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SCP-3814 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-3814
Expected annual
$221K
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$3K
One-time setup and contingency provisioning are the main capital expense (~$1.19M, driven by a regional contingency reserve and equipment). Baseline annual archival/monitoring costs are minimal (~$3k/yr); active containment (if required) would cost ~ $967k/yr driven by security wages and D‑Class upkeep.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#17] Major breach contingency / regional response fund (one-time reserve provisioning).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $100K
[#9] Initial research setup (memetics-safe room / bench space / basic instrumentation).
Equipment $70K
[#4, #10, #11] One-time CCTV hardware/install (#4), vehicle purchase & basic gear (#10), IT hardening & encryption tools (#11).
Sop Development $12K
[#6] Initial SOP development and training rollout (one-time documentation & rollout costs).
Neutralization Closure $6K
[#18] Neutralization / reclassification closure costs (documentation, audits, decommissioning).
Facilities $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3K/yr
Research And Monitoring $1K/yr
[#9, #19] Post-neutralization periodic audits and minimal memetic/research review in baseline.
Facilities Maintenance $1K/yr
[#1, #4, #11] Minimal archival hosting/backups and occasional facility maintenance in neutralized baseline (incremental D‑Class block utility costs and CCTV storage are $0 in baseline operations).
Supplies And Consumables $500/yr
[#5, #12] Minimal annual supplies for archival tags/records and administrative consumables in neutralized baseline.
Cover Story And Legal $250/yr
[#15, #16] Minimal archival legal/administrative costs in neutralized baseline.
Staff Wages $0/yr
[#3, #9] Security staff and research salaries (set to $0 in neutralized baseline; active containment scenario models non-zero wages).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[#10, #20] Containment incident response / per-incident transport costs are $0 in neutralized baseline (budgeted in active scenarios).
D Class Upkeep $0/yr
[#2] D‑Class upkeep and rotation pool costs (set to $0 in neutralized baseline; active containment scenario models non-zero upkeep).
Medical Monitoring $0/yr
[#7] Medical monitoring/acute care budget (not required in neutralized archival baseline).
Psychological Counseling $0/yr
[#8] Psychological counseling / memetic debriefing (not funded in neutralized baseline).
Sop Training $0/yr
[#6] Annual refresher training (not required in neutralized baseline).
Administrative Overhead $0/yr
[#13] Administrative overhead & scheduling coordination (not active in neutralized baseline).
Personnel Replacement Overtime $0/yr
[#14] Emergency replacement / overtime fund (inactive in neutralized baseline).
Per Incident Transport Reserve $0/yr
[#20] Per-incident transport/retrieval reserve (not active in neutralized baseline).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3K/yr
79.0% probability / year
Neutralized / archival year with only minimal audits, backups, and record-keeping.
officially neutralized no active tag circulation periodic audit only
🚨 Active Containment $967K/yr
20.0% probability / year +$964K vs baseline
Full active containment year (routine operations): D‑Class pool, 24/7 security, monitoring, training, and modest research/testing.
reactivation / reclassification to Euclid decision to maintain D‑Class pass routine ongoing research program
🚨 Major Breach $2.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Containment failure requiring regional emergency response, mass amnestics, multi-site coordination and long-term remediation.
spread beyond site public exposure multi-site infections
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide explicit ranges for most line items, enabling reasonable mid-point estimates. Uncertainty remains around breach probabilities, contingency sizing, and whether containment is actively maintained versus archival, hence a medium confidence.
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