SCP-3949 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3949
Expected annual
$3.1M
One-time setup
$1.6M
Annual recurring
$3.0M
Personnel
16
Initial setup requires moderate one-time investment (~$1.61M) for tooling, development, and contingency; ongoing annual operations run in the low-to-mid millions (~$2.99M/yr) with staff wages, platform subscriptions, cloud services, and legal/OPINTEL being the main drivers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.6M
Contingency Reserve Initial $625K
[#19] One-time contingency / contingency fund for large unforeseen close-out or legal costs.
Crawler Development $425K
[#1] Development of dedicated webcrawler, ML/NLP, dashboard, testing (one-team 6–9 months).
Forensics Initial Tooling $275K
[#9] Initial digital forensics tooling, honeypots, trace infrastructure.
Amnestics Reserve Initial $150K
[#11] Emergency amnestic/medical intervention contingency reserve (one-time stockpile/setup).
Endpoint Hardware Initial $45K
[#6] Hardened laptops, encrypted phones, tokens, sandbox VMs initial procurement (total package).
Sockpuppet Initial $42K
[#7] Initial sockpuppet/account infrastructure, proxies, verification services, OPSEC tooling.
Decommissioning $30K
[#20] One-time costs to decommission/close-out if SCP Neutralized or program terminated.
Archival Initial $18K
[#17] Initial secure, air-gapped archival media and cold storage setup.
Facilities $0
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Equipment $0
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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.0M/yr
Staff Wages $1.7M/yr
[#4, #5, #9, #21] Salaries/benefits/clearance for cyber analysts (3–6), MTF Omicron-5 operatives (6–10), and recurring forensics personnel; #21 (on-call/retainer alternative) noted as staffing alternative rather than additive.
Research And Monitoring $368K/yr
[#10, #13, #22] Research budget (memetics/psych studies) plus translation/international monitoring and fringe/darknet/forum monitoring.
Facilities Maintenance $155K/yr
[#15, #17] Secure rooms/office rent, physical security, utilities, and archival maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $155K/yr
[#8, #12] Legal liaison retainer and public cover/OPINTEL budget; per-incident legal fees are additional and handled in scenarios.
Platform Data Subscriptions $150K/yr
[#3] Enterprise API access / social listening tools (Twitter/X, Reddit, Meta, TikTok, Discord, third-party firehose access).
Cloud Services $120K/yr
[#2] Cloud hosting, compute, streaming, storage, encrypted backups for crawler and logs.
Insurance And Liability $110K/yr
[#19] Operational liability insurance and annual contingency reserve contributions.
Sockpuppet Maintenance $66K/yr
[#7] Ongoing infrastructure costs for sockpuppets: proxies, verification, VPNs, persona assets.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#16] Travel, field ops, vehicles, lodging for incident response (annual average allocation).
Compliance And Audit $50K/yr
[#18] Data privacy, compliance program costs, external audits, cross-jurisdiction legal compliance.
Training And Exercises $50K/yr
[#14] Training, tabletop exercises, readiness, and continuous exercises for operatives and analysts.
Amnestics Reserve Annual $25K/yr
[#11] Annual replenishment / contribution to medical/amnestic contingency reserve.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#6] Consumables and replacement cycle for endpoint kits (annual refresh/replacements).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.0M/yr
68.0% probability / year
Normal year with full staffing and routine monitoring; no major public incidents.
routine monitoring minor crawler tuning no public outbreak
🚨 Minor Incident $3.1M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$155K vs baseline
Localized online flare-up requiring extra MTF response, legal takedowns, and limited medical/PR actions.
short-lived viral post cluster small cluster of false-memory cases rapid takedown & targeted amnestic use
🚨 Major Breach $4.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or widespread false-memory cluster requiring large-scale field ops, amnestics, and legal/PR response.
mass delusion event offline gatherings / public disturbances large-scale amnestic deployment
🚨 Political Exposure $5.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Legal/political exposure or litigation from platforms or public actors leading to prolonged legal defense, settlements, and program scaling.
lawsuit or regulatory investigation media/political attention major data-privacy/regulatory breach
👥 Personnel 16 total
Role Count Notes
Cyber Analyst 5 [#4] Full-time analysts to review crawler flags, triage content and hand off to MTF.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#5] MTF Omicron-5 operatives to engage posts, manage online response, and perform field interventions.
Digital Forensics Analyst 3 [#9] Forensics & origin-tracing personnel for trace analysis, honeypots, and infrastructure analysis.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and realistic ranges, enabling a reasonable midpoint-based estimate; uncertainty remains because many items are wide ranges (platform firehose costs, staffing model choices, and incident frequency/severity), hence medium confidence.
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