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SCP-3950 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-3950
Expected annual
$3.2M
One-time setup
$4.3M
Annual recurring
$3.2M
Personnel
21
Estimated one-time capital costs are roughly $4.34M for structural upgrades, custom imaging development, and contingency disposal; recurring annual costs are roughly $3.17M driven by security and research staffing, HVAC/energy, and multi-year research campaigns.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.3M
Contingent Catastrophic Mitigation $2.0M
[#24] Contingent one-time full-scale demolition/disposal capability budget (planning/contracting mobilization).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.1M
[#10, #11] One-time development/purchase for advanced/custom imaging capability and experimental NDT systems (#10) and initial routine imaging/diagnostics equipment (#11).
Facilities $730K
[#1, #3, #15] Structural load-bearing upgrade (#1) and reinforced containment cell (#3) plus installation of structural monitoring sensors (#15).
Equipment $505K
[#2, #4, #5, #7, #13, #16, #22] Heavy-lift/transport/crane rental and rigging (#2), HVAC installation (#4), generator/ATS installation (#5), security systems installation (#7), cold-storage/freezer purchase (#13), emergency spare parts/reserve (#16), and initial information-security hardware (#22).
Permits And Fees $15K
[#18] One-time permitting and compliance fees associated with construction/heavy loads.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.2M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#6, #9] Permanent 24/7 security staffing (12 guards) and onsite core research/medical team salaries (pathologists, PI, lab technicians, radiology consults).
Research And Monitoring $750K/yr
[#10, #21] Recurring advanced imaging campaigns/NDT rentals and multi-year hypothesis-driven research program funding (annualized).
Supplies And Consumables $212K/yr
[#8, #11, #12, #20] Biocontainment PPE and consumables (#8), routine imaging consumables (#11), tissue sampling/pathology reagents and sequencing (#12), and maintenance/cleaning consumables (#20).
Energy Consumption $150K/yr
[#19] Electricity for continuous HVAC, freezers, lighting, and periodic imaging equipment power draw.
Miscellaneous Overhead $125K/yr
[#25] Day-to-day admin, janitorial for non-bio zones, vehicle fuel for site trips, and general facility overhead.
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#17] Annual budget for cover-story maintenance, local liaisons, and routine legal/PR work.
Containment Response Training $100K/yr
[#16] On-call multidisciplinary response team readiness, drills, and rapid-repair readiness training.
Psychological And Hazard Pay $50K/yr
[#23] Hazard pay and psychological support/EAP for exposed personnel.
Information Security Operational $30K/yr
[#22] Recurring secure-network, backups, and periodic security audits.
Permits And Compliance $30K/yr
[#18] Recurring site insurance, environmental compliance fees, and permit renewals.
Security Systems Maintenance $20K/yr
[#7] Maintenance and IT support for CCTV, intrusion detection, and redundant recording systems.
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#15] Recurring structural inspections and minor facility upkeep for load-bearing slab and cell.
Logistics And Transport $10K/yr
[#5] Recurring fuel/logistics for backup generator and occasional transport support related to containment systems.
Waste Handling And Disposal $10K/yr
[#14] Autoclave/incineration and licensed biohazard waste disposal services.
Cold Storage Maintenance $8K/yr
[#13] Power, LN2/refill and service for -80°C freezers and monitoring alarms.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.2M/yr
93.9% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, no major incidents; recurring operational costs only.
routine_monitoring scheduled_imaging_campaigns no_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $3.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$150K vs baseline
Localized containment event (minor structural settlement, small repair, limited response and overtime).
localized_settlement minor_seal_failure small_medical_response
🚨 Major Breach $3.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant containment breach requiring major repairs, extended response, additional temporary security and testing.
partial_structural_failure security_incident extensive_repair
🚨 Catastrophic Disposal $5.2M/yr
0.1% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Decision and execution of full decommissioning/disposal of the lithopedion (demolition, specialized incineration/remediation).
mandated_disposal regulatory_intervention irrecoverable_breach
👥 Personnel 21 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#6] 24/7 guard coverage including supervisors (rotating shifts).
Research Scientist / PI 1 [#9, #21] Lead researcher managing studies and oversight.
Research Scientist 1 [#9, #21] Additional research scientist supporting experiments and analysis.
Pathologist / Medical Officer 2 [#9] Full-time pathologists/forensic physicians for sampling and interpretation.
Researcher / Lab Technician 4 [#9, #11, #12] Lab technicians handling assays, sampling, and equipment operation.
Radiologist Consultant 1 [#9, #10] Part-time radiology consultant for imaging campaigns (on-call/contract basis).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for most categories, enabling midrange budgeting; uncertainty remains around advanced imaging development cost, disposal scale, and long-term research scope, so confidence is medium.
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