SCP-3847 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3847
Expected annual
$483K
One-time setup
$424K
Annual recurring
$481K
Personnel
8
Estimated one-time startup capital is approximately $424,000, with annual operating costs about $450,250 driven primarily by staffing, supervision, secrecy/PR, and ongoing research and monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $424K
Contingency Capital Reserve $100K
[#20] Liquid contingency reserve for rapid escalation, emergency hires, urgent equipment or legal crises.
Equipment $83K
[#4, #5, #6] CCTV/audio capture systems, communications hardware, and power system hardware (solar + generator battery/bank).
Facilities $57K
[#2, #3] Perimeter fencing and outpost construction (fence ~400m + small modular outpost).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $50K
[#10] Portable acoustics/linguistic analysis equipment, servers, specialist microphones and initial software/hardware for analysis.
Vehicles Purchase $38K
[#9] Purchase of a 4×4 SUV/pickup for site travel, resupply, and emergency response (per-vehicle purchase).
Land Access And Cover Acquisition $35K
[#1] Payment/lease/compensation to landowner(s), initial hush-money, and establishment of plausible cover location.
Legal And Cover Setup $28K
[#15] Establishing front company/cover story, legal fees, permits and initial local liaison setup.
Medical Baseline Screening $15K
[#14] Initial baseline medical and psychological screening for staff prior to deployment.
Emergency Response Setup $10K
[#19] Development of emergency response plans, initial caches, portable encryption/removal kits and setup costs for drills.
Non Lethal Equipment $6K
[#18] Radios, megaphones, bodycams, uniforms, non-lethal deterrents and initial training equipment.
Wildlife Permits Assessment $3K
[#17] One-time wildlife permit fees and initial ecological assessment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $481K/yr
Staff Wages $330K/yr
[#7, #8] 24/7 outpost staffing (6 guards) plus partial FTEs / periodic deployments from Site-143 (supervisory/technical time), includes wages, benefits and payroll overhead.
Cover Story And Legal $42K/yr
[#15, #16] Local liaison & permit renewals plus annual contingency for information suppression/PR takedown actions.
Research And Monitoring $38K/yr
[#10, #11, #12] Recurring research costs including software licenses/compute, human subject testing budget, and data archival/analysis.
Human Subjects $25K/yr
[#11] Payments/compensation, recruitment and travel reimbursements for experimental subjects.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#13] Batteries, PPE, small tools, janitorial, fence repairs, consumables and generator fuel components included elsewhere.
Medical Annual $10K/yr
[#14] Annual medical and psychological checkups and monitoring for staff.
Data Storage $6K/yr
[#12] Ongoing storage, replication, archiving and bandwidth/storage management for multi-channel recordings.
Vehicle Running Costs $4K/yr
[#9] Fuel, insurance and maintenance for site vehicle(s).
Wildlife Monitoring $4K/yr
[#17] Ongoing ecological surveys and liaison with wildlife authorities.
Drills And Restocks $4K/yr
[#19] Annual drills, restocking emergency caches and encryption/removal kit maintenance.
Power Fuel And Maintenance $2K/yr
[#6] Generator fuel, periodic battery/solar maintenance.
Communications Bandwidth $2K/yr
[#5] Satellite/4G bandwidth, VPN costs for continuous uplink to Site-143.
Training Refreshers $2K/yr
[#18] Annual training refreshers for guards (non-lethal equipment, first-responder tasks).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $481K/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, regular research, and no major incidents.
no breach routine research standard community relations
🚨 Minor Incident $480K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$-1000 vs baseline
Localized event: curious civilian posting evidence, minor vandalism, or short downtime requiring repairs and PR response.
unauthorized civilian access viral social media post small-scale equipment damage
🚨 Major Breach $650K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$169K vs baseline
Significant containment compromise or public exposure requiring emergency escalation, rapid deployment, legal response and larger repairs.
public breach/exposure sustained sabotage/vandalism need for emergency research scale-up
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#7] Outpost must be continually manned (2 on duty), staffing pool of 6 to cover shifts, leave, and overtime.
Research Scientist / Site Supervisor 2 [#8] 2 part-time/site-deployed supervisory or technical staff from Site-143 (periodic visits and incident response).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are drawn from detailed analyst notes with ranges; core recurring drivers (staffing, supervision, secrecy) are well-identified but local price variation, staffing policy choices, and incident frequency introduce uncertainty.
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