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SCP-3865 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3865
Expected annual
$1.0M
One-time setup
$1.3M
Annual recurring
$970K
Personnel
9
First-year setup (one-time) costs are dominated by property purchase, structural stabilization, and lab/containment buildout; recurring costs are dominated by security and scientific staffing and ongoing expedition support.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3M
Facilities $385K
[#4, #8, #11, #23] Perimeter fencing ($10k–$25k), structural stabilization/shoring ($150k–$250k recommended), small decon suite buildout ($75k–$250k mid), and environmental/abatement costs ($10k–$50k). Aggregate mid/high-range planning figure to ensure safe entry and repair prior to operations.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $350K
[#12, #14] On-site BSL-2 retrofit / lab buildout ($200k–$500k if chosen) plus field/lab capital (microscopes, sequencer access, freezers, drones etc. $75k–$150k).
Property Acquisition $150K
[#1] Purchase of rural parcel with dilapidated silos; analyst range $75k–$250k. Mid-range assumption used; includes title/closing planning.
Equipment $113K
[#5, #9, #10, #15] CCTV/hardware, sensors and access-control hardware ($25k–$60k), confined-space/grain-rescue gear ($30k–$70k), AED/medical supplies (~$3k), and secure sample storage/safes ($5k–$15k). Radios/uniforms included.
Contingency Fund $100K
[#22] On-hand reserve for accidents, emergency cover-ups, and one-off liabilities; analyst range $50k–$200k.
Vehicles And Guard Equipment $60K
[#7] Patrol vehicles (2 pickups; $40k–$80k range chosen mid) and initial guard equipment capital.
Personnel Vetting One Time $50K
[#20] Initial background checks and clearance processing for ~10 personnel ($3k–$7k per person; total ~$30k–$70k).
Front Company Setup $15K
[#2] One-time legal fees and incorporation/minimal initial operating capital for the agricultural front ($10k–$30k).
Backup Generator $15K
[#17] Purchase and installation of backup generator to maintain containment-critical systems ($10k–$25k).
Legal And Cover Story Setup $10K
[#21] Initial legal/PR setup and cover-story establishment costs ($5k–$20k).
Data Archival Setup $10K
[#24] Secure server setup, archival systems, and initial documentation infrastructure ($5k–$20k).
Expedition Gear Initial $4K
[#18] Initial purchase of per-expedition gear (tents, comms kits, spare equipment ~$2k–$5k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $970K/yr
Staff Wages $689K/yr
[#6, #10, #13] Guard staff (4 FTEs incl benefits ~$234k), scientific staff (2 researchers + 2 technicians incl benefits ~$380k), and medic/contracted on-call staff (~$75k).
Logistics And Transport $65K/yr
[#18, #19] Travel and transport for researchers ($10k–$40k/yr) plus supported expeditions into SCP-3865-1 (assume 4/year at ~$5k–$20k each → $20k–$80k).
Research And Monitoring $55K/yr
[#12, #14, #15] Laboratory consumables, sequencing/testing and other recurring analytical costs (~$25k for biosafety/testing + $20k–$40k for consumables/sequencing runs).
Cover Story And Legal $36K/yr
[#2, #21, #25] Ongoing front-company administration (~$5k/yr), legal/PR/community relations (~$10k–$50k/yr), and administrative costs for harvest/disposition policy (~$2k–$10k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $26K/yr
[#3, #16] Annual property taxes/local fees (~$500–$3,000) and routine site upkeep/groundskeeping/seasonal maintenance (~$15k–$35k).
Cultural Liaison Monitoring $20K/yr
[#27] Ongoing anthropological/ethical liaison, translators/mediators, and goodwill/interaction funding (~$10k–$50k/yr).
Utilities And Backup Power $15K/yr
[#17] Site utilities (power, water, septic ~$8k–$15k) plus generator fuel/servicing (~$3k–$6k).
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#11, #15] Decon consumables, PPE laundering, and sample-storage recordkeeping/consumables (~$5k–$20k decon; ~$1k–$3k storage).
Replacement And Upgrade Reserve $12K/yr
[#26] Amortized replacement reserve for CCTV, comms, vehicles and hoists (~$30k–$100k every 5 years ≈ $6k–$20k/yr).
Personnel Training And Vetting $10K/yr
[#20] Recurring refresher training, clearance maintenance and specialized rescue training (~$8k–$15k/yr).
Guard Vehicle Operations $8K/yr
[#7] Annual fuel, maintenance, and vehicle operating costs for patrol vehicles (~$8k/yr estimated).
Surveillance Monitoring $6K/yr
[#5] CCTV monitoring and contracted monitoring service/maintenance (~$3k–$10k/yr).
Data Archival And It $6K/yr
[#24] Hosting, backups, secure archival, and IT security maintenance (~$3k–$10k/yr).
Confined Space Training And Maintenance $5K/yr
[#9] Recurring refresher training and maintenance for grain-rescue equipment (~$5k/yr).
Emergency Medical Contracts $5K/yr
[#10] Emergency med-evac contracts and on-call medical agreements (~$5k/yr).
Contingency Replenishment $0/yr
[#22] Contingency fund replenishment as-needed; no fixed annual replenishment budget assumed here.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $970K/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal year with planned operations, staffing, and routine expeditions; no major incidents.
no incidents routine research expeditions standard maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Small accident, minor structural damage, or localized contamination requiring medical treatment, minor repairs, and limited PR/legal costs.
non-fatal injury/medical evacuation small structural repair limited community attention
🚨 Major Breach $2.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant incident analogous to reported historical event (mass anomalous dispersal / large-scale containment breach) requiring emergency response, broad remediation, amnestics, and large PR/legal operations.
large-scale anomalous release multiple civilian exposures extensive remediation/amnestics required
🚨 Political Exposure $1.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Local discovery or political/legal inquiry forcing substantial cover-up, buyouts, and extended legal/PR campaigns.
local media/legal investigation front-company exposure required buyouts or prolonged litigation
👥 Personnel 9 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 24/7 coverage (3–4 FTEs phased for shifts) per note #6; salaries and benefits included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 2 Two dedicated scientists to study SCP (botanist/xenobiologist) per note #13; salaries included in staff_wages.
Technician 2 Two technicians for lab and field support per note #13; salaries included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer 1 On-call medic/EMT coverage for confined-space/high-risk entry per note #10; salary/contract included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide line-item ranges and clear operational needs (staffing, structural work, lab setup), enabling mid-range estimates; uncertainty remains around property price/location, exact structural remediation required, and probability/fiscal scale of major anomalous incidents, so confidence is medium.
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