spike requiring surge amnestic/medical response, extra legal action, emergency PR, and intensified client monitoring.
viral_post_or_media_exposure unexpected_witness_outreach localized_containment_failure
🚨 Forced Relocation Or Hardened Containment $61.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Hostile change or failed containment necessitates large-scale forced relocation, hardened facility construction, or country-level intervention.
hostile_change_in_behavior failed_containment_attempt political_crisis_blocking_cooperation
👥 Personnel 39 total
Role Count Notes
Field Surveillance Team (expat specialists) 4 [#1] Expat specialists (team leader, memeticist, digital ops) — 24/7 monitoring rotations; 4 expat positions as noted.
Local Operative / Field Agent 12 [#1] Local-language/cultural cover operatives for round-the-clock shifts.
Rapid Response Clinicians / Medical Team 4 [#2, #8] Clinicians and memetic-safety officer staffing the mobile amnesticization response unit and emergency medical contingency.
Digital Operations Staff / Webcrawler Operators 4 [#5] Staff to run crawlers, takedown operations, and liaise with hosts (3–5 staff; mid-range used).
Research Scientists / Anthropologists / Lab Technicians 3 [#9] Field research team for anthropological, biological and memetic studies and sample analysis.
Foundation-employed Psychiatrist / Medical Officer 1 [#4] On-call or full-time psychiatrist for client follow-up and therapy.
Drone Operators / UAV Pilots 2 [#12] Operators for aerial/electric UAV persistent surveillance.
Forensic / Device-purge Team Operators 2 [#19] Mobile forensic team members responsible for in-person device cleansing and media sanitization.
Translators / Cultural Advisers 2 [#18] On-call multilingual translators and cultural advisers for interactions and legal processes.
Administrative Staff / Legal Liaison Officers 2 [#7, #21] Administrative and legal-liaison roles to manage permits, retainers, and host relationships.
Oversight / Auditing / Red-team Staff 1 [#27] Internal auditors and red-team personnel for periodic reviews and stress-testing.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [] Small executive oversight role for coordination across operations.
Engineer / Maintenance (EVs, chargers, generators) 1 [#11, #22] Technical maintenance for EVs, chargers, backup power and on-site IT systems.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many line-item estimates and ranges, enabling a reasoned baseline; uncertainty remains high for scale-sensitive items (per-client monitoring, device-counts, and worst-case political operations), so a medium confidence rating reflects reasonable arithmetic but significant scenario- and scale-driven variance.
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