SCP-3931 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-3931
Expected annual
$1.9B
One-time setup
$18.5B
Annual recurring
$1.7B
Personnel
3800
Initial consolidation and asset write-offs drive very large one-time costs (tens of billions), while sustaining a minimal multi-site and extra-planetary posture yields recurring costs in the low billions per year; major drivers are decommissioning/write-offs, orbital/lunar operations, cover-up/diplomacy, and staffing/logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $18.5B
Asset Writeoffs Decommissioning $10.5B
[#4]
Cover Operations One Time $2.5B
[#14]
Mobile Logistics Program $2.5B
[#20]
Diplomatic Bargains $525.0M
[#15]
Emergency Resupply Launches $500.0M
[#2]
Abandon In Place Retrofit $275.0M
[#3]
Logistics Fleet Capital $275.0M
[#8]
Contractor Coercion One Time $260.0M
[#24]
Emergency Research Setup $175.0M
[#7]
Thaumaturgy Instrumentation $110.0M
[#6]
Power Upgrades $110.0M
[#12]
Counterintelligence Operations $110.0M
[#16]
Evacuation And Relocation One Time $105.0M
[#9]
Anomaly Consolidation $105.0M
[#17]
Rare Reagents Procurement $100.5M
[#21]
Medical Stockpiles Setup $80.0M
[#10]
Mortuary Setup $53.0M
[#18]
Spare Parts Stockpiles $53.0M
[#22]
Strategic Safeguards One Time $50.0M
[#23]
Communications Hardening $27.5M
[#13]
Accounting And Audits Setup $5.5M
[#25]
Facilities $0
[]
Equipment $0
[]
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7B/yr
Orbital Lunar Operations $600.0M/yr
[#2]
Staff Wages $382.0M/yr
[#1, #5, #6, #7, #10, #16, #17, #22, #24, #25]
Cover Story And Legal $200.0M/yr
[#14, #15]
Logistics And Transport $115.0M/yr
[#8]
Mobile Logistics Operations $100.0M/yr
[#20]
Research And Monitoring $40.0M/yr
[#7]
Facilities Maintenance $30.0M/yr
[#1]
Supplies And Consumables $30.0M/yr
[#1, #10, #11]
Power Operations $30.0M/yr
[#12]
Contractor Premiums $30.0M/yr
[#24]
Abandon In Place Maintenance $25.0M/yr
[#3]
Strategic Safeguards Recurring $20.0M/yr
[#23]
Thaumaturgy Monitoring $10.0M/yr
[#6]
Medical Capacity $10.0M/yr
[#10]
Communications Maintenance $10.0M/yr
[#13]
Counterintelligence Surveillance $10.0M/yr
[#16]
Anomaly Upkeep $10.0M/yr
[#17]
Mortuary Operations $5.0M/yr
[#18]
Inventory Management $5.0M/yr
[#22]
Mental Health Programs $4.0M/yr
[#19]
Accounting And Audits $2.0M/yr
[#25]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7B/yr
81.0% probability / year
Uneventful year of consolidated operations with no major breaches or global exposure; normal recurring sustainment costs only.
steady_operations no_major_breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $2.0B/yr
12.0% probability / year +$300.0M vs baseline
Localized containment breach or logistics failure requiring emergency medevac, surge medical/logistics and targeted counter-intel response.
localized_breach supply_chain_disruption small_scale_leak
🚨 Major Breach $3.7B/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.0B vs baseline
Significant breach or loss of an orbital/lunar asset, mass evacuations, large-scale logistics mobilization and accelerated research/containment expenditures.
orbital_loss widespread_site_compromise major_infrastructure_damage
🚨 Political Exposure $6.7B/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0B vs baseline
Large-scale public disclosure or international breakdown forcing massive cover-ups, diplomatic payouts and long-term contracts to secure suppliers.
major_leak international_exposure massive_political_pressure
👥 Personnel 3800 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 600 [#5] Armed guards and rapid-response teams stationed at Site-01 and on patrol.
Research Scientist 900 [#6, #7] Thaumaturgy analysts, research staff and consultants retained for monitoring and limited research.
Engineer / Maintenance 500 [#3, #8, #12] Facility engineers, fleet maintenance and power/backup systems staff.
Medical Officer 250 [#10] Medical teams for burn/trauma/ICU and field hospitals.
Administrative Staff 300 [#1, #25] Administration, payroll, logistics planning and accounting.
Thaumaturgy Specialist / Occult Analyst 150 [#6] Highly paid specialists monitoring ritual parameters and anomalies.
Logistics / Pilots / Fleet Crew 70 [#2, #8] Crew for orbital/lunar ops and transport fleet.
Counterintelligence / InfoSec 150 [#16, #13] Investigation, leak remediation and hardened communications staff.
Support Staff 780 [#1, #11, #22] Food, custodial, stockpile management and supply-chain personnel.
Technical Specialist / Technician 100 [#17, #22] Vault techs, anomaly handling technicians and inventory specialists.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to extremely wide ranges in analyst notes, uncertain scope (extra-planetary vs automated-only posture), and many politically contingent costs (cover-ups, GOI bargaining, strategic safeguards) that depend on unknown negotiations and decisions.
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