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SCP-3991 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-3991
Expected annual
$47.9M
One-time setup
$8.6M
Annual recurring
$47.4M
Personnel
24
Estimated one-time setup costs are roughly $8.55M driven by equipment, vault upgrades, and deception seeding; annual recurring costs are ~ $47.39M driven primarily by continuous high-latitude naval operations, contingency reserve contributions, and ongoing research/forgery/monitoring operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $8.6M
Equipment $4.7M
[#5, #13, #15, #18, #19] Initial deployment of exclusion-zone sensors and patrol hardware, Type-41 levitation chamber construction & integration, dedicated power/UPS/generator hardware, initial oceanographic/seafloor deployment kit, and emergency-task-force kit purchases.
Facilities $1.9M
[#4, #14, #23, #27] Mock-ship construction and island deception infrastructure, Site-19 vault upgrades (vibration/EMC/seismic work), and a long-term decommissioning/disposal budget.
Cyber Forgery Seed $1.0M
[#7] One-time costs to seed high-quality forgeries, physical archive placements, and initial covert operations to backdate records.
Cartographic Influence Seed $750K
[#8] One-time influence/legal work to expunge Kaffeklubben records and establish 'Lewis Island' in official charts and high-level mapping databases.
Public Relations Seed $250K
[#9] Initial PR/misinformation seeding (planted artifacts, initial articles, domain purchases) to establish and institutionalize the cover story.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $47.4M/yr
Logistics And Transport $36.4M/yr
[#1, #2, #3, #5, #21] Primary recurring driver: funding for continuous high-latitude naval presence (Arleigh Burke-class operations), hull/crew rotations and port logistics, seasonal icebreaker escorts/charters, patrol-craft/UAV ops and SATCOM/data backhaul.
Contingency Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#26] Annual contribution toward a larger insurance/contingency reserve for catastrophic scenarios (recommended reserve maintained incrementally).
Staff Wages $2.1M/yr
[#16, #17] Salaries and benefits for vault/security staff, research scientists, technicians and administrative staff dedicated to SCP-3991 operations.
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#6, #18, #12] Satellite imagery tasking and imagery suppression, seabed sensor maintenance/data retrieval, and operational costs for scheduled scientific expeditions.
Amnestic Administration $500K/yr
[#10] Class-A amnestic supplies, medical administration, storage and follow-up for civilian/personnel exposures (variable by encounter rate).
Legal Contingency Fund $500K/yr
[#11, #22] Annual funding allocation for rapid legal/cover-up actions, settlements, and small-scale environmental remediation contingencies.
Cover Story And Legal $360K/yr
[#7, #8, #9] Ongoing budgets for forgery maintenance, cartographic monitoring/liaison, seeded-media upkeep and active PR operations to sustain the cover.
Emergency Taskforce Maintenance $350K/yr
[#19] Readiness contracts, cold-weather perishable replacement, ROV maintenance and on-call rapid-response costs.
Data Archival And Forensic Denial $300K/yr
[#24] Active monitoring and takedown/legal activity against publications, forums and academic outlets; analyst team and takedown budgets.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[#28] Fuel spares, cold-weather consumables, small-parts resupply, ROV consumables and routine field supplies.
Facilities Maintenance $170K/yr
[#14, #15, #4, #23] Annual maintenance for vault environmental controls/EMC, power system upkeep, periodic repair of mock-ship structures and island deception infrastructure.
Training And Safety Programs $150K/yr
[#25] Cold-weather survival, anomaly-specific drills, memetic/forensic training for operational staff.
Sample Extraction Cost Per Sample $0/yr
[#20] Per-event cost for extracting additional samples (not budgeted annually): estimated $250,000–$2,000,000 per sample; baseline assumes zero new extractions.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $47.4M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine patrols, monitoring, maintenance, and modest reserve contributions.
no public detection no breaches routine ops only
🚨 Minor Incident $48.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Small surface event or inadvertent public sighting requiring targeted response, additional amnestics, short surge of legal/PR and cleanup.
public photograph limited contamination small legal challenge
🚨 Major Breach $57.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or discovery requiring rapid large-scale deployment, sample retrieval, heavy emergency logistics and legal action.
breach of exclusion zone loss of 3991-Sample-1 sustained media attention
🚨 Political Exposure $72.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
High-profile political or diplomatic exposure (e.g., foreign government or mainstream media disclosure) forcing major legal settlements, prolonged PR campaigns and potential operational relocation.
national/international media exposure government inquiry discovery of forged records
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#16] Vault and exclusion-zone security staff (24/7 rotations) per containment requirement (6–12 staff range used; 8 chosen).
Research Scientist 6 [#17] Physicists/geologists/chronometry specialists on the dedicated SCP-3991 research team.
Technician / Engineer 3 [#13, #15] Technicians for Type-41 chamber, power conditioning, levitation system maintenance and instrumentation.
Administrative Staff / PR Liaison 2 [#9, #8, #7] Small ops cell that coordinates cover-story PR, cartographic/legal liaison and ongoing forgery campaign maintenance.
Site Director / Executive Oversight 1 [#16] Level-4 oversight and site liaison for approvals and high-level coordination.
Contractor / On-call Specialists 4 [#19, #12, #18] On-call emergency/retrieval contractors, ROV pilots, ice-capable charter crews and specialist analysts (not full-time Foundation hires but budgeted in staff wages/contract lines).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide ranges and explicit line items but many costs (naval operations, contingency reserves, government cooperation) vary widely; estimates use mid-to-conservative assumptions. Uncertainty in whether partner governments supply a ship is the single largest driver of variance.
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