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SCP-3969 Safe ✓ high confidence
SCP-3969
Expected annual
$2.4M
One-time setup
$1.5M
Annual recurring
$2.4M
Personnel
15
One-time startup costs are approximately $1.52M driven primarily by the optional replication program setup and laboratory capital; recurring operations are approximately $2.38M/year dominated by staff wages, contingency reserves, and (optionally) replication program operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5M
Replication Program Setup $1.0M
[#23] Optional high‑risk replication program initial setup (chosen baseline at lower bound $1,000,000; documented range $1,000,000–$5,000,000). Marked optional/high‑risk.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#9] Laboratory capital: sequencers, imaging, histology equipment, biosafety cabinets, PPE and incremental lab instruments ($250,000).
Biosafety Upgrade $100K
[#11] Conditional biosafety upgrade: baseline BSL‑2+ contingency (~$100,000); full BSL‑3 buildout range $500,000–$2,000,000 (not included in this baseline one‑time estimate beyond the minimal upgrade).
Equipment $95K
[#2, #3, #12] CCTV/access control/comms ($25,000), emergency handling & transport gear including transfer cage and van fit‑out ($20,000), secure IT hardware for on‑site encrypted storage ($50,000).
Facilities $60K
[#1, #4] Containment chamber refurbishment ($50,000) and incremental environmental/life‑support modifications ($10,000).
Initial Cover Development $10K
[#18] One‑time initial costs for cover story creation/legal documentation and liaison setup (~$10,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.4M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #8] Security guards (~$300,000/yr), security supervisors/response (~$210,000/yr), medical support (physician 0.2 FTE + nurse 0.5 FTE & supplies ≈ $175,000/yr), research staff salaries (~$380,000/yr).
Replication Program Operational $500K/yr
[#23] Optional high‑risk replication program operational cost (lower bound chosen $500,000/yr; documented range $500,000–$2,000,000/yr).
Contingency Fund $250K/yr
[#22] Emergency/contingency reserve for unexpected anomalous activity, specialist hires, transfers (~$250,000/yr recommended).
Administration And Site Overhead $200K/yr
[#13] Pro rata Site‑17 administrative allocation: HR, payroll processing, general facility overhead (~$200,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $152K/yr
[#10, #25] Experimental consumables and assays (~$150,000/yr) plus minor recurring items/petty cash (~$2,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $100K/yr
[#18, #19, #24] Recurring amnestic/witness handling & cover logistics (~$25,000/yr), legal/compliance & ethical oversight (~$50,000/yr), public relations/civilian reimbursements (~$25,000/yr).
Depreciation And Spares $40K/yr
[#21] Depreciation and maintenance/service contracts for capital (~10% of capital; ~$40,000/yr).
Secure It Maintenance $20K/yr
[#12] Ongoing secure IT, encrypted storage, backups, software licensing and audits (~$20,000/yr).
Counseling And Behavioral $20K/yr
[#16] Psychologist/behavioral specialist consultations and human factors (~$20,000/yr).
Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#17] Staff training sessions, containment documentation updates, emergency drills (~$10,000/yr).
Waste Handling And Disposal $8K/yr
[#20] Biohazardous and chemical waste disposal (~$8,000/yr).
Utilities Incremental $5K/yr
[#14] Incremental electricity, water, HVAC to support single humanoid and monitoring (~$5,000/yr).
Food And Daily Care $5K/yr
[#15] Meals, laundry, hygiene supplies and modest personal items for SCP‑3969 (~$5,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Minor Recurring Items $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.4M/yr
91.5% probability / year
Normal year with cooperative subject, no major incidents; routine research and containment operations only.
no breach low‑intensity research no major legal exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $2.5M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Small containment incident or medical episode requiring overtime, additional amnestics, minor repairs, and PR/legal response.
medical emergency localized breach witness exposure
🚨 Bsl Upgrade $3.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Decision to perform high‑intensity biological experiments requiring a formal BSL‑3 upgrade (one‑time capital expense in that year).
high‑risk pathogen work authorized challenge assays or invasive tissue experiments
🚨 Major Breach $3.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$750K vs baseline
Significant containment failure or exposure requiring relocation, major repairs, large PR/legal expenditures, and extended specialist engagement.
major containment breach extensive civilian exposure legal/Subpoena/relocation
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] 2 guards per shift × 3 shifts = 6 guards (salaries included in staff_wages).
Security Supervisor / Rapid Response 3 [#6] 3 FTEs for shift supervision and incident response (salaries included in staff_wages).
Research Scientist 2 [#8] Core research team: 2senior researchers (salaries included in staff_wages).
Lab Technician 2 [#8] 2 lab technicians/assistants (salaries included in staff_wages).
Medical Officer 1 [#7] Part‑time physician (0.2 FTE) allocated to SCP‑3969 (cost included in medical support line).
Nurse Practitioner / Medical Support 1 [#7] Nurse practitioner (~0.5 FTE) for routine checks and occupational health (cost included in medical support line).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line‑item estimates and ranges for nearly every cost component; mappings are straightforward and most recurring items have explicit dollar estimates, yielding high confidence.
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