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SCP-3813 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-3813
Expected annual
$32.4M
One-time setup
$143.8M
Annual recurring
$24.4M
Personnel
12
Initial one-time capital and contingency planning dominate costs (primarily catastrophic-response reserve, subsea cable option, vessel purchases and heavy-salvage contingency). Recurring costs are driven by continual monitoring, personnel, vessel operations, readiness funds, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $143.8M
Catastrophic Activation Fund $100.0M
[#25] Planning reserve for catastrophic activation (naval task forces, mass evacuations, infrastructure repair).
Heavy Lift Salvage Contingency $10.0M
[#19] Charter/purchase reserve for heavy-lift crane ships, dredgers, and multi-week salvage campaigns if physical intervention required.
Support Vessel Purchase $5.0M
[#8] Purchase of dedicated support/patrol vessel(s) (alternative to leasing).
Mtf Deployment Reserve $5.0M
[#11] One-time deployment reserve for full-scale MTF mobilization / initial stockpiles and ordnance pre-positioning.
Environmental Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#17] One-time contingency reserve for remediation / worst-case mitigation associated with excavation or disruption.
Coverup Crisis Reserve $5.0M
[#23] One-time crisis reserve for litigation/large covert payouts, witness relocation, or acute black-budget activities.
Subsea Fiber Power Cable $4.0M
[#6] Optional submarine fiber/power cable (~17 km) to shore: route survey, cable, trenching/anchoring and permits.
Saturation Diving Initial Campaign $3.0M
[#4] Initial saturation-diving support campaign (vessel, chambers, diver teams; month-long campaign estimate).
Rov Initial Campaign $1.5M
[#2] Initial large ROV/work-class campaign for inspection, sampling and sensor deployment (30–90 day campaign rental, pilots, maintenance).
Remote Monitoring Deployment $1.5M
[#5] Deployment and commissioning of permanent remote monitoring network (buoys, seabed nodes, satellite/shore uplink).
Facilities $750K
[#14] Construction of secure containment vaults / hardened storerooms (EM shielding, climate control, blast hardening as required).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $750K
[#12] Archaeology/conservation lab setup: desalination tanks, conservators, X-ray/CT and materials-analysis equipment.
Corrosion Control Installation $600K
[#20] Installation of cathodic protection stations and corrosion-sensor network for in-situ stabilization.
Equipment $550K
[#18, #21] Hyperbaric chamber acquisition and initial secure IT/cyber infrastructure deployment for media/storage.
Manned Submersible Operations $500K
[#3] Occasional manned DSV/submersible operations (multi-day specialist dives, vessel support and safety systems).
Bathymetric Survey $350K
[#1] Full 3D multibeam/magnetometer/geophysics survey campaign (2–6 week dedicated survey, vessel + personnel + analysis).
Legal Disinfo Initial Campaign $150K
[#15] Initial cover-story campaign and record-suppression push (Department of Disinformation initial spend).
Environmental Impact Assessment $150K
[#17] Formal environmental impact assessments prior to intrusive work.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $24.4M/yr
Program Contingency And Overhead $3.6M/yr
[#24] Program overhead/insurance/unallocated contingency (25% of baseline recurring program budget to absorb surges).
Cover Story And Legal $2.5M/yr
[#15, #16, #23] Ongoing legal, disinformation, PR and political-risk funds to maintain cover, plus routine covert payments and litigation reserves.
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #8, #11] Routine vessel/ROV campaign leasing, submersible ops, saturation-diving rotations, and readiness transport logistics.
Coverup Reserve Annual $2.0M/yr
[#23] Annual reserve for litigation, leak management, settlements and emergency covert expenditures.
Staff Wages $1.8M/yr
[#22] Salaries, benefits, and overhead for core program team (project managers, scientists, engineers, security, admin).
Saturation Diving Ongoing $1.8M/yr
[#4] Periodic saturation-diving campaigns and dive-team standby/maintenance costs (recurrent access to diver-accessible sections).
Research And Monitoring $1.5M/yr
[#13, #12] Ongoing anomalous-research program costs and archaeology/conservation lab operations (experiments, modeling, consumables).
