SCP-3890 — SCP-3890 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-3890 Keter ? low confidence

SCP-3890

Expected annual

$36.1M

One-time setup

$423.4M

Annual recurring

$35.0M

Personnel

Initial containment and research require a large upfront investment (~$423M) driven primarily by R&D capital and facility hardening; ongoing operations are ~ $35M/year, dominated by R&D, staffing, emergency response, and contingency reserves.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $423.4M

Initial Research And Lab Setup $200.0M

[#4] Dimensional/portal research program capital: specialized lab buildout, high-energy apparatus, prototype hardware, and supercomputing procurement (one-time R&D capital).

Containment Sealing Capex $100.0M

[#20] Capital estimate for a one-time containment/sealing operation (bare-minimum engineering attempt).

Existential Contingency Reserve $50.0M

[#25] Recommended one-time contingency reserve for existential escalation preparedness.

Facilities $38.2M

[#3, #8, #11, #18, #19] Secure Gateway/access-site construction and hardening, BSL-capable containment and storage suites, power distribution/generator install, dedicated quarantine suites, and archival/vault buildout.

Disaster Reserve Fund $25.0M

[#14] One-time disaster/containment-breach reserve fund allocation.

Equipment $8.0M

[#5, #6, #12, #13] Long-term sensor array deployment, expedition drones/robotic rovers, secure communications hardware, and vehicle/aircraft procurement.

Public Safety Coordination One Time $1.0M

[#21] One-time costs for covert coordination/setup with local authorities, relocation planning, and contractor arrangements.

Legal And Cover Story Setup $500K

[#15] Initial one-time establishment of cover corporations, legal frameworks, PR fronts, and NDAs.

Antimemetic Program Setup $500K

[#16] One-time setup for antimemetic/cognitive-security program infrastructure and initial countermeasure stock.

Ppe And Field Outfit $125K

[#7] Initial purchase of environmental suits, PPE, portable shelters, and field outfit for entry teams.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $35.0M/yr

Research And Monitoring $10.3M/yr

[#4, #5] Multi-year R&D program funding (modeling, experiments, computing) plus ongoing monitoring bandwidth, data storage, sensor maintenance and analyst time.

Existential Escalation Reserve Annual Setaside $10.0M/yr

[#25] Annual set-aside toward large-scale escalation preparedness (multi-year reserve fund increment).

Staff Wages $5.4M/yr

[#2, #10] Permanent research & operations team salaries (researchers, technicians, admin) plus security staffing and associated benefits/clearance overhead.

Amortized Replacement And Upgrades $2.0M/yr

[#23] Annual capital replacement and upgrade reserve for vehicles, drones, sensors, and computing (amortized).

Cover Story And Legal $1.5M/yr

[#15] Annual legal, cover-story maintenance, PR management, NDAs, and compensation for affected civilians/covert operations.

Emergency Field Response $1.1M/yr

[#1] Recurring emergency deployment costs for rapid-reaction MTF expeditions (transport, per-diem, hazard pay, temp comms) averaged over expected missions per year.

Antimemetic And Cognitive Security $1.0M/yr

[#16] Ongoing antimemetic program costs: training, amnestic stocks, cognitive monitoring, and personnel turnover/rehabilitation.

Facilities Maintenance $700K/yr

[#8, #11, #18] Annual operating costs for containment suites, power/fuel/backup generator maintenance, and quarantine facility operations.

Logistics And Transport $600K/yr

[#13] Vehicle fleet and tactical transport annual maintenance, aircraft ops, and ground vehicle sustainment.

Public Safety Coordination $500K/yr

[#21] Annual covert coordination, payments, and local government liaison activities.

Archaeology Program $500K/yr

[#24] Ongoing archaeology/anthropology program funding for fieldwork, staff, and artifact analysis.

Personnel Health Monitoring $400K/yr

[#17] Baseline and periodic medical screening, psychiatric care, exposure monitoring, and related personnel healthcare costs.

Forensic And Autopsy $300K/yr

[#9] Per-specimen forensic/autopsy, histology, sequencing, imaging and specialist analysis budget averaged across expected recoveries.

Secure Comms And Data Ops $200K/yr

[#12] Ongoing secure communications, classified data handling, air-gapped backups, and secure archival operations.

Training And Drills $200K/yr

[#22] Regular training, simulation exercises, and inter-agency drills for breach/medical/memetic scenarios.

Archival And Conservation $150K/yr

[#19] Archival, cataloging, conservation lab ops, and curator staffing for recovered artifacts.

Supplies And Consumables $120K/yr

[#7] Consumables and replacement PPE, mission disposables, and routine field supply replenishment.

Expedition Equipment Maintenance $50K/yr

[#6] Maintenance, spare parts, and consumables for rovers, drones, and remote probes.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $35.0M/yr

88.5% probability / year

Normal operational year with routine monitoring, scheduled deployments, and no major incidents.

routine_monitoring scheduled_expeditions no_breach

🚨 Minor Incident $36.5M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline

Limited containment breach or accident requiring emergency deployment, short-term medical response, and equipment replacement.

small_breach expeditionary_accident localized_contamination

🚨 Political Exposure $40.0M/yr

1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline

Covert exposure requiring legal defense, large-scale cover operations, civilian relocation, and enhanced PR/compensation.

accidental_public_exposure local_government_involvement

🚨 Major Breach $60.0M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline

Significant containment failure requiring large-scale mobilization, extended operations, and major repairs or replacement of infrastructure.

large_scale_breach multiple_casualties prolonged_containment_operations

🚨 Containment Attempt $135.0M/yr

0.5% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline

Deliberate, large-scale attempt to seal or neutralize SCP-3890 invoking major engineering/R&D capital expenditures.

policy_decision_to_seal escalation_to_engineering_operation

👥 Personnel 53 total

Role	Count	Notes
Research Scientist	8	Permanent research staff assigned to analysis and R&D (from [#2]).
Technician / Lab Technician	12	Technical support, sensor maintenance, and field techs (from [#2]).
Administrative Staff	8	Admin, data processing, and operations support (from [#2]).
Security Officer / MTF Agent	25	Armed site security and rapid-reaction personnel for 24/7 coverage (from [#10]).

📋 Confidence Notes

Estimates are order-of-magnitude and driven by analyst ranges; SCP-3890's anomalous nature, uncertain access mechanics, and possible escalation paths introduce high uncertainty in both one-time and recurring items.

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