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SCP-3811 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3811
Expected annual
$7.5M
One-time setup
$41.7M
Annual recurring
$7.3M
Personnel
42
One-time capital costs (cells, site upgrades, labs, vehicles, contingency) are large (~$42M); recurring annual costs are driven by staff wages, research, field response, legal/cover operations and consumables (~$7.2M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $41.7M
Scale Up Site Construction $25.0M
[#28] Cost estimate for new wing or small site construction in the event of major scale-up (potential hundreds of uncontained instances).
Facilities $6.8M
[#1, #2, #7, #17] Includes containment-cell construction/upgrade (#1), one-time cost to build/retrofit ~100 personal humanoid cells (#2), quarantine room outfitting (#7) and special-room conversions (aquatic tanks, fireproof rooms, scent filtration) (#17).
Contingency Reserve Fund $5.0M
[#21] Dedicated contingency / emergency reserve fund allocation for rapid response, amnestics, evacuations and emergency logistics.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.0M
[#8, #12, #13, #24] Diagnostic/monitoring system setup (#8), one-time specialized research equipment for studies/genomics/memetic labs (#12), amnestic production/stockpile setup (#13), memetic countermeasure lab outfitting (#24).
Project Contingency One Time $2.0M
[#30] One-time component of project contingency (10–25% guidance applied to capital items).
Equipment $912K
[#9, #10, #15, #18, #23] Telepresence & secure comms hardware (#9), air-gapped archival hardware (#10), purchase of 2–4 secure transfer vehicles (~3 vehicles assumed) (#15), decontamination equipment (#18), initial cybersecurity tooling/hardware (#23).
Training Program Setup $35K
[#19] Initial staff training program setup, background-check program tooling and consent paperwork tooling/setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.3M/yr
Staff Wages $3.1M/yr
[#4, #5, #6, #12, #14, #15, #20, #23, #26, #27] Salaries and benefits for security guards/response teams (#4), senior oversight allocation (Level 4 time) (#5), therapists (#6), research staff salary portion (#12), field/containment team salaries (#14), drivers/vehicle staff (#15), hazard pay and payroll premiums (#20), cybersecurity staff (#23), forensics/redaction staff (#26), and administrative/legal clerks (#27).
Research And Monitoring $1.5M/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #12, #24, #25] Annual calibration, data storage and monitoring for diagnostic equipment (#8), secure telepresence support and connectivity (#9), ongoing record/archive storage costs (#10), recurring research program operating budget (#12), memetic countermeasure R&D recurring program (#24), and long-term follow-up monitoring/reintegration costs (#25).
Program Contingency $938K/yr
[#30] Recurring contingency (15% applied to recurring budget to cover unexpected annual overruns/emergencies).
Cover Story And Legal $650K/yr
[#11, #22] Internet monitoring/takedown and rapid-response legal operations (#11) plus broader legal/cover-up budget for public records suppression, settlements and misdirection (#22).
Supplies And Consumables $618K/yr
[#7, #13, #16, #18, #29] Quarantine consumables/testing per-transformation (#7), recurring amnestic doses/consumables (#13), daily provisioning for ~100 contained persons (food/clothing) (#16), waste disposal and biohazard handling recurring costs (#18), and PPE/consumable supplies (sedatives, restraints, respirators, scent blockers) (#29).
Facilities Maintenance $340K/yr
[#2, #3, #17] Annual maintenance, utilities and HVAC for cells and labs (cell maintenance for ~100 cells) (#2), site overhead and utilities attributable to SCP-3811 (#3), and maintenance of hazard-specific containment rooms (#17).
Forensics And Redaction $120K/yr
[#26] Forensics staff and tooling to verify deletion of originals, chain-of-custody verification and public-facing document preparation.
Recruitment $30K/yr
[#20] Recruitment, backfill, and hiring costs driven by turnover and hazard-related attrition.
Staff Training $25K/yr
[#19] Annual refresher training, background re-checks, psychological screening and consent paperwork upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[] Operational vehicle purchase and driver wages accounted for under equipment and staff_wages; no additional non-wage logistics recurring itemized here.
Scaleup Operations Reserve $0/yr
[#28] Recurring operating costs for a new wing/site are only incurred if scale-up is triggered; reserved here as zero for baseline operations.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.3M/yr
89.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major containment incidents; routine operations supporting ~100 contained instances, regular research, monitoring, legal and field readiness.
no breaches steady intake rate routine research activity
🚨 Minor Incident $7.5M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$180K vs baseline
Localized containment breach or a small cluster of uncontained instances requiring emergency recovery, extra overtime, rapid amnestic deployments and legal takedowns.
single-site breach small public leak field recoveries required
🚨 Major Breach $9.7M/yr
1.5% probability / year +$2.4M vs baseline
Major containment failure or coordinated misuse of one or more powerful instances leading to multi-site response, large-scale field operations, mass amnestic use and significant legal/PR expenses.
multi-person breach weaponized instance use large field containment mobilization
🚨 Political Exposure $17.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$9.9M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or legal escalation requiring heavy cover-up spending, settlements, rapid large-scale containment and possible site expansion/relocation.
widely viral leak government investigation large-scale public panic
👥 Personnel 42 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 9 [#4] Coverage for 24/7 monitoring, guard shifts and on-site response teams.
Research Scientist 8 [#12] Scientists and lab technicians supporting mechanism research, memetic studies and countermeasure development (salary portion of research program).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#5] Senior oversight (Level 4 time allocation pro-rated to program).
Clinical Therapist / Psychologist 3 [#6] Weekly therapists assigned to instances until properties diminish.
Medical Officer 2 [#7] Medical/quarantine staffing for 14-day observation and testing.
Field Operator / Containment Specialist 10 [#14] Dedicated field containment and recovery team personnel (salaries included in staff_wages).
Driver / Transport Staff 2 [#15] Drivers and transport operators for secure transfer vehicles.
Administrative Staff 2 [#27, #10] Recordkeeping, forms processing, archive operations and administrative support.
Forensics / Redaction Staff 1 [#26] Forensics and documentation redaction responsibilities.
Cybersecurity Specialist 1 [#23] Anti-leak tooling and privileged access management operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#3] Facilities/HVAC/equipment maintenance support.
Legal / Cover Story Staff 2 [#11, #22] Legal counsel and cover-story / takedown coordination staff (recurring contract and operations).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges but many items (number of additional instances, outbreak likelihood, scale-up decisions, and legal/emergency spend) remain uncertain; estimates use mid-range assumptions and include contingency buffers.
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