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SCP-3981 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-3981
Expected annual
$4.8M
One-time setup
$39.0M
Annual recurring
$4.6M
Personnel
19
Estimated upfront capital is very large (tens of millions) driven primarily by the tungsten double-shell and reinforced foundations; recurring annual costs are in the low millions driven by specialized staff, energy, data, and amortized replacement budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $39.0M
Facilities $28.6M
[#1, #2] Tungsten containment shell fabrication/installation and site slab/foundation reinforcement (midpoint estimates of $15–40M and $250k–$1M ranges).
Decommissioning Contingency $5.5M
[#26] Capital contingency set aside for potential decommissioning, demolition, environmental remediation and hazardous-waste transport (midpoint of $1M–$10M).
Equipment $2.1M
[#3, #4, #5, #6, #7, #8, #16, #17, #18] Heavy access doors, gas-delivery installation, HVAC installation, EMI shielding installation, sensor/camera suite, on-site servers, automated feeders, heavy material-handling equipment, and waste setup (midpoint estimates).
Emergency Response Reserve $1.2M
[#19] One-time reserved budget for emergency containment equipment, large-capacity sedatives, mobile barriers and rapid-contractor access (midpoint of $500k–$2M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#13, #14, #15, #23] Initial ASL/Morse training program, baseline diagnostics, prosthetic tusk prototyping (one-time R&D/implant costs), and initial long-term research instrumentation/R&D procurement.
Insurance And Cover Contingency $500K
[#22] One-time contingency for legal/cover/black-budget setup as noted.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.6M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #12, #14, #25] Salaries and benefits for lead researcher (Mullen), Regulation Team (4 operatives), security staffing, compensated individual-of-interest support, veterinary/megafauna medical team, and backup personnel (midpoint salary estimates included).
Depreciation Amortized Replacement $1.2M/yr
[#28] Annual amortized replacement and overhaul set-aside for large capital items (tungsten panels, HVAC, cranes, servers).
Research And Monitoring $642K/yr
[#6, #7, #8, #13, #15, #23, #24] EMI monitoring & calibration, sensor licenses/ops, off-site backups/compute/storage, ongoing ASL/Morse interpreter contracts, prosthetic monitoring, long-term research grants, and staff training/psych support.
Power Costs $300K/yr
[#21] Continuous electricity, backup generator fuel/testing and UPS maintenance for cell HVAC, shielding, servers, pumps and instrumentation.
Facilities Maintenance $278K/yr
[#3, #5, #17, #20, #21] Annual maintenance for heavy doors, HVAC servicing, heavy equipment upkeep, tungsten shell inspection/NDT and generator testing/UPS maintenance.
Cover Story And Legal $275K/yr
[#22] Insurance, legal counsel, cover story/front company expenses and classified-program overhead (recurring).
Supplies And Consumables $220K/yr
[#4, #16, #18, #19, #27] Recurring gas supplies and testing, feeding/reward provisioning, waste processing operations, emergency consumable restock and miscellaneous PPE/consumables.
Logistics And Transport $50K/yr
[#17, #19] Annual contractor/vehicle/rapid-deploy logistics and transportation standby for heavy lifts, repairs, and emergency deployments.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.6M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; regular maintenance, staffing, research and operations continue as planned.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $5.1M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized containment event causing equipment damage, increased veterinary care and short-term contractor support (e.g., tusk fracture, minor panel damage, brief breach of instrument housings).
tusk_fracture localized_structural_damage acute_veterinary_intervention
🚨 Major Breach $12.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or destructive event requiring large-scale repairs/decommissioning, environmental remediation, legal settlements and prolonged operational disruption.
structural_failure large-scale_breach environmental_remediation
👥 Personnel 19 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 1 [#9] Lead researcher Edward Mullen (on-call for interviews and research coordination).
Regulation Team / Operatives 4 [#10] Dedicated team enforcing the Mullen-Medina Protocol and daily operational regulation.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#11] Armed site security covering shifts and rapid response for large-animal anomalous threats (aggregate staffing consistent with recurring security budget).
Veterinary Team / Medical Officer 3 [#14] Specialists for megafauna medicine, diagnostics, sedation and routine care (salaries included in staff_wages).
Backup Researchers 2 [#25] Trained backups to Mullen for ASL/Morse interviews and protocol coverage (to avoid single-point failure).
Individual of Interest / Compensated Support 1 [#12] Everett Reeves or equivalent compensated/relocated civilian/employee required to accompany interviews (costed as recurring support/compensation).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of ranges provided in analyst notes; major capital items (tungsten shell, decommissioning contingency) and breach probabilities are highly uncertain, so overall confidence is medium.
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