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SCP-3875 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3875
Expected annual
$6.9M
One-time setup
$18.4M
Annual recurring
$6.7M
Personnel
6
One-time capital (containment + anomalous device procurement and contingency reserves) dominates costs (~$18.45M); recurring annual budget driven by rapid-response teams, covert agent program, memetic R&D and contingency replenishment (~$6.716M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $18.4M
Large Scale Outbreak Reserve $10.0M
[#28] One-time contingency reserve for large-scale, multi-month outbreak operations (strategic planning and stockpiling).
Equipment $3.0M
[#1, #6, #8, #13, #24] Servers and storage for webcrawler and ML; SRA hardware procurement; secure transport containers and fleet; observation/recording equipment; non-attributable comms hardware.
Incident Response Reserve Establishment $2.0M
[#21] Establishment funding for incident response contingency reserve (liquidity to fund emergency operations).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.3M
[#14, #17] Initial memetic/antimemetic R&D infrastructure and secure records/archival system setup.
Facilities $775K
[#6, #18] Chamber shell, containment room retrofit, HVAC/filtration, vibration/seismic control and integration work (chamber shell $50k–250k, facility retrofit $150k–600k, contractor integration costs).
Acquisition Training Initial $675K
[#5] One-time specialized acquisition/CRV/containment training for field teams and embedded operatives (simulators, instructors, certification equipment).
Embedded Agent Selection And Training $360K
[#2] One-time selection and placement training for 6–12 part-time embedded agents (assumed ~9 agents × mid-range selection/training cost).
Front Company Setup $215K
[#3] One-time setup of pest-control front (vehicles, branding, licensing, insurance, initial inventory).
Personnel Vetting Initial $100K
[#19] Initial vetting and background-check costs for access personnel (polygraph/psych evals/etc.).
Field Ppe Kits Initial $15K
[#9] Initial purchase/equipment of field PPE and small-arachnid handling kits for field teams.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.7M/yr
Rapid Response Acquisition Teams $2.0M/yr
[#4] Salaries, hazard pay, training, standby premiums, equipment upkeep and travel for a 12–24 person rapid-response/acquisition team.
Staff Wages $700K/yr
[#20] Salaries for core research staff, animal-care tech(s), memetic specialist(s) and administrative support included in base staff wages.
Embedded Agent Program $600K/yr
[#2] Recurring salaries/benefits, local travel, hazard pay, rotations and tradecraft support for covert embedded agents (assumed mid-range coverage for ~6–12 part-time agents).
Incident Response Reserve Replenishment $500K/yr
[#21] Annual replenishment allocation to maintain incident response liquidity after drawn-down events.
Memetic R And D $400K/yr
[#14] Ongoing memetic/antimemetic R&D, field testing and prototype detector development.
Front Company Operations $350K/yr
[#3] Regional pest-control front payroll, vehicle ops, insurance and client-facing expenses to maintain cover.
Webcrawler Operations $300K/yr
[#1] Ongoing compute, storage, model tuning and operational analysts to run monitoring/webcrawler system.
Legal And Coverup Contingency $300K/yr
[#16] Annual budget for legal counsel, insurance claims, hush payments and PR/legal front maintenance.
Research Abstention Premium $300K/yr
[#27] Operational premium to maintain a conservative, non-research posture (additional surveillance, monitoring and staff).
Medical And Amnestics Reserve $200K/yr
[#15] Annual contingency for medical/psych treatment, amnestic procedures and aftercare for exposed staff/civilians.
Acquisition Recertification $150K/yr
[#5] Annual recertification, simulators and training refresh for acquisition/CRV requirements (per-agent recertification costs).
Sra Operation And Maintenance $150K/yr
[#7] Power provisioning, specialized technicians, recalibration and spare parts for SRA operation and maintenance.
Secure Transport Operations $150K/yr
[#8] Recurring transport escorts, per-deployment transport costs and PPE/equipment for specimen moves.
Pr And Public Records Ops $150K/yr
[#22] Ongoing public-records manipulation, PR work and influence operations to manage repeated public incidents.
Facilities Maintenance $80K/yr
[#6, #18] Annual maintenance, HVAC/filtration utilities and facility upkeep for containment chambers and SRA-related environment.
Tabletop And Simulation Exercises $75K/yr
[#25] Annual training exercises, tabletop drills and live simulations for field and front-company personnel.
Observation Storage And Ops $60K/yr
[#13] Secure, memetic-safe data storage, air-gapped backups and operators for observation/recording systems.
Records Management Upkeep $60K/yr
[#17] Ongoing secure archival maintenance, redaction personnel and index upkeep.
Replacement Compensation Budget $60K/yr
[#23] Annual regional budget for replacing damaged books/materials, IT repair reimbursements and venue compensation.
Ethical Oversight $50K/yr
[#26] Annual budget for oversight boards, external consultants and compliance reviews.
Personnel Monitoring Ongoing $25K/yr
[#19] Continuous monitoring and periodic re-screening costs for access personnel.
Ppe Replenishment $20K/yr
[#9] Annual replenishment of field PPE kits and consumables per office/field team.
Biohazard Disposal Retainer $15K/yr
[#10] Annual retainer and per-incident disposal contracts for removal/incineration/autoclaving of biological/anomalous material.
Comms Services $15K/yr
[#24] Recurring secure communications services, crypto, non-attributable lines and maintenance fees.
Information Food $5K/yr
[#11] Cost to provide 4000–6000 words/week of previously-unread written material per contained adult (commissioning, purchase or in-house production).
Live Cricket Husbandry $1K/yr
[#12] Live-cricket procurement and basic husbandry/quarantine overhead per contained adult.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.7M/yr
74.5% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, containment, and no major incidents.
no major discoveries routine operations only
🚨 Minor Incident $6.9M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized discovery or small outbreak at one or a few venues requiring regional response, legal actions and limited amnestics.
public sighting small localized juvenile spread single regional MTF deployment
🚨 Major Breach $8.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Multi-venue outbreak or significant discovery requiring multi-regional operations, large MTF deployments, emergency amnestics and sustained logistics.
multiple established juvenile sites widespread public attention sustained multi-day operations
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $26.7M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Large-scale, multi-jurisdictional outbreak requiring months-long national/international campaign (full mobilization, military/logistics-level response).
nationwide establishment of juveniles international spread major public exposure
👥 Personnel 6 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 2 [#20, #14] Senior researcher(s) leading containment policy and limited controlled research; salaries included in staff_wages.
Animal-care Technician 1 [#20, #12] Daily husbandry for contained adult(s), live-food management and quarantine procedures; salary included in staff_wages.
Memetic Specialist 1 [#20, #14] Specialist for memetic-safe workflows, observation protocols and oversight; salary included in staff_wages.
Administrative Staff 1 [#17, #24] Records, access control and coordination with front companies; salary included in staff_wages.
Medical Officer 1 [#15] Medical and psychological care coordination for staff and exposed civilians; salary included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed and enumerate many discrete cost drivers, enabling a reasonable mid-range estimate, but key items (SRA procurement complexity, outbreak scale, and memetic research outcomes) remain highly uncertain, so confidence is medium.
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