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SCP-3873 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-3873
Expected annual
$902K
One-time setup
$780K
Annual recurring
$870K
Personnel
4.95
One-time capital costs are approximately $780,000 driven by cell construction, HVAC/install and a potential reverse-engineering program; recurring annual costs are approximately $870k/year driven by staffing, contingency/reserve, cybernetics upkeep and administrative overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $780K
Facilities $350K
[#1, #3] Containment cell construction and HVAC/install (structural/mechanical installs) estimated at $300,000 + $50,000.
Reverse Engineering Program $200K
[#29] One-off reverse-engineering/procurement program if Foundation elects to reproduce or neutralize implant tech (conservative mid-range).
Imaging Purchase $75K
[#5] One-time purchase of portable X-ray/ultrasound or diagnostic imaging equipment if not using central site facilities.
Equipment $65K
[#2, #4, #6, #7] Habitat enrichment/fixtures ($20,000), dedicated power/UPS hardware ($10,000), high-speed cameras ($20,000), CCTV/IR installation ($15,000).
Initial Veterinary Surgery $50K
[#8] Initial veterinary surgery/stabilization, OR time, anesthetics and specialist contractors.
Special Assays $15K
[#21] One-off acoustic/chemical analysis (GC-MS/MS, mass-spectrometry) for bubble composition (midpoint estimate).
Initial Legal $15K
[#24] Initial legal work related to PoI exposure, NDAs and settlement readiness.
Initial Training $10K
[#25] Initial incident-response protocol development and training setup.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $870K/yr
Staff Wages $391K/yr
[#11, #12, #13, #14, #15] Dedicated security (2 FTE, $156,000), handlers (2 FTE, $117,000), veterinary allocation (≈0.2–0.3 FTE, $35,000), research (≈0.5 FTE, $52,000), cybernetics engineering (≈0.2 FTE, $31,000).
Administrative Overhead $174K/yr
[#30] Site-83 pro-rated overhead (estimated at 25% of direct recurring costs).
Contingency Reserve $100K/yr
[#26] Annual allocation for rapid-response/recapture fund (baseline reserve recommended ~$100,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#17, #18, #19] Utilities and energy ($6,000), HVAC filter replacement & routine service ($2,400), waste management/cleaning allocated ($17,000).
Cover Story And Legal $25K/yr
[#24] Ongoing legal, public-affairs and cover/interaction management (~$25,000/yr).
Cybernetic Spare Parts $25K/yr
[#9] Baseline spare-parts stock and annual replacements for implants/electronics.
Cybernetic Replacements $25K/yr
[#28] Scheduled component/battery replacement budget and sterile surgeries (annual allocation).
Research And Monitoring $20K/yr
[#20] Consumables for research & baseline assays, sequencing, toxicology and reagents.
Imaging Site Fees $20K/yr
[#5] If leveraging central imaging facilities instead of procurement, site access/use fees (~$5k–$20k/yr); using upper-bound for baseline.
Cybersecurity Maintenance $15K/yr
[#10] Specialist cybersecurity/air-gap procedures and firmware maintenance for implants.
Logistics And Transport $13K/yr
[#23] Transport and supervised interaction logistics (vehicle/fuel, escorts, per-diems/admin) ~ $13,000/yr.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#16, #22] Diet & feeding consumables (~$3,650/yr) and PPE/pharmaceuticals (~$8,000/yr).
Annual Training Drills $10K/yr
[#25] Annual drills and refresher training (~$10,000/yr).
Data Management $8K/yr
[#27] Secure log storage, backup and compliance/reporting (~$5k–$10k/yr, midpoint).
Power Infrastructure Replacement $3K/yr
[#4] Amortized battery/UPS replacement costs (battery replacement every 3–5 years).
Cctv Storage It $2K/yr
[#7] Storage and IT costs for CCTV/IR footage (~$200/month).
Acoustic Equipment Maintenance $2K/yr
[#6] Maintenance/calibration for high-speed cameras, hydrophones and acoustic analysis kit (~$2,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $870K/yr
83.0% probability / year
Routine year with no major incidents; only scheduled maintenance, staffing and research occur.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $990K/yr
15.0% probability / year +$120K vs baseline
Localized medical emergency or limited cybernetic failure requiring emergency veterinary care, Spare parts and contractor time.
medical_emergency localized_cybernetic_failure minor_escape_attempt
🚨 Major Breach $1.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$700K vs baseline
Catastrophic containment breach or large-scale cybernetic failure requiring recapture, major repairs, legal exposure and reverse-engineering/neutralization program.
full_breach catastrophic_cybernetic_failure public_exposure
👥 Personnel 4.95 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#11] Two dedicated FTE guards assigned to the cell (salary+benefits included in staff wages).
Animal Handler / Behaviorist 2 [#12] Two dedicated handlers for enrichment, training and supervised interactions (salary+benefits included).
Medical Officer / Veterinarian 0.25 [#13] Part-time veterinarian allocation (~0.2–0.3 FTE) plus technician time; costs included in staff wages.
Research Scientist 0.5 [#14] Fractional researcher effort (~0.5 FTE) for study of communication and cybernetics; costs in staff wages.
Engineer / Maintenance 0.2 [#15] Fractional cybernetics engineering support (~0.2 FTE) for diagnostics and maintenance; costs in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates map directly to analyst line items and site assumptions but cybernetic unknowns (networking, rare parts), choice between buying imaging vs site fees, and potential for PoI-dependent costs introduce significant but bounded uncertainty.
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