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SCP-3918 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-3918
Expected annual
$1.4B
One-time setup
$35.4B
Annual recurring
$1.0B
Personnel
350
Estimated up-front program buildout and contingency is approximately $35.38 billion, driven primarily by interceptor fleet procurement, SRAA construction and redundant infrastructure; recurring annual costs are ~ $1.043 billion driven by on-orbit sustainment, continuous energy consumption, staffing, and elevated ELIOS operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $35.4B
Equipment $21.7B
[#7, #10, #11, #9, #14, #13] Manufacture/launch of interceptor fleet, directed-energy system development and first deployments, mission-control/data-center hardware one-time setup, tracking upgrades hardware, initial ordnance procurement, and MTF equipment/training hardware purchases.
Facilities $6.2B
[#1, #2, #5, #12, #15, #19, #33, #36] Construction and hardening costs for SRAA #12, dedicated power plant build, redundancy layers, standing rapid-launch infrastructure, Site-519 expansion, additional continuity bunkers, physical security upgrades and post-event decommissioning.
Contingency Reserve $4.6B
[#34] Program contingency reserve (estimated at 15% of committed one-time spend to cover overruns and unknowns).
Nuclear Option Preparation $1.0B
[#35] One-time program costs for 'last-resort' nuclear-option preparation and secure custody (contingency-level program).
Fk Stockpile Initial $500.0M
[#18] Initial ΦK-Class long-term survival stockpile build (food, medical caches, spare parts, biodome setup).
Elios Mobilization $400.0M
[#6] One-time mobilization / repositioning ramp-up costs for ELIOS assets (satellite/weapon re-tasking, propellant shifts, mission control reconfiguration).
Evacuation Per Major Event $300.0M
[#26] Representative one-time cost for a major civilian evacuation/resettlement operation (per large event).
Black Budget Fund $250.0M
[#22] Covert procurement / black-budget set-aside for untraceable urgent purchases and clandestine acquisitions.
Cleanup Contingency $100.0M
[#29] Contingency for contaminated-site cleanup and environmental remediation (per major incident contingency allocation).
Rapid Manufacture Reserve $100.0M
[#31] One-time reserve fund for rapid prototyping / surge production of bespoke hardware following breaches.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $75.0M
[#20, #21] Dedicated research lab buildout and high-security sample handling lab construction (initial instrumentation and fit-out).
Diplomatic Mitigation $50.0M
[#25] Discretionary one-time funds for international mitigation / deniability channels.
Emergency Medical Setup $50.0M
[#27] One-time setup for emergency medical response (mobile hospitals, trauma kits, medevac prep).
Public Deception Setup $20.0M
[#24] One-time setup costs for public deception / information-control infrastructure (campaign setup, initial assets).
Relocation Logistics $20.0M
[#16] Immediate relocation and logistics one-time costs for mauve+ personnel (transport, temporary housing, classified hardware movement).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.0B/yr
On Orbit Sustainment $300.0M/yr
[#8] Annual costs to sustain orbital interceptors and on-orbit weapons (refuelling, servicing, spares, replacement launches).
Supplies And Consumables $150.0M/yr
[#3] Ongoing operational energy consumption and consumables for SRAA operations (grid fuel / electricity, life-support power draw).
Elios Elevated Ops $150.0M/yr
[#6] Recurring elevated operational posture costs for ELIOS when on heightened alert (fuel, mission control staffing, orbital adjustments).
Research And Monitoring $115.0M/yr
[#20, #11, #9] Recurring research program costs, continuous satellite/mission monitoring operations, and tracking/early-warning operations maintenance.
Relocated Personnel Support $100.0M/yr
[#17] Recurring support costs for sustaining relocated mauve+ personnel (food, utilities, medical care, life-support consumables).
Staff Wages $70.0M/yr
[#4, #13] Fully-loaded recurring labor costs for SRAA operations staff and MTF Ξ-9110 personnel (shift premiums, hazard pay, clearance premiums).
Fk Stockpile Replenishment $50.0M/yr
[#18] Annual replenishment and maintenance for ΦK-Class long-term survival stockpiles (food, seed, medical supplies, fuel).
Facilities Maintenance $30.0M/yr
[#2] Recurring ops & maintenance for dedicated primary power plant and basic facility upkeep.
Logistics And Transport $20.0M/yr
[#28] Annual logistics and transport costs (ground convoys, airlift, hazardous-material transport for routine tempo).
Ordnance Refresh $20.0M/yr
[#14] Annual refresh, storage and maintenance costs for rapid-response ordnance and ammunition stockpiles.
Cover Story And Legal $15.0M/yr
[#23, #24] Recurring legal, secrecy enforcement, auditing and public deception operations (ongoing PR/operations).
Training And Simulation $10.0M/yr
[#32] Annual costs for training, simulations and war-games to improve ELIOS/interceptor effectiveness.
Emergency Medical Ops $5.0M/yr
[#27] Recurring operations and maintenance for emergency medical response assets (mobile hospitals, medevac readiness).
High Security Lab Ops $5.0M/yr
[#21] Annual operating costs for high-security sample handling and containment labs (HVAC, decon, monitoring).
Psychological Support $3.0M/yr
[#30] Recurring psychological support, rotation programs and morale services for high-alert staff.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.0B/yr
81.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with continuous monitoring, routine ops, and no major breaches or large-scale intercept events.
no major intercept routine maintenance heightened-but-stable alert
🚨 Minor Incident $1.3B/yr
15.0% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Localized intercepts or containment incidents requiring elevated ELIOS activity, limited evacuations and ordnance usage.
single or small number of SCP-3918-1 impacts limited ordnance expenditure targeted evacuations/cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $6.0B/yr
3.0% probability / year +$5.0B vs baseline
Significant breach or multiple impacts requiring fleet replenishment, large evacuations, substantial repairs and long-duration elevated operations.
multiple intercept failures widespread impacts extended on-orbit sustainment
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $41.0B/yr
0.5% probability / year +$40.0B vs baseline
Near-civilization-level event requiring full program surge: mass evacuations, replacement fleets, long-term recovery and possible last-resort measures.
ELIOS failure widespread SCP-3918 restructuring authorization of extreme countermeasures
👥 Personnel 350 total
Role Count Notes
Engineer / Technician (SRAA operations) 200 Operational staff for Scranton Reality Anchor Array #12, 24/7 shifts; maps to recurring staffing estimate [#4].
Security Officer / MTF Agent 150 MTF Ξ-9110 personnel and security teams (fully-loaded personnel costs accounted in staff_wages) [#13].
📋 Confidence Notes
Wide uncertainty in analyst ranges, high dependence on choices about fleet size, power infrastructure, and political/operational decisions; many costs are deliberately opaque (black-budget) and scenario-driven, so estimates have low confidence.
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