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SCP-3980 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-3980
Expected annual
$8.6M
One-time setup
$21.9M
Annual recurring
$8.2M
Personnel
35
Estimated one-time capital costs are approximately $21,620,000 driven by entombment, high-end lab/cleanroom setup, and large excavation/space contingencies; recurring annual costs are approximately $8,250,000 driven by security staffing, Site-087 operations, and memetic research and monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $21.9M
Emergency Excavation Full Reserve $10.0M
[#19] Contingency reserve for full-scale covert excavation/recovery operations (high-profile, high-cost scenario kept in reserve).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M
[#16, #18] High-end baseline containment and analysis lab setup including TEM/SEM/mass spec access/purchase and cleanroom retrofit for nanoscopic investigation and memetic-safe lab spaces.
Space Response Contingency $2.0M
[#17] Contingency budget for emergency telescope time, satellite data purchases, or small CubeSat mission in case astronomical-scale investigation is required.
Contingency Reserve $2.0M
[#26] Emergency reserve fund for rapid buyouts, PR disasters, or major physical repairs; recommended minimum reserve.
Facilities $1.5M
[#2, #1, #28, #25] Entombment, demolition of above-ground structures, generator/energy redundancy hardware, and initial execution-facility retrofit structural work. Does not include archival vault setup (separately budgeted).
Emergency Excavation Small $1.0M
[#19] Contract for small remote retrieval/robotic tunnelling capable of limited access should entombment require reversal or sample recovery.
Memorialization And Family Handling $500K
[#24] One-time payouts and HR/cover handling for deceased personnel families and false narratives.
Equipment $400K
[#6, #7, #8] Remote monitoring/sensor array installation, radio/spectrum equipment and antennas, and purchase of two armored vans (hardware costs).
Legal And Cover Setup $300K
[#20] Initial setup costs for cover story creation, legal counsel, and local agreements/bribes to establish plausible public narrative.
Digital Recovery $200K
[#14] Digital forensics, data recovery, server salvage and reconstruction of lost FOB Locke documentation.
Compensation Payouts $200K
[#21] Initial compensation/hush agreements and buyouts for local civilians, contractors, or witnesses.
Geotechnical And Environmental Surveying $90K
[#3] Borehole sampling, groundwater testing, asbestos/soil remediation and pre-seal environmental/geotechnical surveys.
Perimeter Installation $80K
[#4] Fencing, camouflage, restricted-access gates, signage, remote locks and installation costs for perimeter control.
Archival Setup $50K
[#15] Secure air-gapped archival storage vault setup and initial redundancy creation.
Forensic Investigation One Time $50K
[#13] One-time per-investigation contracts, transcription, redaction or special-session costs outside the standing interview team.
Hazmat One Time $50K
[#29] One-time hazardous material handling and disposal for recovered materials/bodies as needed.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.2M/yr
Staff Wages $2.3M/yr
[#5, #7, #13] Salaries for armed perimeter guards (three shifts), interviewers/forensic specialists, radio/signal analysts, onsite medical/technical staff and core operational personnel.
Facilities Maintenance $2.0M/yr
[#9, #4, #28] Ongoing Site-087 utilities, HVAC/filtration, building maintenance, perimeter upkeep and generator/fuel contract maintenance.
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#16, #6, #27] Ongoing memetic research team and lab overhead, TEM/microscope maintenance, sensor baseline scans and monitoring/maintenance of specialized instrumentation.
Detention Operations $800K/yr
[#10] Ongoing detention costs for former FOB personnel (housing, food, secure accommodation) estimated for 10–20 detainees.
Medical And Psychiatric Care $400K/yr
[#11] Ongoing medical, psychiatric, neuroimaging, cognitive rehabilitation and experimental amnestic cycles for impaired detainees.
Administrative Overhead $300K/yr
[#30] Program management, covert accounting, project administration and logistics coordinators for the operation.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#20] Annual legal retainers, public affairs/cover operations, FOIA handling and local authority fees/retainers.
Training And Drills $200K/yr
[#23] Annual training, breach response drills, equipment readiness and rapid-response team upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $170K/yr
[#12, #29, #15] Annual supply of amnestic pharmaceuticals and memetic counter compounds, ongoing hazmat disposal contracts and consumables for archival rotation.
Logistics And Transport $100K/yr
[#8] Armored vehicle maintenance, fuel, convoy logistics and secure transport operation costs.
Vetting And Background Checks $100K/yr
[#22] Continuous recruitment vetting, background checks, polygraphs and monitoring program for staff assigned to sensitive roles.
Archival Storage Recurring $25K/yr
[#15] Ongoing costs for secure off-site archival storage rotation, media replacement and air-gapped vault maintenance.
Execution Infrastructure Recurring $20K/yr
[#25] Ongoing small recurring costs associated with maintaining secure protocols and legal oversight for the execution contingency.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.2M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine containment, research, and administration.
no major breaches steady research progress routine maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $8.5M/yr
7.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Small on-site incident or equipment failure requiring limited remediation, temporary increased monitoring, and targeted amnestic campaigns.
false alarm/tamper event localized contamination or sensor failure small-scale investigative operation
🚨 Major Excavation $19.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$11.0M vs baseline
Containment failure or research decision forces a full-scale (covert) excavation/retrieval requiring large one-time expenditures and elevated operational tempo.
entombment breach need for physical sample recovery large-scale forensic excavation
🚨 Political Exposure $11.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or legal action requiring payouts, heavy legal/PR effort, and expanded covers.
leaked incident details local lawsuits or FOIA breach media/political scrutiny
👥 Personnel 35 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 16 [#5] 24/7 armed perimeter force across three shifts; headcount chosen within analyst range (12–24).
Research Scientist 6 [#27, #16] Memetic and anomalous research team (4–8 researchers recommended), included in research_and_monitoring staffing.
Interviewer / Forensic Specialist 3 [#13] Forensic interviewers and analysts to handle impaired witnesses, transcription and secure evidence handling.
Radio/Signal Analyst 2 [#7] Signal intelligence analysts monitoring transmissions from FOB Locke and surrounding bands.
Medical Officer 3 [#11] Medical and psychiatric staff providing ongoing care and neuroimaging support for detainees.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#9, #30] Senior oversight and covert program management for Site-087 and FOB Locke operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#28, #6] Technical staff for generators, HVAC/filtration, sensors and routine facility maintenance.
Administrative Staff 2 [#30] Covert accounting, logistics coordinators and program administrators for off-books operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are drawn directly from analyst ranges but many items (entombment volume, lab instrument purchase vs access, and excavation/space contingencies) have large uncertainties; recurring staffing and research budgets are better constrained than long-tail one-time contingencies.
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