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SCP-3906 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3906
Expected annual
$17.1M
One-time setup
$14.3M
Annual recurring
$16.8M
Personnel
53
Estimated upfront capital is approximately $14.3M driven by Site-121 construction and lab/amnestic production setup; annual operating costs are large (~$16.8M/yr) driven primarily by the annual festival production, amnestic reserve maintenance, medical readiness, and propaganda/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.3M
Facilities $8.0M
[#12] Construction/upgrade of Site-121 (secure offices, vaults, stables, staging). Estimate is mid-range of $2M–$15M.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.9M
[#17, #27] Mass-amnestic production facility & initial batch (#17) and evidence storage / lab equipment & cold-chain (freezers, BSL modifications, sequencing tools) (#27).
Equipment $2.5M
[#2, #13, #19, #24, #29] Custom floats/major props (#2), redundant generators/UPS (#13), amnestic dispersal hardware (drones/vehicle sprayers) (#19), telescope/camera network equipment (#24), transportation fleet (trucks/buses) (#29). Sum of mid-range estimates.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.8M/yr
Festival Production $3.5M/yr
[#1] Annual festival production (full parade staging, sound, lighting, fireworks, paid performers). Core recurring expenditure to appease SCP-3906; estimate chosen mid-to-high to maintain Sinulog-level production value.
Mass Amnestic Reserves $2.5M/yr
[#18] Annual replenishment of mass-amnestic reserves sufficient for large-scale dispersal (city-scale). Broad range; mid-range estimate used.
Staff Wages $2.1M/yr
[#5, #6] Event organizers/performers and 24/7 site security wages aggregated (items #5 and #6).
Facilities Maintenance $1.6M/yr
[#3, #14, #30, #35] Float/prop storage, transport and refurbishment (#3), site utilities/fuel/waste (#14), transportation operating costs (fuel/drivers/maintenance) (#30), and annual amortization/replacement budgeting for major capital (#35).
Research And Monitoring $1.5M/yr
[#25, #26, #28] Astronomical/comet monitoring operations and analyst staff (#25), scientific research on SCP-3906 (anomalous studies) (#26), and evidence/lab consumables & sequencing/assays (#28).
Cover Story And Legal $1.4M/yr
[#7, #21, #22] Local law-enforcement liaison/permits and municipal coordination (#7), embedded media/propaganda and content budget (#21), and legal/cover-up costs (forged documents, bribes) (#22).
Medical And Trauma Readiness $1.1M/yr
[#15] Medical/burn-unit readiness, trauma teams on-call, ICU capacity reservations, supplies, and training to handle SCP-3906 active events.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#33] Escalation fund for unplanned expenses during active events (replacement supplies, large casualty responses).
Mortuary And Compensation Reserve $500K/yr
[#23] Covert disposal, family compensation funds, and per-deceased contingency reserves to prevent investigation; maintained annually as contingency.
Supplies And Consumables $468K/yr
[#4, #8, #10, #11] Costumes/stage wardrobe and makeup (#4), live duckling procurement (#8), ceremony consumables/food (#10), and burnt-offerings/ceremonial materials (#11).
Administrative Overhead $425K/yr
[#34] Accounting, HR, travel, insurance, and other back-office administrative costs.
Morgue And Forensics $300K/yr
[#16] Morgue/autopsy capacity, forensic pathology, sample retention, cold storage, and per-case handling budgets.
Veterinary And Biosecurity $110K/yr
[#9] Veterinary care, animal-welfare compliance, quarantine, vaccinations, and biosecurity measures for duck population.
Amnestic Dispersal Maintenance $110K/yr
[#20] Maintenance, fuel, spare parts, batteries, and operator training/recertification for dispersal hardware (drones, vehicles).
Training And Drills $110K/yr
[#31] Regular drills, mass-casualty exercises, and amnestic dispersal training with local partners.
Cultural Consultants $80K/yr
[#32] Cultural/religious consultants and anthropologists to ensure ritual credibility and avoid local suspicion.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.8M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with scheduled annual containment event and routine operations.
scheduled_annual_parade no_active_manifestation
🚨 Minor Incident $19.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Localized SCP-3906 activation with limited casualties requiring medical surge, targeted amnestic use, and discrete cover operations.
single_household_activation small_comet_sighting
🚨 Major Breach $26.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Large multi-residence or community-scale activation with many casualties, city-scale amnestic dispersal, extensive medical/mortuary operations, and significant public-cover expenditures.
wide_area_activation bright_comet_and_multiple_manifestations
👥 Personnel 53 total
Role Count Notes
Event Staff / Performers 29 [#5] Organizers, stagehands, choreographers, paid performers accounted for in event personnel wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#6] 24/7 site security plus event surge staffing accounted for in security wage estimate.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items with wide ranges; mid-range estimates were used to produce a working budget. Significant uncertainty remains due to large ranges for festival scale, amnestic reserve policies, and contingency sizing.
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