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SCP-3876 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3876
Expected annual
$46K
One-time setup
$67K
Annual recurring
$41K
Personnel
0.17
Initial one-time setup is modest (custom sealed display, monitoring hardware, and basic lab/storage) while recurring annual costs are dominated by partial senior researcher allocation and ongoing monitoring/supplies. Major cost drivers are an optional active research program and low-probability biosecurity responses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $67K
Biosecurity Emergency Contingency $25K
[#20] One-time contingency reserve for emergency quarantine/decontamination if a manifested bouquet contains invasive/pathogenic material.
Equipment $19K
[#2, #3, #4, #10] HEPA unit/HVAC tie-in unit ($1,200), high-frame-rate camera(s) and mounts ($15,000), local NAS initial purchase ($2,000), small lab refrigerator unit ($1,000).
Facilities $12K
[#1] Custom sealed display case with internal stand, glove/transfer ports, gasketed access, custom mounting and vibration damping; fabricaton and installation estimate.
Sop Initial Development $4K
[#13] Initial SOP writing and training session development (containment documentation & emergency procedures).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3K
[#8] Initial full biological screening / taxonomic and pathogen panel for first manifestations.
Transport Per Move $3K
[#17] Secure crating and courier/escort estimate per relocation event.
Conservation Assessment $1K
[#12] One-time conservator assessment for silver-plated artifact condition and recommended treatments.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $41K/yr
Staff Wages $25K/yr
[#5] Partial Level-3 Researcher allocation (approx. 0.15–0.17 FTE at fully loaded $150k/yr) for on-call oversight, response, documentation, and specimen handling.
Research And Monitoring $5K/yr
[#8, #13] Periodic biological screening/quarantine panels and annual SOP refreshers/training.
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #7, #9, #11, #12] HEPA filter replacements, camera maintenance/storage media, NAS power/media replacement, PPE and respirator fit-testing, routine specimen handling consumables, controlled plant waste disposal, and minor ongoing conservation/cleaning.
Incident Medical Contingency $3K/yr
[#16] Contingency for medical treatment, emergency transport, or accommodations in case of allergic reactions or injuries from manifestations.
Cover Story And Legal $2K/yr
[#15, #18] Administrative overhead for access logging, badge programming, scheduling, and small legal/PR contingency funds for cover stories or minor external interactions.
Logistics And Transport $1K/yr
[#6] Incremental site security coverage and transport-related escorts/overtime for occasional demonstrations or transfers.
Facilities Maintenance $700/yr
[#1, #10, #14] Minor case maintenance, small equipment upkeep, and incremental environmental control power/maintenance for case sensors and fridge.
Optional Active Research Program $0/yr
[#19] Optional focused research program (1–2 staff + sequencing/consumables) estimated at $100k–$300k/yr if pursued; set to $0 here for baseline containment (handled via scenario 'research_breakthrough_requiring_scale_up').
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $41K/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, occasional manifestations handled with SOPs, no major incidents or expanded research.
routine monitoring infrequent, contained manifestations no emergency response or research scale-up
🚨 Minor Incident $46K/yr
6.0% probability / year +$5K vs baseline
Localized manifestation event requiring extra security, cleanup, and a small battery of tests beyond routine screening.
large temporary manifestation (mess/obstruction) extra security overtime additional disposals and testing
🚨 Major Biosecurity Response $111K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$70K vs baseline
Discovery of invasive species/pathogen in manifested material triggering broad quarantine, extensive testing, and decontamination.
pathogenic/invasive material detected facility quarantine and HVAC decontamination extensive testing and emergency cleanup
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $191K/yr
3.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Foundation initiates a dedicated active research program into manifestation mechanisms, sequencing, and controlled trials.
decision to fund active research dedicated sequencing and experiments additional staff hires and consumables
👥 Personnel 0.17 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist (Level-3 Researcher) 0.17 Fractional FTE allocation (approx. 0.15–0.17) covered by staff_wages estimate for on-call oversight, response, and specimen handling; other site staff (security/admin) are covered by site budgets and incremental lines above.
📋 Confidence Notes
Containment and recurring needs are well-documented in analyst notes and the article, yielding a moderately confident estimate; ranges in quoted item costs and optional/low-probability scenarios (research scale-up, biosecurity emergency) introduce uncertainty.
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