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SCP-3812 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-3812
Expected annual
$233.5M
One-time setup
$702.8M
Annual recurring
$193.5M
Personnel
325
Initial one-time capital, R&D and contingency reserves drive up-front costs to the high hundreds of millions; recurring operations are dominated by personnel, facility overhead, information-security/censorship and research support, yielding a substantial annual budget.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $702.8M
Contingency Fund $375.0M
[#24] Reserved emergency fund for catastrophic escalation (midpoint of $250–500M one-time contingency).
Equipment $118.5M
[#2, #4, #6, #10, #15, #16, #17, #21, #28, #29] Purchase/convert mothership & patrol boats, UAV/aircraft buy, remote sensor deployment hardware, information-security infra, helicopter, secure comms hardware, data-storage infra, counterint systems, forensic equipment, logistics cache hardware.
Facilities $95.0M
[#7, #25] Site-86 new construction estimate and long-term archival/geological vault construction (midpoint choices for $50–100M and $10–30M ranges).
R And D Prototypes Seed $60.0M
[#9] Seed capital for prototyping active mitigation systems and field experiments (midpoint of $20–100M range).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50.0M
[#8] Major lab equipment, specialized detectors, quantum computing resources and research-grade apparatus for temporal/reality physics.
Amnestic Stockpile $2.5M
[#14] Initial one-time stockpile and setup costs for amnestic manufacture and delivery systems.
Legal Setup $1.5M
[#20] One-time setup for legal cover systems and secure identity infrastructure.
Training Curriculum $250K
[#23] One-time curriculum and exercise development costs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $193.5M/yr
Staff Wages $62.5M/yr
[#1, #3, #4, #8, #10, #15, #18, #19, #21, #28, #32, #23] Salaries, hazard pay and benefits for MTF rotation, vessel crews, UAV/aircrew operators, research staff, information-security teams, rapid-response crews, medical/mental-health staff, contractors and oversight/executive staff (aggregate estimation).
Cover Story And Legal $34.5M/yr
[#10, #20, #12, #11, #30] Continuous information-security/censorship operations, legal counsel & cover, public-relations/PSYOP campaigns, covert diplomatic/cover payments, and population follow-up/rehabilitation PR work.
Research And Monitoring $26.2M/yr
[#5, #6, #8, #9, #17, #27] Satellite tasking & SIGINT feeds, sensor network maintenance, recurring research staff & consumables, R&D iteration budget, data storage/compute and records-monitoring teams.
Facilities Maintenance $24.0M/yr
[#7, #25, #29] Site-86 operating overhead (labs, utilities, living quarters), vault maintenance, and forward logistics hub upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $16.5M/yr
[#3, #13, #15, #29] Vessel operations (crew, maintenance, fuel), emergency salvage retainer/contracts, rapid-response aircraft/helo ops, and forward supply/logistics staging contracts.
Reconstruction Replacement $10.0M/yr
[#26] Baseline annual replacement budget for infrastructure and covert compensation obligations.
Write Off Budget $10.0M/yr
[#31] Annual budget for failed experiments, destroyed prototypes and write-offs due to anomalous losses.
Supplies And Consumables $9.8M/yr
[#14, #22, #17, #23] Ongoing amnestic production & distribution, field sensor replacement/consumables, storage/compute operational costs and consumables for training exercises.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $193.5M/yr
69.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major containment breach or catastrophic event; routine monitoring, research, maintenance and censorship.
standard_surveillance routine_research no_major_breach
🚨 Minor Incident $223.5M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$30.0M vs baseline
Localized reality-alteration event or outburst requiring extended salvage, extra amnestic runs, local evacuations and PR response.
local_outburst salvage_and_cleanup mass_amnestic_operations
🚨 Major Breach $443.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Significant destructive alteration causing major infrastructure damage, substantial personnel losses and large-scale reconstruction and cover operations.
large_scale_explosion regional_infrastructure_loss mass_casualties_and_coverup
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $2.2B/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.0B vs baseline
XK/PK-class existential or planetary-scale alteration requiring sustained global reconstruction, activation of contingency war‑chest and large-scale continuity-of-government measures.
global_scale_alteration existential_timeline_damage activation_of_contingency_fund
👥 Personnel 325 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 100 [#1] MTF Ganymede-66 continuous rotation (~60 deployed on rotation plus support staff; aggregated to nominal headcount including rotation overlaps and relief).
Information Security Analyst / IT 100 [#10] Information security, censorship and monitoring teams (~100 analysts/engineers/legal referenced in notes).
Research Scientist 30 [#8] Multidisciplinary research staff (physicists, mathematicians, temporal engineers) supporting high-priority programs.
Vessel Crew / Marine Crew 20 [#2, #3] Crews for mothership and patrol boats; includes officers, engineers and deckhands.
Engineer / Maintenance 25 [#6, #29] Field sensor technicians, vessel/airframe maintenance and forward logistics engineers.
Forensic / Field Operative 20 [#13, #28] Deployable forensic teams and evidence-suppression operatives.
Medical Officer 10 [#14, #18] Medical and mental-health staff for amnestic administration and trauma care.
Administrative Staff 15 [#7, #32] Site administration, procurement and classified accounting support.
Site Director / Executive Staff 5 [#32] Senior command and oversight positions managing project-level decisions and black-budget allocations.
📋 Confidence Notes
SCP-3812 is a high‑uncertainty, reality‑altering entity with widely variable historical effects; most estimates are midpoints of large ranges and depend heavily on scenario frequency, so cost estimates are approximate and subject to large variance.
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