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SCP-3929 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-3929
Expected annual
$381K
One-time setup
$184K
Annual recurring
$377K
Personnel
3.2
Estimated one-time setup of $184,000 mainly for minor containment upgrades, equipment, emergency fund and decontamination planning; recurring annual costs about $376,920 driven primarily by staff wages (security, research, technicians), testing, emergency reserve and administrative overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $184K
Emergency Response Fund $50K
[#22] One-time contingency fund allocation for rapid response, lock replacement, forensic cleanup or emergency transport.
Facilities $46K
[#2, #18] Containment room modification (minor build-out) and one-time backup-power wiring/integration costs.
Equipment $36K
[#1, #3, #12, #13, #9, #10] Secure container purchase/upgrade, access-control hardware installation, CCTV/IDS hardware, and secure-records one-time setup (digital vaulting and sealed evidence forms).
Decontamination And Destruction $28K
[#23] One-time planning/contract costs for potential decontamination or destruction procedures and legal oversight.
Legal Cover Initial $15K
[#19] Initial legal/cover-story setup and liaison costs for civilian contractors, FOIA preparation and legal reviews.
Training Setup $10K
[#21] Initial protocol and emergency-response training setup and scenario development.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $377K/yr
Staff Wages $200K/yr
[#5, #6, #7] Security staffing (2 × Level‑2 guards) and fractional research oversight + laboratory technician salaries (aggregated).
Administrative Overhead $63K/yr
[#25] Administrative/site overhead (estimated at 20% of direct recurring costs per guidance).
Research And Monitoring $48K/yr
[#8, #20, #21] Annual testing budget (assume 1–3 tests/year midpoint), ethics/review board costs, and recurring training/refresher exercises.
Emergency Response Reserve $25K/yr
[#22] Annual reserve/replenishment contribution to emergency response fund.
Facilities Maintenance $12K/yr
[#4, #11, #12, #14, #17, #18, #9] Annual access-control licensing/maintenance, secure-records storage/backups, CCTV/IDS monitoring & maintenance, climate/environmental monitoring and backup power marginal costs; includes the recurring portion of #9/#12.
Logistics And Transport $11K/yr
[#16] Secure transport/armored courier costs for 2–4 transfers/year (midpoint).
Cover Story And Legal $6K/yr
[#19] Ongoing legal/cover-story liaison, memos, and PR/FOIA handling (recurring portion).
Archival Storage $6K/yr
[#24] Long-term archival/storage allocation and asset tracking.
Incident Documentation $5K/yr
[#26] Expected annual spend on incident documentation and forensic analysis (average per-year estimate based on low incident rate).
Supplies And Consumables $2K/yr
[#15] Consumables and PPE (gloves, disinfectants, evidence bags, disposable tools).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $377K/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no containment incidents; routine testing and maintenance only.
routine_testing scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $407K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$30K vs baseline
Small containment incident (tampering, transport issue, minor unauthorized access) requiring forensic work, repairs and short-term response.
unauthorized_access_attempt container_tampering incident_during_transport
🚨 Major Breach $577K/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Significant breach or destructive incident with casualties, public exposure, or loss of material requiring large-scale response, legal action and possible reconstitution/cleanup.
successful_breach subject_casualty public_exposure
👥 Personnel 3.2 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#5] Two Level‑2 guards minimum for visible custody and daily checks (rotational staffing covered in salaries).
Research Scientist 0.2 [#6] Fractional FTE for research oversight / authorization (approx. 0.05–0.25 FTE aggregated).
Laboratory Technician 1 [#7] 0.5–1.0 FTE typical for handling/testing; aggregated as one full-equivalent technician for budget purposes.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of analyst ranges and conservative assumptions (e.g., emergency fund size, incident probabilities). Many line items have wide ranges and some allocations (reserve replenishment, incident frequency) required judgment calls, so confidence is medium.
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