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SCP-3870 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3870
Expected annual
$8.2M
One-time setup
$4.9M
Annual recurring
$8.0M
Personnel
31
One-time setup and contingency reserves total roughly $4.94M (main drivers: contingency reserve, AI/dev, vehicles/equipment). Recurring annual costs are about $7.99M driven primarily by ICU medical care, surveillance and field staffing, research, and a large compensation reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.9M
Contingency Reserve $3.0M
[#25] One-time contingency/emergency escalation fund held in reserve for large-scale cover-ups or mass-casualty response.
Equipment $1.3M
[#2, #5, #6, #7, #8, #10, #11, #13, #14] Covert camera hardware & NVRs (#2); initial field response equipment allocation (#5); purchase/outfitting of unmarked vans (#6); drone fleet purchase (#7); AI/software development/licensing initial cost (#8); secure IT/server hardware (#10); cover-story/company formation startup costs (#11); secure pharmacy cabinet (#13); training program development (#14).
Facilities $675K
[#18, #23] Facility reservation/basic outfitting for SCP-3870-1 contingency planning and one-time secure evidence room setup (climate control, access control).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.0M/yr
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#4, #5, #16, #17] Surveillance team salaries (15 FTE) and management (#4); on-call field response agents salary portion (#5); undercover operatives payroll (#16); research team salaries (#17).
Medical Care And Hospital Bills $2.0M/yr
[#1] Long-term ICU care, hospital bills, ventilator/monitoring, nursing, imaging, drugs and specialist consults for comatose pediatric patient.
Compensation Fund $1.2M/yr
[#19] Annual reserve/expected payouts for civilian victims, property damage mitigation, hush payments and repair/medical costs.
Cover Story And Legal $750K/yr
[#9, #11, #20, #21, #29, #30] Camera feed licensing and access fees (#9); ongoing cover-story/philanthropist fund administration (#11); PR/misinformation operations (#20); legal counsel/retainers and FOIA/civil defense (#21); records retention and compliance audits (#29); miscellaneous local costs/expedite/bribery payments (#30).
Research And Monitoring $575K/yr
[#15, #17, #22] Investigative audits and field investigator expenses (#15); research consumables and imaging time (#17); long-term background monitoring of encountered persons (#22).
Cyber Investigation Ops $140K/yr
[#24] Cyber-investigation, OSINT and penetration capability team and tools for acquiring private CCTV and tracing leads.
Ai Compute Operations $115K/yr
[#8] Ongoing compute/ops costs for AI/computer-vision model inference, updates and licensing.
It Operations $115K/yr
[#10] Ongoing IT/OPSEC operations costs: secure servers, SOC monitoring, air-gapped backups, and encryption maintenance.
Supplies And Consumables $105K/yr
[#13, #26] Purchase and replenishment of amnestic agents, medical disposables (#13) and replacement/repair budget for PPE and field/evidence gear (#26).
Visitor Screening And Amnestics $100K/yr
[#12] Staffing, amnestic drug costs, and observation for visitor screening and administration (~1–3 visitors/week).
Logistics And Transport $82K/yr
[#7, #27] Drone maintenance/repairs and operator costs (#7) and travel/lodging/per-diem for investigators (#27).
Staff Support $55K/yr
[#28] Psychological support, counseling and critical-incident stress management for exposed staff.
Facilities Maintenance $52K/yr
[#6, #23] Annual maintenance/fuel for response vehicles and evidence-room maintenance/climate control upkeep.
Video Storage And Backup $35K/yr
[#3] Continuous secure video storage, off-site backups, encryption, and periodic forensic review.
Annual Training $30K/yr
[#14] Annual training refreshers, scenario drills, and dossier maintenance.
Contingency Replenishment $0/yr
[#25] Replenishment of the contingency reserve as-needed; held at zero baseline and replenished in incident years.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.0M/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine monitoring, care, and containment operations.
no_major_incident routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $8.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized public incident requiring rapid-response, targeted PR, small compensation payouts and overtime.
single_public_collision local_media_attention small_compensation_payouts
🚨 Major Incident $10.5M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant multi-victim incident or high-visibility case requiring large payouts, major legal defense, and reserve replenishment.
multiple_casualties civil_suits large_public_exposure
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $13.0M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
High-profile, widely publicized event requiring mass cover-up, multi-million-dollar emergency response and long-term legal/PR campaigns.
mass_casualty_event national_media_coverage major_legal_actions
👥 Personnel 31 total
Role Count Notes
Surveillance Analyst / Monitor 15 [#4] 15 FTE surveillance team to cover 24/7 monitoring, news and camera feeds.
Security Officer / Field Response Agent 8 [#5] Rostered rapid-response agents for on-site interventions and evidence gathering.
Undercover Operative / Corporate Infiltrator 4 [#16] Embedded operatives for corporate infiltration and long-term monitoring.
Research Scientist / Tech Staff 4 [#17] Neurology/anomalous-research team members and technical support.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling midpoint estimates, but the anomaly's unpredictable manifestation frequency and incident severity create significant variance; contingency/reserve sizing and incident probabilities are judgment calls.
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