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SCP-3858 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3858
Expected annual
$9.0M
One-time setup
$14.1M
Annual recurring
$8.8M
Personnel
15
Initial capital and development (malware lab, research program, web-crawler tooling) drive one-time costs (~$14.1M); annual operations (salaries, facilities, research, legal/PR, contingency) are the main recurring expense (~$8.80M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.1M
Facilities $4.0M
[#30] One-time construction and structural work for hardened containment-permanency capital / hardened data center and physical isolation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.3M
[#4, #20] Air-gapped malware/ anomalous software analysis lab buildout and initial research program instrumentation / multidisciplinary R&D initial funding.
Contingency Fund One Time $2.8M
[#23] One-time contingency/reserve fund for large-scale proliferation events.
In House Incinerator One Time $1.2M
[#9] Optional on-site incinerator / hazardous-waste facility capital cost.
Settlement Reserve One Time $1.1M
[#25] One-time reserve for potential legal settlements (separate from recurring insurance premiums).
Equipment $548K
[#5, #7, #21, #26] Secure-evidence vaults & Faraday shielding, purchase/upfit of secure transport vehicles, archival write-once hardware, initial communications/OPSEC hardware.
Remote Remediation Development One Time $350K
[#18] Development of remote-remediation & endpoint cleanser tools (initial development, cross-platform testing).
Isp Hosting Cooperation One Time $300K
[#16] One-time technical/contract integration fees for ISP/hosting cooperation program.
Web Crawler Development $225K
[#1] Development, QA and initial rule-set for bespoke crawlers and takedown automation.
Amnestic Pharmaceuticals Initial One Time $125K
[#12] Initial procurement & secure pharmacy build for required amnestic compounds and licensing.
Digital Forensics Initial One Time $100K
[#19] Initial purchase/licensing of digital-forensics tooling and specialized instrumentation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#3, #6, #11, #17] Incident response/digital-forensics analysts, field containment agents (regional on-call team), medical staff for amnesticization, and a dedicated honeypot/forensics analyst (salaries + benefits).
Facilities Maintenance $1.5M/yr
[#5, #7, #9, #27, #30] Maintenance of secure-evidence storage (Faraday cages), vehicle fuel & maintenance, in-house incinerator operations/compliance, energy/HVAC and containment-permanency facility operational costs.
Contingency $1.5M/yr
[#32] 20% contingency on annual recurring operational spending to cover unpredictable outbreaks and technical surprises.
Program Overhead $1.2M/yr
[#31] Program administrative overhead (estimated at ~20% of direct operational recurring costs).
Research And Monitoring $835K/yr
[#17, #18, #19, #20, #21, #22] Honeypot hosting & analysis, remote-remediation support, recurring digital-forensics renewals, ongoing neutralization R&D, archival preservation, and training/tabletop exercise costs.
Supplies And Consumables $800K/yr
[#8, #10, #11, #12, #13, #26] Outsourced device incineration and transport manifests, hazardous-waste compliance fees, per-patient medical costs for amnesticization, amnestic resupply, psychological aftercare costs, and comms maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $585K/yr
[#14, #15, #28] Legal retainer and case costs for takedowns/warrants, PR/cover operations budget, and records-management / falsified documentation budget.
Insurance Premiums And Liability $275K/yr
[#25] Annual insurance premiums for liability and malpractice coverage.
Isp Cooperation Program $200K/yr
[#16] Ongoing ISP/hosting coordination, monitoring, sinkhole operation reimbursements and rapid takedown channels.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#24] Fuel, rapid-deploy charters, interpreters, customs/legal clearance and other field logistics.
Audit And Oversight $88K/yr
[#29] Periodic third-party audits, compliance and ethics oversight.
Web Crawler Hosting $60K/yr
[#2] Cloud hosting, bandwidth, storage and CDN costs for continuous crawlers and logs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.8M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine detections and no major proliferation events.
dozens_of_civilian_instances_per_year no_large_campaigns standard_field_ops_and_research_routines
🚨 Minor Incident $9.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$512K vs baseline
Localized surge: cluster of uploads/instances requiring extra field seizures, amnesticizations, incinerations and PR/legal activity.
localized_propagation spike_in_device_retrievals increased_media_attention
🚨 Major Breach $13.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Widespread proliferation requiring mass amnesticization, emergency scaling of field operations, large PR/legal campaign and use of contingency reserves.
coordinated_distribution_campaign failure_of_takedown_measures mass_device_openings
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $10.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Discovery that requires rapid scale-up of containment infrastructure or one-time large investment to deploy a permanent neutralizer/isolation system.
research_identifies_scalable_solution decision_to_build_hardened_kill-switch_or_hosting
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Incident Response Analyst 4 [#3] Digital forensics/analyst staff for examining .lmb files, creating neutralization procedures; 4 analysts as recommended.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 [#6] Field containment agents for seizures, escorts and site security (6–8 recommended; avg used).
Medical Officer 3 [#11] Physicians/nurses trained for amnesticization and medical supervision (1–2 doctors + 2 nurses estimated together).
Honeypot / Forensics Analyst 1 [#17] Dedicated analyst time for honeypot/decoy server monitoring and triage.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from analyst line-item ranges in the notes; many items (memetic propagation rates, incidence counts, and optional capital choices) remain uncertain, so ranges and midpoints were used rather than precise measurements.
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