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SCP-3864 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3864
Expected annual
$895K
One-time setup
$470K
Annual recurring
$884K
Personnel
6
One-time startup costs are moderate (~$470k) for retrofit, monitoring hardware, and initial research kit; recurring annual costs are driven by personnel salaries, legal/OPSEC budgets, and an optional sustained research program (~$884k/yr). Variable per-incident costs (D-Class dispatches, disposal, surge OPSEC) can materially increase annual spending if incidents occur.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $470K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $265K
[#14, #19, #21] Forensic & biomedical initial kit ($10,000), initial training/SOP development ($5,000), long-term research program startup ($250,000).
Facilities $120K
[#1, #11] Containment chamber retrofit ($100,000) and HVAC modifications/thermal management ($20,000).
Equipment $85K
[#2, #3, #7, #8, #9, #10, #12, #13, #15, #20, #22] Specialized wall mount ($5,000), initial blackout cloth stock ($4,000), IR goggles initial sets ($6,400), IR camera + backup servers ($20,000), sensor suite ($3,000), UPS/generator hardware ($10,000), continuous lighting ($2,000), audio hardware ($5,000), mortuary fridge/module ($10,000), contingency cloth stock initial ($10,000), on-site server ($10,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $884K/yr
Staff Wages $340K/yr
[#5, #6, #15] Security staff (2 guards @ $50k each = $100,000/yr), research staff (lead $120k + tech $60k + part-time pathology/consulting $40k = $220,000/yr), mortuary handling staff time ($20,000/yr included).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#17, #25] Legal/cover-up/information security baseline ($200,000/yr) plus media/OPSEC & whistleblower mitigation contingency ($100,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $162K/yr
[#8, #13, #21, #22, #19] Camera/storage maintenance and growth ($2,000/yr), audio analysis/license ($1,000/yr), sustained research program operations ($150,000/yr), cloud backup/compute ($5,000/yr), secure archiving ($2,000/yr), annual refreshers ($2,000/yr).
Incident Response $50K/yr
[#18] Rapid containment/response team training, equipment, and on-call premiums (~$50,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $13K/yr
[#10, #11, #12, #15, #26] Generator/fuel & maintenance ($2,000/yr), HVAC incremental energy ($3,000/yr), lighting electricity ($1,000/yr), morgue running cost ($2,000/yr), amortized refurbishment/depreciation ($5,000/yr).
Psychological Support $10K/yr
[#24] Counseling and staff monitoring (~$10,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $8K/yr
[#3, #7, #9, #23, #14, #20] Cloth replacement/resupply (~$1,000/yr), IR goggles maintenance/replacements ($1,000/yr), sensor calibration/testing ($500/yr), PPE/consumables ($2,000/yr), forensic consumables (~$4,000/yr), contingency cloth replacement folded into annual resupply estimate.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[#4] D-Class procurement/transport is charged per-dispatch ($15,000 per dispatch); baseline annual frequency unknown so not included in fixed recurring estimate.
D Class Procurement Per Dispatch $0/yr
[#4] Per-dispatch D-Class procurement/handling cost ~$15,000 per dispatch; frequency variable and not included in baseline recurring total.
Disposal Per Incident Cost $0/yr
[#16] Per-body disposal/covert disposition estimated ~$5,000 per incident; treated as per-incident variable cost.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $884K/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine operations, salaries, maintenance, baseline OPSEC/legal, and active research program.
no D-Class dispatches beyond scheduled tests no containment breaches routine maintenance only
🚨 Minor Incident $964K/yr
9.0% probability / year +$80K vs baseline
Single D-Class dispatch replacement or isolated fatal exposure requiring disposal, forensic testing, and elevated OPSEC/legal response.
single D-Class dispatch per-incident disposal & forensic work ad-hoc legal/OPSEC surge
🚨 High Incidence D Class Spree $1.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$404K vs baseline
Multiple D-Class replacements in a year due to repeated painting growth or repeated exposures, driving large variable costs and OPSEC/legal surges.
6+ D-Class dispatches repeated forensic/morgue throughput major OPSEC/legal response
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 Two dedicated guards (salaries included in staff_wages, 2 x $50k). [#5]
Research Scientist 1 Lead Level-3 researcher (salary included in research staff line). [#6]
Research Technician 1 Laboratory technician supporting experiments and monitoring (salary included in research staff line). [#6]
Medical Officer / Pathology Consultant 1 Part-time pathology/medical consultant (budgeted as part-time consulting). [#6]
Mortuary Handling Specialist 1 Specialized mortuary/storage handling time budgeted (~$20k/yr). [#15]
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item costs for infrastructure and personnel are well-specified, but major uncertainty remains around frequency of D-Class dispatches and variable legal/OPSEC surges which can dominate expenditures; estimates reflect analyst guidance and conservative assumptions.
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