Anomalous Research Program $1.5M/yr
[#13] Ongoing physics/engineering/materials research program costs (staff, experiments, prototypes, instrumentation).
Rov Ongoing Operations $1.0M/yr
[#2] Recurring ROV inspection/sensor-deployment campaigns for ongoing monitoring (periodic campaigns rather than daily).
Support Vessel Operations $1.0M/yr
[#8] Fuel, crewing, insurance and maintenance for dedicated support/patrol vessel(s) (lease/ops or purchased vessel ongoing ops).
Mtf Readiness Fund $1.0M/yr
[#11] Annual MTF standby/readiness, training drills, fuel, ordnance and rapid-deployment readiness costs.
Maritime Exclusion Enforcement $900K/yr
[#10] Covert patrol hours, interdiction operations, detention/quarantine logistics, and legal processing to prevent civilian approaches.
Liaison And Influence $500K/yr
[#9] Embedded liaison, covert compliance, allowances and influence operations with local maritime authorities.
Archaeology Conservation Operations $500K/yr
[#12] Recurring conservator salaries, desalination consumables, imaging and materials-analysis operations.
Legal Intel Disinfo Ops $500K/yr
[#15] Recurring legal, intelligence and document-suppression operations (Department of Disinformation activities).
Environmental Contingency Annual Reserve $500K/yr
[#17] Annual reserve for environmental mitigation and contingency remediation drawdowns.
Supplies And Consumables $350K/yr
[#7, #18] Annual consumables including diver/ROV consumables, medical supplies, sensor batteries and replacement parts.
Public Relations Cover Projects $300K/yr
[#16] Ongoing PR/staged digs, exhibits, and cover project maintenance.
Remote Monitoring Maintenance $250K/yr
[#5] Communications, satellite uplink, buoy servicing and seabed node maintenance for the permanent monitoring network.
Emergency Medical Operations $200K/yr
[#18] Staffing, training and operation of medical/hyperbaric support and medevac readiness (consumables/training).
Cyber And Hosting $200K/yr
[#21] Secure hosting, backups, cyber-security personnel and covert comms costs for data and embedded agents.
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#14] Ongoing security staffing, monitoring, and facility maintenance for secure vaults/storerooms.
Sensor Replacement And Batteries $150K/yr
[#7] Regular sensor replacement, battery swaps, and calibration servicing for seabed nodes and buoys.
Subsea Cable Maintenance $125K/yr
[#6] Annual maintenance and repairs for optional subsea fiber/power cable.
Corrosion Control Maintenance $100K/yr
[#20] Regular servicing of cathodic protection and corrosion-monitoring systems.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $24.4M/yr
64.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled monitoring, research, and routine operations; no major incidents or large deployments.
routine_monitoring scheduled_research_campaigns no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $22.1M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$-2350000 vs baseline
Localized incident requiring additional ROV/diver campaigns, limited MTF activity, repair and small remediation/legal actions.
sensor_failure small_breach_or_damage unexpected_repair_campaign
🚨 Major Breach $98.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$73.7M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or structural failure requiring heavy-lift salvage, major MTF deployment, large remediation and political/legal response.
structural_collapse large_scale_excavation sustained_anomalous_activity
🚨 Catastrophic Activation $518.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$493.6M vs baseline
Full activation event requiring national/international military task forces, mass evacuations and multi-year reconstruction/response.
full_activation large_scale_naval_operations national_security_response
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 5 [#13, #12] Staff leading anomalous research, modeling, materials analysis and artifact study.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#21, #20] Responsible for remote monitoring hardware, corrosion systems, IT and equipment maintenance.
Project Manager / Program Manager 1 [#22] Program coordination, contractor management and liaison with Foundation and local authorities.
Security Officer / Site Security 2 [#8, #10] Day-to-day site security coordination, vessel escorts and enforcement liaison (supplemented by MTF as needed).
Administrative Staff 1 [#22] Administrative, procurement and covert finance support for the program.
Conservator / Lab Technician 1 [#12] Artifact stabilization, desalination and imaging technician for recovered materials.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst provided detailed line-item ranges but many items have wide uncertainty (optional subsea cable, salvage scale, catastrophic outcomes). Costing is therefore a best-estimate with moderate confidence.
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