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SCP-3824 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-3824
Expected annual
$1.3M
One-time setup
$760K
Annual recurring
$1.3M
Personnel
4
Initial setup costs are approximately $759,500 (vehicles, surveillance, lab setup, perimeter work, comms, initial contingency). Annual operations are roughly $1,293,500/yr driven primarily by on-site staffing, research personnel, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $760K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $300K
[#15] Secure psych/memetic research suite, EEG/fMRI time-sharing arrangements, cognitive-testing equipment and memetic countermeasure tooling; midpoint estimate used.
Contingency Reserve Initial $250K
[#24] Standing contingency fund for escalation, land purchase, large-scale amnestic operations or covert relocation.
Equipment $153K
[#2, #4, #9, #18, #21] Vehicles (2 SUVs) $70,000; rapid-response/medical van $55,000; surveillance hardware & installation $8,000; sample freezer (-80°C) $10,000; initial secure comms kit $10,000.
Cover Identity And Training $28K
[#6] Park ranger uniforms, decals, fake paperwork ($8k) plus initial cover training & roleplay exercises ($20k).
Facilities $25K
[#7] Low-profile perimeter markers, path rerouting, subtle fencing and camouflage for the ~40 m² hot-spot; midpoint estimate used.
Initial Signage $4K
[#11] Initial benign signage and plausibly benign public messaging to explain closures/maintenance (midpoint of $2k–$5k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.3M/yr
Staff Wages $470K/yr
[#1] ~4 FTE operatives/administrative coverage (3 operatives + 1 admin/dispatcher) at ~$90k/yr each plus ~30% benefits; total ≈ $470k/yr.
Research And Monitoring $343K/yr
[#10, #16] Surveillance data storage/remote monitoring ~$43k/yr; research personnel and consumables (2 researchers + 1 tech + participants/consumables) ≈ $300k/yr.
Medical And Holding $154K/yr
[#12, #13, #14, #17, #26] Medical assessment & short-term holding (24 incidents/yr avg) ~$24k/yr; amnestic procurement & administration ~$4.5k/yr; psychiatric follow-up ~$50k/yr; autopsy/pathology & memetic PPE ~$15k/yr; facility/admin overhead for holding/study ~$60k/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $149K/yr
[#8, #11, #22, #23] Municipal coordination/grants ~$12k/yr; signage refresh ~$1k/yr; legal/FOIA/records management ~$100k/yr; public-influence/social monitoring ~$36k/yr (midpoint).
Contingency Replenishment $100K/yr
[#24] Annual replenishment to maintain contingency/reserve for escalation as recommended.
Logistics And Transport $23K/yr
[#3, #5, #19] Vehicle maintenance/fuel/insurance ~$8k/yr; rapid-response transport upkeep ~$5k/yr; veterinary/animal-control interventions ~$10k/yr.
Depreciation Amortization $22K/yr
[#25] Annual amortization/replacement reserve for vehicles, electronics and freezers (midpoint of $15–30k/yr).
It And Opsec $18K/yr
[#21] Recurring secure-comm/licensing/support estimated at $10–25k/yr (midpoint used).
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#20, #27] PPE, first-aid and field consumables ~$5k/yr; miscellaneous/consumable reserve ~$7.5k/yr.
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#18] Freezer/equipment electricity and maintenance (~$1.5k/yr) plus biohazard disposal (~$1k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.3M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal year with ongoing monitoring, routine removals, research activities, and no major escalations or public exposure events.
routine monthly removals no major incidents regular research and legal activity
🚨 Minor Incident $1.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
One or more severe subject deteriorations or a cluster of incidents requiring extra medical, autopsy, or short-term research expenditure.
severe delayed-case(s) extra autopsy/pathology work short-term surge in clinical monitoring
🚨 Political Exposure $1.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Local media or municipal inquiry forces intensified legal/PR response, potential public lawsuits, and expanded cover operations.
leak or FOIA pressure high-profile incident local political/municipal scrutiny
🚨 Major Escalation $3.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Anomalous behavior intensifies (e.g., multiple severe delayed-fatal cases or evidence of broader memetic spread) requiring cordon, land purchase, mass amnestics, expanded quarantine and multiyear research program.
multiple fatalities or mass exposures evidence of escalating memetic lethality requirement for full quarantine/land acquisition
👥 Personnel 4 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent (disguised as park ranger) 3 [#1] Three on-site operatives to cover daytime patrols (shift coverage).
Administrative Staff / Dispatcher 1 [#1] One dispatcher/admin to coordinate shifts, liaise with local entities, and handle on-call tasks.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provided detailed line-item estimates and ranges for nearly every cost category; remaining uncertainty is primarily around low-probability escalations and local political risk.
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